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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Có ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Rosengård W Vẽ tranh ✖ Incorrect
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 2-1, 1-1, 3-1, 2-2, 2-0 1-1 ✔ Correct
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
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"facts": {
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"dc_rho": -0.13,
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"over_25_prob": 0.756,
"prediction_confidence": "low",
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"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Roseng\u00e5rd W or draw",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Roseng\u00e5rd W",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Roseng\u00e5rd W"
},
"away_xg": 1.54,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Roseng\u00e5rd W",
"confidence": 54.6,
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"confidence": "medium",
"display_text": "Winner : Roseng\u00e5rd W",
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"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "Roseng\u00e5rd W"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
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"risk_color": "#f44336",
"risk_key": "high_risk",
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"away_played": 8,
"away_score_rate": 78.6,
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"home_played": 8,
"home_score_rate": 91.1,
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"pick": "Yes",
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{
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{
"away": 1,
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{
"away": 2,
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{
"away": 0,
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],
"source": "xG"
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"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Roseng\u00e5rd W or Draw",
"prob": 76.4
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Roseng\u00e5rd W or Norrk\u00f6ping W",
"prob": 78.2
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Norrk\u00f6ping W",
"prob": 45.4
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Roseng\u00e5rd W or Norrk\u00f6ping W",
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"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Roseng\u00e5rd W"
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{
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{
"closing_implied_pct": 26.27,
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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],
"movement_negligible": false,
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"top_value_gap": {
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},
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},
"home_xg": 2.42,
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"market_cards": [
{
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"text": "+22.5%"
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"ev_under_display": {
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"tier": "best",
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{
"decision": "value_bet",
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"ev_no_display": {
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},
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},
"featured": false,
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{
"decision": "no_bet",
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"raw_pct": -3.0,
"text": "-3.0%"
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"side_label": "Roseng\u00e5rd W",
"sort_key": 1792.525,
"tier": "bad_ev"
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{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 805.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "2-1",
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}
],
"market_intelligence": {
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"alert_breadth": "",
"alert_breadth_note": "",
"alert_move": "",
"alert_team": "",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 5.5,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": 5.44,
"hero_label": "Roseng\u00e5rd W",
"market_prob_pct": 49.1,
"market_team": "Roseng\u00e5rd W",
"model_prob_pct": 54.6,
"model_team": "Roseng\u00e5rd W",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable forecast",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": null,
"steam_subtitle": "",
"steam_tier": "",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 5.44,
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"label": "Roseng\u00e5rd W",
"market_prob": 49.15,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -2.78,
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"label": "Draw",
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"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -2.66,
"fair_prob": 23.61,
"label": "Norrk\u00f6ping W",
"market_prob": 26.27,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 17.64,
"fair_prob": 75.6,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 57.96,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -17.64,
"fair_prob": 24.4,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 42.04,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 12.97,
"fair_prob": 72.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 59.53,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -12.97,
"fair_prob": 27.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 40.47,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 5.44,
"fair_prob_pct": 54.59,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Roseng\u00e5rd W",
"market_prob_pct": 49.15,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"steam_team_name": "Roseng\u00e5rd W"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
"max_gap_pp": 5.44,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Slight favourite",
"favourite_label": "Roseng\u00e5rd W",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "medium",
"headline": "Slight edge match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_prob_pct": 49.1,
"model_prob_pct": 54.6,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "The model and market both identify Roseng\u00e5rd W as the likely winner. Current divergence remains within normal bounds.",
"tier": "slight_edge",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "A lead outcome exists, but the match is not one-sided in the model.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Medium",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 5.44,
"hero_label": "Roseng\u00e5rd W",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Roseng\u00e5rd W.",
"note": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Roseng\u00e5rd W.",
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Roseng\u00e5rd W."
],
"quiet_market": true,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate still sits above current market pricing on Roseng\u00e5rd W.",
"No meaningful directional movement has emerged, and pricing remains stable across tracked sportsbooks."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 5.44,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 31.0 pp (at 54.6%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 31.0,
"max_prob_pct": 54.6,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 5.44,
"fair_prob_pct": 54.59,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Roseng\u00e5rd W",
"market_prob_pct": 49.15,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -2.78,
"fair_prob_pct": 21.8,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 24.58,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -2.66,
"fair_prob_pct": 23.61,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Norrk\u00f6ping W",
"market_prob_pct": 26.27,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Roseng\u00e5rd W.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": false,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Roseng\u00e5rd W (49.1%).",
"The model and market both identify Roseng\u00e5rd W as the likely winner. Current divergence remains within normal bounds."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 53.76,
"closing_odds": 1.86,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 53.76,
"entry_odds": 1.86,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "6/13",
"current_odds": 1.85,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 1.85,
"pick_team": "Roseng\u00e5rd W",
"steam_score": 15,
"steam_team_name": "Roseng\u00e5rd W",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 5.4,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 16008,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/16008.webp",
"away_team_name": "Norrk\u00f6ping W",
"country_code": "SE",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/se.svg",
"country_name": "Sweden",
"fixture_id": 1495492,
"goals_away": 1,
"goals_home": 0,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Sweden",
"home_team_id": 11075,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/11075.webp",
"home_team_name": "Roseng\u00e5rd W",
"league_country": "Sweden",
"league_id": 549,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/549.webp",
"league_name": "Damallsvenskan",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-13 11:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Halftime",
"status_short": "HT",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": "Malmo IP"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2881,
"best_odd": 3.48,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0076,
"ev": -0.1123,
"implied_prob": 0.2627,
"model_prob": 0.2362,
"p_final": 0.2551
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2874,
"best_odd": 3.72,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0081,
"ev": -0.1158,
"implied_prob": 0.2458,
"model_prob": 0.2177,
"p_final": 0.2377
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.5509,
"best_odd": 1.86,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.03,
"ev": -0.0299,
"implied_prob": 0.4915,
"model_prob": 0.5461,
"p_final": 0.5216
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.3,
"best_yes_odd": 1.58,
"edge_no": -0.1297,
"edge_yes": 0.1297,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.3675,
"ev_yes": 0.1455,
"implied_no": 0.4047,
"implied_yes": 0.5953,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.62,
"best_under_odd": 2.25,
"edge_over": 0.1764,
"edge_under": -0.1764,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.2247,
"ev_under": -0.451,
"implied_over": 0.5796,
"implied_under": 0.4204,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.96,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2247,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.725,
"draw_prob": 0.2177,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.5461,
"over_prob": 0.756,
"total_xg": 3.96,
"under_prob": 0.244,
"xg_diff": 0.88
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.03,
"ev": -0.0299,
"implied_prob": 0.4915,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.5461,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Roseng\u00e5rd W"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1297,
"ev": 0.1455,
"implied_prob": 0.5953,
"model_prob": 0.725,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1764,
"ev": 0.2247,
"implied_prob": 0.5796,
"model_prob": 0.756,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1495492,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2247,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2362,
"draw": 0.2177,
"home": 0.5461
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1455,
"implied_prob": 0.5953,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.725,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1455,
"implied_prob": 0.5953,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.725,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Norrk\u00f6ping W",
"home": "Roseng\u00e5rd W"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.212342,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2247,
"implied_prob": 0.5796,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.756,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1495492,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-13T12:57:29.342334+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
- Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
- Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
- Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Rosengård W & Norrköping W!
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