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Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 (4 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Không đúng
- 1X2 HB Tórshavn AB Faroe Islands ✖ Không đúng
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 3-1 ✖ Không đúng
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.88
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
AB Faroe Islands win · AB Faroe Islands 3–1 HB Tórshavn
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
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"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": 0.4188,
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"dc_rho": -0.13,
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"fair_odds_away": 2.39,
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"fair_odds_draw": 3.41,
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"home_predicted_xg": 1.16,
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"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
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"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or HB T\u00f3rshavn",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
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"away_xg": 1.44,
"betting_insight": {
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"confidence": null,
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"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
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"away_played": 12,
"away_score_rate": 76.3,
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"home_played": 12,
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"double_chance": {
"options": [
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"key": "1X",
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{
"key": "12",
"label": "AB Faroe Islands or HB T\u00f3rshavn",
"prob": 70.7
},
{
"key": "X2",
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"prob": 71.2
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],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or HB T\u00f3rshavn",
"pick_prob": 71.2
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 41.9,
"draw_pct": 29.3,
"home_pct": 28.8,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "HB T\u00f3rshavn"
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"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 1.3,
"confidence": "low",
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"pick": "Under 2.5",
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"source": "xG_dc",
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"total_expected": 2.6,
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"prob_source": "poisson",
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"closing_capture": "PRE1",
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"home_team": "AB Faroe Islands",
"largest_move_kind": null,
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"model_pct": 29.33
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"closing_implied_pct": 48.63,
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{
"closing_implied_pct": 54.76,
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{
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"movement": [
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{
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{
"closing": 2.07,
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"movement_negligible": true,
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"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 6.6,
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"correct_score_insight": {
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"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.4
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},
"home_xg": 1.16,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1661,
"ev_over_display": {
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"raw_pct": -16.6,
"text": "-16.6%"
},
"ev_under": 0.0878,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 8.8,
"text": "+8.8%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0878,
"over_prob": 48.2,
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"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.012,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 1.2,
"text": "+1.2%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.0874,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -8.7,
"text": "-8.7%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.012,
"no_prob": 46.0,
"sort_key": 5209.6,
"tier": "lean",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 54.0
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1545,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -15.4,
"text": "-15.4%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4863,
"max_ev": -0.0237,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -2.4,
"text": "-2.4%"
},
"model_prob": 0.4185,
"side_label": "HB T\u00f3rshavn",
"sort_key": 1794.075,
"tier": "bad_ev"
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{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
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"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
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],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "7/13",
"alert_breadth_note": "7/13 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2193 -8.3%",
"alert_team": "AB Faroe Islands",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 6.8,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -6.75,
"hero_label": "HB T\u00f3rshavn",
"market_prob_pct": 48.6,
"market_team": "HB T\u00f3rshavn",
"model_prob_pct": 41.9,
"model_team": "HB T\u00f3rshavn",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable prediction",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": 50,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 0.94,
"fair_prob": 28.81,
"label": "AB Faroe Islands",
"market_prob": 27.87,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.81,
"fair_prob": 29.31,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 23.5,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -6.75,
"fair_prob": 41.88,
"label": "HB T\u00f3rshavn",
"market_prob": 48.63,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -6.73,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 54.93,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 6.73,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 45.07,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -2.55,
"fair_prob": 54.0,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 56.55,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 2.55,
"fair_prob": 46.0,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 43.45,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -6.75,
"fair_prob_pct": 41.88,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "HB T\u00f3rshavn",
"market_prob_pct": 48.63,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "AB Faroe Islands"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 6.75,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "HB T\u00f3rshavn",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_prob_pct": 48.6,
"model_prob_pct": 41.9,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable prediction",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "Both lean HB T\u00f3rshavn, but the market prices them higher (48.6% vs model 41.9%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -6.75,
"hero_label": "HB T\u00f3rshavn",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "AB Faroe Islands odds shortened \u2193 -8.3%.",
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "However, recent buying interest has been on AB Faroe Islands, with odds shortening by 8.3%.",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The market and model broadly agree on HB T\u00f3rshavn. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"note": "Buying interest on AB Faroe Islands \u2014 odds shortened by 8.3%.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model broadly agree on HB T\u00f3rshavn. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"However, recent buying interest has been on AB Faroe Islands, with odds shortening by 8.3%.",
"Buying interest on AB Faroe Islands \u2014 odds shortened by 8.3%."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market still prices HB T\u00f3rshavn above the current fair estimate.",
"At the same time, AB Faroe Islands has attracted buying interest, with odds shortening by 8.3%."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 6.75,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 12.6 pp (at 41.9%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 12.6,
"max_prob_pct": 41.9,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 0.94,
"fair_prob_pct": 28.81,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "AB Faroe Islands",
"market_prob_pct": 27.87,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.81,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.31,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 23.5,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -6.75,
"fair_prob_pct": 41.88,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "HB T\u00f3rshavn",
"market_prob_pct": 48.63,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "Buying interest on AB Faroe Islands \u2014 odds shortened by 8.3%.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers HB T\u00f3rshavn (48.6%).",
"However, AB Faroe Islands has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2193 -8.3%, 7/13).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 HB T\u00f3rshavn, Market \u2192 HB T\u00f3rshavn, Recent sharp money \u2192 AB Faroe Islands.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 53.19,
"closing_odds": 1.88,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 53.19,
"entry_odds": 1.88,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 7,
"books_total": 13,
"breadth_display": "7/13",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 3.3,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2193 -8.3%",
"move_pct_abs": 8.3,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 59h 53m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Multi-book steam on AB Faroe Islands (8.3%, 7/13) \u2014 aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.",
"A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "4.60 \u2192 3.13 \u2192 3.30",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 59h 53m",
"pick_team": "AB Faroe Islands",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "4.60"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "3.13"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "3.30"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,0.0 28.0,18.0 56.0,16.9",
"sparkline_trend": "down",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way drop"
},
"open_odds": 3.6,
"page_alert_line": "Strong steam move across 7/13 sportsbooks on AB Faroe Islands",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "AB Faroe Islands",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\ud83d\udcc8",
"signal_key": "market_steam",
"signal_label": "Steam",
"steam_score": 50,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "7/13",
"current_odds": 3.3,
"move_display": "\u2193 -8.3%",
"open_odds": 3.6,
"pick_team": "AB Faroe Islands",
"steam_score": 50,
"steam_team_name": "AB Faroe Islands",
"steam_tier": "B"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 6.8,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 4133,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/4133.webp",
"away_team_name": "HB T\u00f3rshavn",
"country_code": "FO",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/fo.svg",
"country_name": "Faroe-Islands",
"fixture_id": 1506485,
"goals_away": 1,
"goals_home": 3,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Faroe-Islands",
"home_team_id": 4184,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4184.webp",
"home_team_name": "AB Faroe Islands",
"league_country": "Faroe-Islands",
"league_id": 367,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/367.webp",
"league_name": "Meistaradeildin",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-14 16:15:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Second Half",
"status_short": "2H",
"venue_city": "Argir",
"venue_name": "Skansi Arena"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.539,
"best_odd": 1.88,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0365,
"ev": -0.1545,
"implied_prob": 0.4863,
"model_prob": 0.4185,
"p_final": 0.4497
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2738,
"best_odd": 3.89,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.016,
"ev": -0.0237,
"implied_prob": 0.235,
"model_prob": 0.2933,
"p_final": 0.251
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2957,
"best_odd": 3.28,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0028,
"ev": -0.0766,
"implied_prob": 0.2787,
"model_prob": 0.2882,
"p_final": 0.2815
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.2,
"best_yes_odd": 1.69,
"edge_no": 0.0255,
"edge_yes": -0.0255,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.012,
"ev_yes": -0.0874,
"implied_no": 0.4345,
"implied_yes": 0.5655,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.73,
"best_under_odd": 2.1,
"edge_over": -0.0673,
"edge_under": 0.0673,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1661,
"ev_under": 0.0878,
"implied_over": 0.5493,
"implied_under": 0.4507,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0878,
"confidence": 5.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 5.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.54,
"draw_prob": 0.2933,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4185,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.28
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0365,
"ev": -0.1545,
"implied_prob": 0.4863,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4185,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "HB T\u00f3rshavn"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0255,
"ev": 0.012,
"implied_prob": 0.4345,
"model_prob": 0.46,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0673,
"ev": 0.0878,
"implied_prob": 0.4507,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1506485,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0878,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.4185,
"draw": 0.2933,
"home": 0.2882
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "HB T\u00f3rshavn",
"home": "AB Faroe Islands"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.031836,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0878,
"implied_prob": 0.4507,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1506485,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-14T18:13:47.639257+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho AB Faroe Islands & HB Tórshavn!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Meistaradeildin — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSÍ Runavík | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 48 |
| 2 | KÍ Klaksvík | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 45 |
| 3 | HB Tórshavn | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Vikingur Gota | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 35 |
| 5 | B36 Tórshavn | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35 |
| 6 | EB/Streymur | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | AB Faroe Islands | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 24 |
| 8 | Skála ÍF | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
| 9 | 07 Vestur | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 |
| 10 | B68 Toftir | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSÍ Runavík | 23 | 47 | 26 | +21 | 48 |
| 2 | KÍ Klaksvík | 23 | 45 | 21 | +24 | 45 |
| 3 | HB Tórshavn | 23 | 44 | 28 | +16 | 41 |
| 4 | Vikingur Gota | 23 | 34 | 27 | +7 | 35 |
| 5 | B36 Tórshavn | 23 | 33 | 28 | +5 | 35 |
| 6 | AB Faroe Islands | 23 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 24 |
| 7 | EB/Streymur | 23 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 26 |
| 8 | Skála ÍF | 23 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 23 |
| 9 | B68 Toftir | 23 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 17 |
| 10 | 07 Vestur | 23 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 19 |
