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Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 (2 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Chính xác
- 1X2 Derry City Derry City ✔ Chính xác
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 2-0, 3-0, 1-0, 4-0, 2-1 2-0 ✔ Chính xác
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.57
AI Fair Odds
1.3
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Derry City win · Derry City 2–0 Drogheda United
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 76.9%
- Historical Bucket: 75–80% — Building sample
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
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"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"afp_away_win_prob": 0.0703,
"afp_draw_prob": 0.1612,
"afp_home_win_prob": 0.7686,
"away_predicted_xg": 0.62,
"away_win_prob": 0.0703,
"away_win_prob_posterior": 0.0703,
"bayes_applied": 1,
"btts_no_prob": 0.558,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.442,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.1612,
"draw_prob_posterior": 0.1612,
"fair_odds_away": 14.23,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": 14.23,
"fair_odds_draw": 6.21,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": 6.21,
"fair_odds_home": 1.3,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": 1.3,
"home_predicted_xg": 2.84,
"home_win_prob": 0.7686,
"home_win_prob_posterior": 0.7686,
"over_25_prob": 0.672,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"under_25_prob": 0.328
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Derry City or draw",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Derry City",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Derry City"
},
"away_xg": 0.62,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Derry City",
"confidence": 76.9,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "high",
"display_text": "Winner : Derry City",
"edge": 0.1588,
"edge_gap": 0.6079,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.6101,
"model_prob": 0.7688,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
"away": 7.0,
"draw": 16.1,
"home": 76.9
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "Derry City"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.57
}
],
"risk_color": "#ff9800",
"risk_key": "medium_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.57,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Derry City Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 1.64,
"market_odds": 1.57,
"model_odds": 1.3,
"overround": 4.4,
"prob_edge": 13.2,
"value_pct": 20.8,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 6,
"away_failed_to_score": 3,
"away_played": 21,
"away_score_rate": 46.2,
"home_clean_sheet": 5,
"home_failed_to_score": 7,
"home_played": 23,
"home_score_rate": 94.2,
"no_prob": 55.8,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 55.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 44.2
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 0.62,
"home_expected": 2.84,
"scores": [
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
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{
"away": 0,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-0",
"prob": 12.0
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 8.9
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 4,
"label": "4-0",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.9
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Derry City or Draw",
"prob": 93.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Derry City or Drogheda United",
"prob": 83.9
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Drogheda United",
"prob": 23.1
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Derry City or Draw",
"pick_prob": 93.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 7.0,
"draw_pct": 16.1,
"home_pct": 76.9,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Derry City"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.46,
"away_avg_scored": 1.3,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 1.2,
"over_prob": 67.2,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 67.2,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 3.46,
"under_prob": 32.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 20.8,
"implied_prob": 63.7,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Derry City Win",
"model_prob": 76.9,
"odds": 1.57
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Drogheda United",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Derry City",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 61.01,
"gap_pp": 15.88,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 76.88
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 23.77,
"gap_pp": -7.67,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 16.09
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 15.23,
"gap_pp": -8.2,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 7.02
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 48.84,
"gap_pp": 18.36,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 67.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 51.16,
"gap_pp": -18.36,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 32.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.57,
"early": 1.57,
"implied_closing_pct": 61.01,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 61.01,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 4.03,
"early": 4.03,
"implied_closing_pct": 23.77,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 23.77,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 6.29,
"early": 6.29,
"implied_closing_pct": 15.23,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 15.23,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.98,
"early": 1.98,
"implied_closing_pct": 48.84,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 48.84,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.89,
"early": 1.89,
"implied_closing_pct": 51.16,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 51.16,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 18.4,
"kind": "ou_o"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 12.7
}
},
"home_xg": 2.84,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0717,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 7.2,
"text": "+7.2%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.6101,
"max_ev": 0.0717,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 7.2,
"text": "+7.2%"
},
"model_prob": 0.7688,
"side_label": "Derry City",
"sort_key": 10214.53,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": false,
"ev_over": null,
"ev_over_display": null,
"ev_under": null,
"ev_under_display": null,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": null,
"over_prob": 67.2,
"sort_key": 4050.0,
"tier": "lean",
"under_prob": 32.8,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": false,
"ev_no": null,
"ev_no_display": null,
"ev_yes": null,
"ev_yes_display": null,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": null,
"no_prob": 55.8,
"sort_key": 4050.0,
"tier": "lean",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 44.2
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 818.1,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "2-0",
"top_prob": 12.7
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "8/14",
"alert_breadth_note": "8/14 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +4.5%",
"alert_team": "Drogheda United",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 15.9,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": 15.85,
"hero_label": "Derry City",
"market_prob_pct": 61.0,
"market_team": "Derry City",
"model_prob_pct": 76.9,
"model_team": "Derry City",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": 38,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 15.85,
"fair_prob": 76.86,
"label": "Derry City",
"market_prob": 61.01,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -7.65,
"fair_prob": 16.12,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 23.77,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -8.2,
"fair_prob": 7.03,
"label": "Drogheda United",
"market_prob": 15.23,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 67.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 32.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 44.2,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 55.8,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 15.85,
"fair_prob_pct": 76.86,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Derry City",
"market_prob_pct": 61.01,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"steam_team_name": "Drogheda United"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
"max_gap_pp": 15.85,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Strong favourite",
"favourite_label": "Derry City",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "high",
"headline": "Clear favourite",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 61.0,
"model_prob_pct": 76.9,
"outcome_separation_tier": "high",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "Model and market lean the same side on Derry City, but pricing gaps warrant caution.",
"tier": "favourite",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "One outcome clearly leads the model 1X2 grid.",
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "High",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 15.85,
"hero_label": "Derry City",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Drogheda United odds lengthened \u2191 +4.5%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"The model may see a slower-scoring or closer matchup than the market.",
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "However, Drogheda United has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 4.5%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Derry City.",
"note": "Drift away from Drogheda United \u2014 odds lengthened by 4.5% (weakening support).",
"paragraphs": [
"The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Derry City.",
"However, Drogheda United has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 4.5%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Drift away from Drogheda United \u2014 odds lengthened by 4.5% (weakening support)."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate favors Derry City more strongly than current market pricing.",
"At the same time, Drogheda United has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 4.5%, suggesting weakening support."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 15.85,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 60.7 pp (at 76.9%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 60.7,
"max_prob_pct": 76.9,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "High",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 15.85,
"fair_prob_pct": 76.86,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Derry City",
"market_prob_pct": 61.01,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -7.65,
"fair_prob_pct": 16.12,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 23.77,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -8.2,
"fair_prob_pct": 7.03,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Drogheda United",
"market_prob_pct": 15.23,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "Drift away from Drogheda United \u2014 odds lengthened by 4.5% (weakening support).",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Derry City (61.0%).",
"Drogheda United has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2191 +4.5%, 8/14).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Derry City, Market \u2192 Derry City, Recent sharp money \u2192 Drogheda United.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 63.69,
"closing_odds": 1.57,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 63.69,
"entry_odds": 1.57,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 8,
"books_total": 14,
"breadth_display": "8/14",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 5.75,
"move_context": "Highest consensus move",
"move_display": "\u2191 +4.5%",
"move_pct_abs": 4.5,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 59h 53m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"SBO led repricing on Drogheda United (4.5%) \u2014 sharp book moved before wider follow-through.",
"Price swings look choppy \u2014 volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "6.29 \u2192 4.60 \u2192 5.75",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 59h 53m",
"pick_team": "Drogheda United",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "6.29"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "4.60"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "5.75"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,0.0 56.0,12.3",
"sparkline_trend": "volatile",
"sparkline_trend_label": "V-shape swing"
},
"open_odds": 5.5,
"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Drogheda United",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "SBO",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\u26a1",
"signal_key": "sharp_led",
"signal_label": "Sharp-led move",
"steam_score": 38,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "8/14",
"current_odds": 5.75,
"move_display": "\u2191 +4.5%",
"open_odds": 5.5,
"pick_team": "Drogheda United",
"steam_score": 38,
"steam_team_name": "Drogheda United",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 15.8,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 3850,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3850.webp",
"away_team_name": "Drogheda United",
"country_code": "IE",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ie.svg",
"country_name": "Ireland",
"fixture_id": 1492722,
"goals_away": 0,
"goals_home": 1,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Ireland",
"home_team_id": 670,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/670.webp",
"home_team_name": "Derry City",
"league_country": "Ireland",
"league_id": 357,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/357.webp",
"league_name": "Gi\u1ea3i Ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ea1ng Ireland",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-26 18:45:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Halftime",
"status_short": "HT",
"venue_city": "Derry",
"venue_name": "The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1754,
"best_odd": 6.29,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0144,
"ev": -0.1327,
"implied_prob": 0.1523,
"model_prob": 0.0702,
"p_final": 0.1379
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.177,
"best_odd": 4.03,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0136,
"ev": -0.0969,
"implied_prob": 0.2377,
"model_prob": 0.1609,
"p_final": 0.2241
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4571,
"best_odd": 1.57,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0726,
"ev": 0.0717,
"implied_prob": 0.6101,
"model_prob": 0.7688,
"p_final": 0.6826
}
},
"btts": {
"ev_available": false,
"n_bookmakers": 0,
"reliability": "low"
},
"ou25": {
"ev_available": false,
"n_bookmakers": 0,
"reliability": "low"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.46,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0717,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.442,
"draw_prob": 0.1609,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.7688,
"over_prob": 0.672,
"total_xg": 3.46,
"under_prob": 0.328,
"xg_diff": 2.22
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0726,
"ev": 0.0717,
"implied_prob": 0.6101,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.7688,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Derry City"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": null,
"ev": null,
"implied_prob": null,
"model_prob": 0.558,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": null,
"ev": null,
"implied_prob": null,
"model_prob": 0.672,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1492722,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0717,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.0702,
"draw": 0.1609,
"home": 0.7688
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Drogheda United",
"home": "Derry City"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.066148,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0717,
"implied_prob": 0.6101,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.7688,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Derry City",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1492722,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-26T19:49:28.478046+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Giải Ngoại hạng Ireland — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Patrick's Athletic | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 59 |
| 2 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 56 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 40 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bohemians | 31 | 55 | 37 | +18 | 56 |
| 2 | St Patrick's Athletic | 32 | 52 | 25 | +27 | 59 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 49 | 31 | +18 | 59 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 32 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 41 |
| 5 | Derry City | 32 | 45 | 42 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 | Waterford | 32 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 34 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 32 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 40 |
| 8 | Galway United | 32 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 38 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 32 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waterford | 32 | 13.0 | 7.8 | +5.2 | 34 |
| 2 | St Patrick's Athletic | 32 | 12.6 | 8.9 | +3.7 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 31 | 11.5 | 8.2 | +3.3 | 56 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 10.8 | 7.8 | +3.0 | 41 |
| 5 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 9.7 | 8.2 | +1.5 | 59 |
| 6 | Dundalk | 32 | 13.0 | 12.1 | +0.9 | 41 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 10.9 | 13.0 | -2.1 | 38 |
| 8 | Shelbourne | 32 | 6.2 | 9.8 | -3.6 | 40 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 32 | 6.4 | 12.3 | -5.9 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 8.0 | 14.1 | -6.1 | 23 |
