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Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian
Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 (0 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Không ✖ Không đúng
- 1X2 Central Norte Vẽ tranh ✖ Không đúng
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Không đúng
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
4.89
AI Fair Odds
2.84
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · Central Norte 0–0 San Telmo
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 35.2%
- Historical Bucket: 35–40% — Building sample
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
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"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "9b4d5d98ba383e6497fd7f3cd98df3812b244cf34068a11d49c45fb3384f3151",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.3,
"away_win_prob": 0.3517,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.455,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.546,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2965,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 2.84,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.37,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 2.84,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.3,
"home_win_prob": 0.3517,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or San Telmo and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "San Telmo"
},
"away_xg": 1.3,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Central Norte",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.1236,
"edge_gap": 0.0,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4754,
"model_prob": 0.3518,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 35.2,
"draw": 29.6,
"home": 35.2
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.0
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.0,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Central Norte Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.1,
"market_odds": 2.0,
"model_odds": 2.84,
"overround": 5.2,
"prob_edge": -14.8,
"value_pct": -29.6,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 6,
"away_failed_to_score": 9,
"away_played": 16,
"away_score_rate": 72.7,
"home_clean_sheet": 4,
"home_failed_to_score": 8,
"home_played": 16,
"home_score_rate": 72.7,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.3,
"home_expected": 1.3,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.7
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.7
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.2
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Central Norte or Draw",
"prob": 64.8
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Central Norte or San Telmo",
"prob": 70.4
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or San Telmo",
"prob": 64.8
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Central Norte or San Telmo",
"pick_prob": 70.4
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 35.2,
"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 35.2,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Central Norte"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 0.8,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 0.6,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 72.1,
"implied_prob": 20.4,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "San Telmo Win",
"model_prob": 35.2,
"odds": 4.89
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "San Telmo",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Central Norte",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 47.54,
"gap_pp": -12.36,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 35.18
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 33.01,
"gap_pp": -3.37,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 29.65
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 19.44,
"gap_pp": 15.73,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 35.18
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 31.74,
"gap_pp": 16.46,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 68.26,
"gap_pp": -16.46,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.0,
"early": 2.0,
"implied_closing_pct": 47.54,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 47.54,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 2.88,
"early": 2.88,
"implied_closing_pct": 33.01,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 33.01,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 4.89,
"early": 4.89,
"implied_closing_pct": 19.44,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 19.44,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.99,
"early": 2.99,
"implied_closing_pct": 31.74,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 31.74,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.39,
"early": 1.39,
"implied_closing_pct": 68.26,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 68.26,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 16.5,
"kind": "ou_o"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.6
}
},
"home_xg": 1.3,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.272,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -27.2,
"text": "-27.2%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.3625,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 36.2,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.3625,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"sort_key": 10476.25,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.4942,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 49.4,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"ev_under": -0.2489,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -24.9,
"text": "-24.9%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.4942,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10444.78,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1398,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -14.0,
"text": "-14.0%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4754,
"max_ev": 0.0684,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 6.8,
"text": "+6.8%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3518,
"side_label": "Central Norte",
"sort_key": 5254.72,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.6
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "10/13",
"alert_breadth_note": "10/13 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +5.6%",
"alert_team": "San Telmo",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 15.7,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 15.73,
"hero_label": "San Telmo",
"market_prob_pct": 47.5,
"market_team": "Central Norte",
"model_prob_pct": 35.2,
"model_team": "Central Norte",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": 46,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -12.37,
"fair_prob": 35.17,
"label": "Central Norte",
"market_prob": 47.54,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.36,
"fair_prob": 29.65,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 33.01,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 15.73,
"fair_prob": 35.17,
"label": "San Telmo",
"market_prob": 19.44,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 15.65,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 32.55,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -15.65,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 67.45,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 14.89,
"fair_prob": 54.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 39.61,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -14.89,
"fair_prob": 45.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 60.39,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 15.73,
"fair_prob_pct": 35.17,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "San Telmo",
"market_prob_pct": 19.44,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"steam_team_name": "San Telmo"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
"max_gap_pp": 15.73,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Central Norte",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 47.5,
"model_prob_pct": 35.2,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "Both lean Central Norte, but the market prices them higher (47.5% vs model 35.2%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 15.73,
"hero_label": "San Telmo",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "San Telmo odds lengthened \u2191 +5.6%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"The model may see a slower-scoring or closer matchup than the market.",
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on San Telmo.",
"note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on San Telmo.",
"paragraphs": [
"The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on San Telmo.",
"Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on San Telmo."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate favors San Telmo more strongly than current market pricing.",
"Recent line movement on San Telmo (\u2191 +5.6%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (10/13) supports the current market view on San Telmo."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 15.73,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Top two 1X2 outcomes within 0.0 percentage points."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 0.0,
"max_prob_pct": 35.2,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -12.37,
"fair_prob_pct": 35.17,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Central Norte",
"market_prob_pct": 47.54,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.36,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.65,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 33.01,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 15.73,
"fair_prob_pct": 35.17,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "San Telmo",
"market_prob_pct": 19.44,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on San Telmo.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Central Norte (47.5%).",
"San Telmo has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2191 +5.6%, 10/13).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Central Norte, Market \u2192 Central Norte, Recent sharp money \u2192 San Telmo.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 20.45,
"closing_odds": 4.89,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 20.45,
"entry_odds": 4.89,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 10,
"books_total": 13,
"breadth_display": "10/13",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 4.75,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +5.6%",
"move_pct_abs": 5.6,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 59h 53m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Bet365 led repricing on San Telmo (5.6%) \u2014 sharp book moved before wider follow-through.",
"A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "4.80 \u2192 3.54 \u2192 4.75",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 59h 53m",
"pick_team": "San Telmo",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "4.80"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "3.54"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "4.75"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,0.0 56.0,6.5",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise"
},
"open_odds": 4.5,
"page_alert_line": "Strong steam move across 10/13 sportsbooks on San Telmo",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "San Telmo",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\u26a1",
"signal_key": "sharp_led",
"signal_label": "Sharp-led move",
"steam_score": 46,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "10/13",
"current_odds": 4.75,
"move_display": "\u2191 +5.6%",
"open_odds": 4.5,
"pick_team": "San Telmo",
"steam_score": 46,
"steam_team_name": "San Telmo",
"steam_tier": "B"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 15.7,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 1932,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1932.webp",
"away_team_name": "San Telmo",
"country_code": "AR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ar.svg",
"country_name": "Argentina",
"fixture_id": 1498599,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Argentina",
"home_team_id": 1951,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1951.webp",
"home_team_name": "Central Norte",
"league_country": "Argentina",
"league_id": 129,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/129.webp",
"league_name": "Primera Nacional",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-14 19:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Salta",
"venue_name": "Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1528,
"best_odd": 4.89,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.024,
"ev": 0.0684,
"implied_prob": 0.1944,
"model_prob": 0.3518,
"p_final": 0.2185
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4273,
"best_odd": 2.88,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0144,
"ev": -0.0906,
"implied_prob": 0.3301,
"model_prob": 0.2965,
"p_final": 0.3157
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3665,
"best_odd": 2.0,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0453,
"ev": -0.1398,
"implied_prob": 0.4754,
"model_prob": 0.3518,
"p_final": 0.4301
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.6,
"best_yes_odd": 2.5,
"edge_no": -0.1489,
"edge_yes": 0.1489,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.272,
"ev_yes": 0.3625,
"implied_no": 0.6039,
"implied_yes": 0.3961,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 3.1,
"best_under_odd": 1.45,
"edge_over": 0.1565,
"edge_under": -0.1565,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.4942,
"ev_under": -0.2489,
"implied_over": 0.3255,
"implied_under": 0.6745,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.4942,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2965,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3518,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.0
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0453,
"ev": -0.1398,
"implied_prob": 0.4754,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3518,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Central Norte"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1489,
"ev": 0.3625,
"implied_prob": 0.3961,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1565,
"ev": 0.4942,
"implied_prob": 0.3255,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1498599,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.4942,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3518,
"draw": 0.2965,
"home": 0.3518
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.4942,
"implied_prob": 0.3255,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.4942,
"implied_prob": 0.3255,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "San Telmo",
"home": "Central Norte"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.197563,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3625,
"implied_prob": 0.3961,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1498599,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-14T19:29:04.825764+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Central Norte & San Telmo!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Primera Nacional — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Morón | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 50 |
| 5 | Colón Santa Fe | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Córdoba | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 34 |
| 14 | All Boys | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 33 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 32 |
| 16 | Atlético Mitre | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 32 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 29 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Morón | 31 | 49 | 31 | +18 | 55 |
| 2 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 44 | 28 | +16 | 50 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 31 | 40 | 28 | +12 | 53 |
| 4 | Colón Santa Fe | 31 | 38 | 25 | +13 | 49 |
| 5 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 31 | 36 | 25 | +11 | 61 |
| 6 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 29 | 26 | +3 | 45 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 36 |
| 8 | Racing Córdoba | 31 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 | Atlético Mitre | 31 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
| 10 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 31 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | San Telmo | 31 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 34 |
| 12 | San Miguel | 31 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Los Andes | 31 | 24 | 21 | +3 | 40 |
| 14 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 23 | 18 | +5 | 46 |
| 15 | Defensores de Belgrano | 31 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 36 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 31 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 29 |
| 17 | Central Norte | 31 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 32 |
| 18 | All Boys | 31 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 33 |
