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- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 (2 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Không đúng
- 1X2 Shamrock Rovers Vẽ tranh ✖ Không đúng
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 2-0, 1-0, 3-0, 2-1, 1-1 1-1 ✔ Chính xác
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.88
AI Fair Odds
1.5
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Derry City
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 66.7%
- Historical Bucket: 65–70% — Building sample
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
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"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "1059cadb6b8fd26ba936c8d2bbb48c7f0ff269b24e778f056446649348795adc",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"afp_away_win_prob": 0.114,
"afp_draw_prob": 0.2192,
"afp_home_win_prob": 0.6667,
"away_predicted_xg": 0.67,
"away_win_prob": 0.114,
"away_win_prob_posterior": 0.114,
"bayes_applied": 1,
"btts_no_prob": 0.554,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.447,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2192,
"draw_prob_posterior": 0.2192,
"fair_odds_away": 8.77,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": 8.77,
"fair_odds_draw": 4.56,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": 4.56,
"fair_odds_home": 1.5,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": 1.5,
"home_predicted_xg": 2.23,
"home_win_prob": 0.6667,
"home_win_prob_posterior": 0.6667,
"over_25_prob": 0.554,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"under_25_prob": 0.446
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Shamrock Rovers or draw",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Shamrock Rovers",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Shamrock Rovers"
},
"away_xg": 0.67,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Shamrock Rovers",
"confidence": 66.7,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "high",
"display_text": "Winner : Shamrock Rovers",
"edge": 0.1556,
"edge_gap": 0.4474,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.5111,
"model_prob": 0.6667,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
"away": 11.4,
"draw": 21.9,
"home": 66.7
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "Shamrock Rovers"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.88
}
],
"risk_color": "#ff9800",
"risk_key": "medium_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.88,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Shamrock Rovers Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 1.96,
"market_odds": 1.88,
"model_odds": 1.5,
"overround": 4.1,
"prob_edge": 13.5,
"value_pct": 25.3,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 5,
"away_failed_to_score": 7,
"away_played": 22,
"away_score_rate": 48.8,
"home_clean_sheet": 9,
"home_failed_to_score": 3,
"home_played": 22,
"home_score_rate": 89.2,
"no_prob": 55.4,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 55.4,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 44.6
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 0.67,
"home_expected": 2.23,
"scores": [
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
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{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 12.3
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-0",
"prob": 10.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 8.2
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Shamrock Rovers or Draw",
"prob": 88.6
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Shamrock Rovers or Derry City",
"prob": 78.1
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Derry City",
"prob": 33.3
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Shamrock Rovers or Draw",
"pick_prob": 88.6
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 11.4,
"draw_pct": 21.9,
"home_pct": 66.7,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Shamrock Rovers"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.9,
"away_avg_scored": 1.2,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.5,
"over_prob": 55.4,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 55.4,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 2.9,
"under_prob": 44.6
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 25.4,
"implied_prob": 53.2,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Shamrock Rovers Win",
"model_prob": 66.7,
"odds": 1.88
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Derry City",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Shamrock Rovers",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 51.11,
"gap_pp": 15.56,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 66.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 28.18,
"gap_pp": -6.25,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 21.93
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 20.71,
"gap_pp": -9.31,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 11.4
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 44.87,
"gap_pp": 10.53,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 55.4
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 55.13,
"gap_pp": -10.53,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 44.6
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.88,
"early": 1.88,
"implied_closing_pct": 51.11,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 51.11,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.41,
"early": 3.41,
"implied_closing_pct": 28.18,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 28.18,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 4.64,
"early": 4.64,
"implied_closing_pct": 20.71,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 20.71,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.15,
"early": 2.15,
"implied_closing_pct": 44.87,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 44.87,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.75,
"early": 1.75,
"implied_closing_pct": 55.13,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 55.13,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 15.6,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 13.7
}
},
"home_xg": 2.23,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0954,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 9.5,
"text": "+9.5%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.5111,
"max_ev": 0.0954,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 9.5,
"text": "+9.5%"
},
"model_prob": 0.6667,
"side_label": "Shamrock Rovers",
"sort_key": 10235.86,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": false,
"ev_over": null,
"ev_over_display": null,
"ev_under": null,
"ev_under_display": null,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": null,
"over_prob": 55.4,
"sort_key": 4050.0,
"tier": "lean",
"under_prob": 44.6,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": false,
"ev_no": null,
"ev_no_display": null,
"ev_yes": null,
"ev_yes_display": null,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": null,
"no_prob": 55.4,
"sort_key": 4050.0,
"tier": "lean",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 44.6
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 821.1,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "2-0",
"top_prob": 13.7
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "12/14",
"alert_breadth_note": "12/14 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +6.1%",
"alert_team": "Draw",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 15.6,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 15.56,
"hero_label": "Shamrock Rovers",
"market_prob_pct": 51.1,
"market_team": "Shamrock Rovers",
"model_prob_pct": 66.7,
"model_team": "Shamrock Rovers",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": 50,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 15.56,
"fair_prob": 66.67,
"label": "Shamrock Rovers",
"market_prob": 51.11,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -6.26,
"fair_prob": 21.92,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 28.18,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -9.31,
"fair_prob": 11.4,
"label": "Derry City",
"market_prob": 20.71,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 55.4,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 44.6,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 44.6,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 55.4,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 15.56,
"fair_prob_pct": 66.67,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Shamrock Rovers",
"market_prob_pct": 51.11,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"steam_team_name": "Draw"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
"max_gap_pp": 15.56,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Favourite",
"favourite_label": "Shamrock Rovers",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "high",
"headline": "Clear favourite",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 51.1,
"model_prob_pct": 66.7,
"outcome_separation_tier": "high",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "Model and market lean the same side on Shamrock Rovers, but pricing gaps warrant caution.",
"tier": "favourite",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "One outcome clearly leads the model 1X2 grid.",
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "High",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 15.56,
"hero_label": "Shamrock Rovers",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Draw odds lengthened \u2191 +6.1%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"The model may see a slower-scoring or closer matchup than the market.",
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "However, Draw has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 6.1%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Shamrock Rovers.",
"note": "Drift away from Draw \u2014 odds lengthened by 6.1% (weakening support).",
"paragraphs": [
"The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Shamrock Rovers.",
"However, Draw has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 6.1%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Drift away from Draw \u2014 odds lengthened by 6.1% (weakening support)."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate favors Shamrock Rovers more strongly than current market pricing.",
"At the same time, Draw has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 6.1%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (12/14) supports the current market view on Draw."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 15.56,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 44.8 pp (at 66.7%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 44.8,
"max_prob_pct": 66.7,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "High",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 15.56,
"fair_prob_pct": 66.67,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Shamrock Rovers",
"market_prob_pct": 51.11,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -6.26,
"fair_prob_pct": 21.92,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 28.18,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -9.31,
"fair_prob_pct": 11.4,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Derry City",
"market_prob_pct": 20.71,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "Drift away from Draw \u2014 odds lengthened by 6.1% (weakening support).",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Shamrock Rovers (51.1%).",
"However, Draw has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2191 +6.1%, 12/14).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Shamrock Rovers, Market \u2192 Shamrock Rovers, Recent sharp money \u2192 Draw.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 53.19,
"closing_odds": 1.88,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 53.19,
"entry_odds": 1.88,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 12,
"books_total": 14,
"breadth_display": "12/14",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 3.5,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +6.1%",
"move_pct_abs": 6.1,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 47h 44m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Betfair led repricing on Draw (6.1%) \u2014 sharp book moved before wider follow-through.",
"A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "3.55 \u2192 3.13 \u2192 3.50",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 47h 44m",
"pick_team": "Draw",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "3.55"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "3.13"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "3.50"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,8.1 56.0,0.0",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise"
},
"open_odds": 3.3,
"page_alert_line": "Strong steam move across 12/14 sportsbooks on Draw",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Draw",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Betfair",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\u26a1",
"signal_key": "sharp_led",
"signal_label": "Sharp-led move",
"steam_score": 50,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "12/14",
"current_odds": 3.5,
"move_display": "\u2191 +6.1%",
"open_odds": 3.3,
"pick_team": "Draw",
"steam_score": 50,
"steam_team_name": "Draw",
"steam_tier": "B"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 15.6,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 670,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/670.webp",
"away_team_name": "Derry City",
"country_code": "IE",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ie.svg",
"country_name": "Ireland",
"fixture_id": 1492737,
"goals_away": 1,
"goals_home": 0,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Ireland",
"home_team_id": 652,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/652.webp",
"home_team_name": "Shamrock Rovers",
"league_country": "Ireland",
"league_id": 357,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/357.webp",
"league_name": "Gi\u1ea3i Ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ea1ng Ireland",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-22 19:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "First Half",
"status_short": "1H",
"venue_city": "Dublin",
"venue_name": "Tallaght Stadium"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1721,
"best_odd": 4.64,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.016,
"ev": -0.1134,
"implied_prob": 0.2071,
"model_prob": 0.114,
"p_final": 0.1911
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2719,
"best_odd": 3.41,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.017,
"ev": -0.097,
"implied_prob": 0.2818,
"model_prob": 0.2193,
"p_final": 0.2648
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.46,
"best_odd": 1.88,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0716,
"ev": 0.0954,
"implied_prob": 0.5111,
"model_prob": 0.6667,
"p_final": 0.5827
}
},
"btts": {
"ev_available": false,
"n_bookmakers": 0,
"reliability": "low"
},
"ou25": {
"ev_available": false,
"n_bookmakers": 0,
"reliability": "low"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.9,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0954,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.446,
"draw_prob": 0.2193,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.6667,
"over_prob": 0.554,
"total_xg": 2.9,
"under_prob": 0.446,
"xg_diff": 1.56
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0716,
"ev": 0.0954,
"implied_prob": 0.5111,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.6667,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Shamrock Rovers"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": null,
"ev": null,
"implied_prob": null,
"model_prob": 0.554,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": null,
"ev": null,
"implied_prob": null,
"model_prob": 0.554,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1492737,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0954,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.114,
"draw": 0.2193,
"home": 0.6667
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Derry City",
"home": "Shamrock Rovers"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.076324,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0954,
"implied_prob": 0.5111,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.6667,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Shamrock Rovers",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1492737,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-22T19:28:42.967284+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Giải Ngoại hạng Ireland — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Patrick's Athletic | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 59 |
| 2 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 56 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 40 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bohemians | 31 | 55 | 37 | +18 | 56 |
| 2 | St Patrick's Athletic | 32 | 52 | 25 | +27 | 59 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 49 | 31 | +18 | 59 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 32 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 41 |
| 5 | Derry City | 32 | 45 | 42 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 | Waterford | 32 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 34 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 32 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 40 |
| 8 | Galway United | 32 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 38 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 32 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waterford | 32 | 13.0 | 7.8 | +5.2 | 34 |
| 2 | St Patrick's Athletic | 32 | 12.6 | 8.9 | +3.7 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 31 | 11.5 | 8.2 | +3.3 | 56 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 10.8 | 7.8 | +3.0 | 41 |
| 5 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 9.7 | 8.2 | +1.5 | 59 |
| 6 | Dundalk | 32 | 13.0 | 12.1 | +0.9 | 41 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 10.9 | 13.0 | -2.1 | 38 |
| 8 | Shelbourne | 32 | 6.2 | 9.8 | -3.6 | 40 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 32 | 6.4 | 12.3 | -5.9 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 8.0 | 14.1 | -6.1 | 23 |
