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Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 (2 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Không ✖ Không đúng
- 1X2 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ✔ Chính xác
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Không đúng
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
3.5
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Nueva Chicago win · Nueva Chicago 2–0 Chacarita Juniors
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
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"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"afp_away_win_prob": 0.3208,
"afp_draw_prob": 0.3113,
"afp_home_win_prob": 0.368,
"away_predicted_xg": 1.28,
"away_win_prob": 0.3208,
"away_win_prob_posterior": 0.3208,
"bayes_applied": 1,
"btts_no_prob": 0.455,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.3113,
"draw_prob_posterior": 0.3113,
"fair_odds_away": 3.12,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": 3.12,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.21,
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"fair_odds_home": 2.72,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": 2.72,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.32,
"home_win_prob": 0.368,
"home_win_prob_posterior": 0.368,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Chacarita Juniors",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Chacarita Juniors"
},
"away_xg": 1.28,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Nueva Chicago",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0149,
"edge_gap": 0.0471,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3826,
"model_prob": 0.3678,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 31.2,
"home": 36.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.49
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
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"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Nueva Chicago Win",
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"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.61,
"market_odds": 2.49,
"model_odds": 2.72,
"overround": 5.0,
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"value_pct": -8.5,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 7,
"away_played": 16,
"away_score_rate": 72.2,
"home_clean_sheet": 6,
"home_failed_to_score": 6,
"home_played": 14,
"home_score_rate": 73.3,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.28,
"home_expected": 1.32,
"scores": [
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"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
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{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
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{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.5
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{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.3
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{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
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"prob": 8.0
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Nueva Chicago or Draw",
"prob": 67.9
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Nueva Chicago or Chacarita Juniors",
"prob": 68.9
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Chacarita Juniors",
"prob": 63.2
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Nueva Chicago or Chacarita Juniors",
"pick_prob": 68.9
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 32.1,
"draw_pct": 31.1,
"home_pct": 36.8,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Nueva Chicago"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 0.9,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 0.9,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 12.4,
"implied_prob": 28.6,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Chacarita Juniors Win",
"model_prob": 32.1,
"odds": 3.5
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Chacarita Juniors",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Nueva Chicago",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
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"gap_pp": -1.49,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 36.78
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{
"closing_implied_pct": 34.52,
"gap_pp": -3.36,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 31.16
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 27.22,
"gap_pp": 4.84,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.06
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 28.33,
"gap_pp": 19.87,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 71.67,
"gap_pp": -19.87,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.49,
"early": 2.49,
"implied_closing_pct": 38.26,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 38.26,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 2.76,
"early": 2.76,
"implied_closing_pct": 34.52,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 34.52,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 3.5,
"early": 3.5,
"implied_closing_pct": 27.22,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 3.34,
"early": 3.34,
"implied_closing_pct": 28.33,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 28.33,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.32,
"early": 1.32,
"implied_closing_pct": 71.67,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 71.67,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 19.9,
"kind": "ou_o"
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},
"correct_score_insight": {
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"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.32,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.687,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 68.7,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"ev_under": -0.3007,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -30.1,
"text": "-30.1%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.687,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10768.3,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2856,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -28.6,
"text": "-28.6%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.3625,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 36.2,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.3625,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"sort_key": 10326.25,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0636,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -6.4,
"text": "-6.4%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3826,
"max_ev": -0.0002,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -0.0,
"text": "-0.0%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3678,
"side_label": "Nueva Chicago",
"sort_key": 2199.984,
"tier": "pass"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "1/13",
"alert_breadth_note": "1/13 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2193 -3.0%",
"alert_team": "Draw",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 4.9,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": 4.86,
"hero_label": "Chacarita Juniors",
"market_prob_pct": 38.3,
"market_team": "Nueva Chicago",
"model_prob_pct": 36.8,
"model_team": "Nueva Chicago",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable forecast",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": 7,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -1.46,
"fair_prob": 36.8,
"label": "Nueva Chicago",
"market_prob": 38.26,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.39,
"fair_prob": 31.13,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 34.52,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 4.86,
"fair_prob": 32.08,
"label": "Chacarita Juniors",
"market_prob": 27.22,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 18.79,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 29.41,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -18.79,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 70.59,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 16.02,
"fair_prob": 54.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 38.48,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -16.02,
"fair_prob": 45.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 61.52,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "aligned",
"edge_pp": 4.86,
"fair_prob_pct": 32.08,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Chacarita Juniors",
"market_prob_pct": 27.22,
"status": "aligned",
"steam_team_name": "Draw"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"edge_status": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 4.86,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "",
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
"divergence_note": "",
"divergence_tier": "aligned",
"edge_label": "Aligned",
"edge_label_key": "aligned",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Nueva Chicago",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_prob_pct": 38.3,
"model_prob_pct": 36.8,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "The model and market both lean Nueva Chicago, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Chacarita Juniors remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 4.86,
"hero_label": "Chacarita Juniors",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "Draw odds shortened \u2193 -3.0%.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Current pricing remains close to the model baseline."
],
"follow_up": "However, recent buying interest has been on Draw, with odds shortening by 3.0%. Confirmation remains limited (1/13 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move.",
"gap_tier": "aligned",
"lead": "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"note": "",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"However, recent buying interest has been on Draw, with odds shortening by 3.0%. Confirmation remains limited (1/13 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"Market pricing and the fair estimate remain broadly aligned.",
"At the same time, Draw has attracted buying interest, with odds shortening by 3.0%.",
"Market confirmation remains limited (1/13), suggesting an early move rather than a broad consensus."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 4.86,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 4.7 pp (at 36.8%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 4.7,
"max_prob_pct": 36.8,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -1.46,
"fair_prob_pct": 36.8,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Nueva Chicago",
"market_prob_pct": 38.26,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.39,
"fair_prob_pct": 31.13,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 34.52,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 4.86,
"fair_prob_pct": 32.08,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Chacarita Juniors",
"market_prob_pct": 27.22,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "aligned",
"status_label": "Aligned",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Nueva Chicago (38.3%).",
"Draw has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2193 -3.0%, 1/13).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Nueva Chicago, Market \u2192 Nueva Chicago, Recent sharp money \u2192 Draw.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 28.57,
"closing_odds": 3.5,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 28.57,
"entry_odds": 3.5,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 1,
"books_total": 13,
"breadth_display": "1/13",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 2.62,
"move_context": "Sharpest sharp-led move",
"move_display": "\u2193 -3.0%",
"move_pct_abs": 3.0,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 39h 57m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Volatile two-way pricing on Draw (swing 2.85 \u2192 2.50 \u2192 2.62) \u2014 net 3.0% but intraday chop is elevated.",
"Price swings look choppy \u2014 volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "2.85 \u2192 2.50 \u2192 2.62",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 39h 57m",
"pick_team": "Draw",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.85"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.50"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.62"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,7.7 28.0,0.0 56.0,18.0",
"sparkline_trend": "down",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way drop"
},
"open_odds": 2.7,
"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Volatile",
"phase_tip": "High disagreement or chop \u2014 low reliability for directional bets.",
"pick_team": "Draw",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "warn",
"signal_icon": "\u26a0\ufe0f",
"signal_key": "volatile_market",
"signal_label": "Volatile market",
"steam_score": 7,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "1/13",
"current_odds": 2.62,
"move_display": "\u2193 -3.0%",
"open_odds": 2.7,
"pick_team": "Draw",
"steam_score": 7,
"steam_team_name": "Draw",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 4.9,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 447,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/447.webp",
"away_team_name": "Chacarita Juniors",
"country_code": "AR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ar.svg",
"country_name": "Argentina",
"fixture_id": 1498608,
"goals_away": 0,
"goals_home": 1,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Argentina",
"home_team_id": 484,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/484.webp",
"home_team_name": "Nueva Chicago",
"league_country": "Argentina",
"league_id": 129,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/129.webp",
"league_name": "Primera Nacional",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-13 18:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Second Half",
"status_short": "2H",
"venue_city": "Buenos Aires",
"venue_name": "Estadio Nueva Chicago"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2782,
"best_odd": 3.5,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0135,
"ev": -0.0002,
"implied_prob": 0.2722,
"model_prob": 0.3206,
"p_final": 0.2857
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4273,
"best_odd": 2.76,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0143,
"ev": -0.0869,
"implied_prob": 0.3452,
"model_prob": 0.3116,
"p_final": 0.3308
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.44,
"best_odd": 2.49,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0065,
"ev": -0.0636,
"implied_prob": 0.3826,
"model_prob": 0.3678,
"p_final": 0.3761
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.57,
"best_yes_odd": 2.5,
"edge_no": -0.1602,
"edge_yes": 0.1602,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2856,
"ev_yes": 0.3625,
"implied_no": 0.6152,
"implied_yes": 0.3848,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 3.5,
"best_under_odd": 1.35,
"edge_over": 0.1879,
"edge_under": -0.1879,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.687,
"ev_under": -0.3007,
"implied_over": 0.2941,
"implied_under": 0.7059,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.687,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.3116,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3678,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.04
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0065,
"ev": -0.0636,
"implied_prob": 0.3826,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3678,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Nueva Chicago"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1602,
"ev": 0.3625,
"implied_prob": 0.3848,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1879,
"ev": 0.687,
"implied_prob": 0.2941,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1498608,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.687,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3206,
"draw": 0.3116,
"home": 0.3678
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3625,
"implied_prob": 0.3848,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3625,
"implied_prob": 0.3848,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Chacarita Juniors",
"home": "Nueva Chicago"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.231794,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.687,
"implied_prob": 0.2941,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1498608,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-13T20:48:37.559347+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Đăng ký ngay
Primera Nacional — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Morón | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 50 |
| 5 | Colón Santa Fe | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Córdoba | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 34 |
| 14 | All Boys | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 33 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 32 |
| 16 | Atlético Mitre | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 32 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 29 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Morón | 31 | 49 | 31 | +18 | 55 |
| 2 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 44 | 28 | +16 | 50 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 31 | 40 | 28 | +12 | 53 |
| 4 | Colón Santa Fe | 31 | 38 | 25 | +13 | 49 |
| 5 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 31 | 36 | 25 | +11 | 61 |
| 6 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 29 | 26 | +3 | 45 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 36 |
| 8 | Racing Córdoba | 31 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 | Atlético Mitre | 31 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
| 10 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 31 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | San Telmo | 31 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 34 |
| 12 | San Miguel | 31 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Los Andes | 31 | 24 | 21 | +3 | 40 |
| 14 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 23 | 18 | +5 | 46 |
| 15 | Defensores de Belgrano | 31 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 36 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 31 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 29 |
| 17 | Central Norte | 31 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 32 |
| 18 | All Boys | 31 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 33 |
