Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Shelbourne Shelbourne ✔ Correct
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-0, 2-0, 1-1, 2-1, 3-0 2-1 ✔ Correct
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View technical JSON
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"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 0.8,
"away_win_prob": 0.1359,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.517,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.483,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2395,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 7.36,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 4.17,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 1.6,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.92,
"home_win_prob": 0.6246,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.511,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"under_25_prob": 0.489
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Shamrock Rovers",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Shelbourne",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Shamrock Rovers"
},
"away_xg": 0.8,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Shelbourne",
"confidence": 62.5,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "high",
"display_text": "Winner : Shelbourne",
"edge": 0.2719,
"edge_gap": 0.3849,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3527,
"model_prob": 0.6246,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
"away": 13.6,
"draw": 24.0,
"home": 62.5
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "Shelbourne"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.73
}
],
"risk_color": "#ff9800",
"risk_key": "medium_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.73,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Shelbourne Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.84,
"market_odds": 2.73,
"model_odds": 1.6,
"overround": 3.9,
"prob_edge": 25.9,
"value_pct": 70.6,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 8,
"away_failed_to_score": 3,
"away_played": 20,
"away_score_rate": 55.1,
"home_clean_sheet": 5,
"home_failed_to_score": 3,
"home_played": 19,
"home_score_rate": 85.3,
"no_prob": 51.7,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 51.7,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 48.3
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 0.8,
"home_expected": 1.92,
"scores": [
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 12.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 12.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.7
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-0",
"prob": 7.8
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Shelbourne or Draw",
"prob": 86.4
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Shelbourne or Shamrock Rovers",
"prob": 76.1
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Shamrock Rovers",
"prob": 37.5
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Shelbourne or Draw",
"pick_prob": 86.4
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 13.6,
"draw_pct": 23.9,
"home_pct": 62.5,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Shelbourne"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.72,
"away_avg_scored": 1.6,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.4,
"over_prob": 51.1,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.1,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.72,
"under_prob": 48.9
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 70.6,
"implied_prob": 36.6,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Shelbourne Win",
"model_prob": 62.5,
"odds": 2.73
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Shamrock Rovers",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Shelbourne",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 35.27,
"gap_pp": 27.19,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 62.46
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 30.47,
"gap_pp": -6.5,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 23.96
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 34.26,
"gap_pp": -20.69,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 13.58
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 45.88,
"gap_pp": 5.22,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 51.1
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 54.12,
"gap_pp": -5.22,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 48.9
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.73,
"early": 2.73,
"implied_closing_pct": 35.27,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 35.27,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.16,
"early": 3.16,
"implied_closing_pct": 30.47,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 30.47,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.81,
"early": 2.81,
"implied_closing_pct": 34.26,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 34.26,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.1,
"early": 2.1,
"implied_closing_pct": 45.88,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 45.88,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.78,
"early": 1.78,
"implied_closing_pct": 54.12,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 54.12,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 27.2,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 12.6
}
},
"home_xg": 1.92,
"homepage_pick": {
"best_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"best_odds": 2.73,
"confidence": "strong",
"display_label": "Home Shelbourne",
"edge": 25.8,
"ev": 70.6,
"probability": 62.5
},
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1606,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 16.1,
"text": "+16.1%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3527,
"max_ev": 0.1606,
"max_ev_display": {
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"raw_pct": 16.1,
"text": "+16.1%"
},
"model_prob": 0.6246,
"side_label": "Shelbourne",
"sort_key": 10294.54,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0833,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 8.3,
"text": "+8.3%"
},
"ev_under": -0.1247,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -12.5,
"text": "-12.5%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0833,
"over_prob": 51.1,
"sort_key": 10074.97,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 48.9,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0598,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 6.0,
"text": "+6.0%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.1161,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -11.6,
"text": "-11.6%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0598,
"no_prob": 51.7,
"sort_key": 10053.82,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 48.3
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-0",
"top_prob": 12.6
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "",
"alert_breadth_note": "",
"alert_move": "",
"alert_team": "",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 27.2,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": 27.19,
"hero_label": "Shelbourne",
"market_prob_pct": 35.3,
"market_team": "Shelbourne",
"model_prob_pct": 62.5,
"model_team": "Shelbourne",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": null,
"steam_subtitle": "",
"steam_tier": "",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 27.19,
"fair_prob": 62.46,
"label": "Shelbourne",
"market_prob": 35.27,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -6.52,
"fair_prob": 23.95,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 30.47,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -20.67,
"fair_prob": 13.59,
"label": "Shamrock Rovers",
"market_prob": 34.26,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.4,
"fair_prob": 51.1,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 45.7,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -5.4,
"fair_prob": 48.9,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 54.3,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.92,
"fair_prob": 48.3,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 52.22,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.92,
"fair_prob": 51.7,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 47.78,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "extreme_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 27.19,
"fair_prob_pct": 62.46,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Shelbourne",
"market_prob_pct": 35.27,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"steam_team_name": "Shelbourne"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "extreme",
"edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
"max_gap_pp": 27.19,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": true
},
"divergence_label": "Extreme model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "extreme",
"divergence_level_label": "Extreme divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs substantially from current market pricing. Large divergences can occur when rating inputs are incomplete, team-strength estimates are uncertain, or the market incorporates information not present in the model. Interpret with caution.",
"divergence_tier": "extreme",
"edge_label": "Extreme disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "extreme_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Favourite",
"favourite_label": "Shelbourne",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "high",
"headline": "Clear favourite",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 35.3,
"model_prob_pct": 62.5,
"outcome_separation_tier": "high",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "Model and market lean the same side on Shelbourne, but pricing gaps warrant caution.",
"tier": "favourite",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "One outcome clearly leads the model 1X2 grid.",
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "High",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 27.19,
"hero_label": "Shelbourne",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {},
"market_narrative": {},
"max_gap_pp": 27.19,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 38.5 pp (at 62.5%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 38.5,
"max_prob_pct": 62.5,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "High",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 27.19,
"fair_prob_pct": 62.46,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Shelbourne",
"market_prob_pct": 35.27,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -6.52,
"fair_prob_pct": 23.95,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 30.47,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -20.67,
"fair_prob_pct": 13.59,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Shamrock Rovers",
"market_prob_pct": 34.26,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": false,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Shelbourne (35.3%).",
"Model and market lean the same side on Shelbourne, but pricing gaps warrant caution."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 36.63,
"closing_odds": 2.73,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 36.63,
"entry_odds": 2.73,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "8/14",
"current_odds": 2.55,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 2.55,
"pick_team": "Shelbourne",
"steam_score": 17,
"steam_team_name": "Shelbourne",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 27.2,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 652,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/652.webp",
"away_team_name": "Shamrock Rovers",
"country_code": "IE",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ie.svg",
"country_name": "Ireland",
"fixture_id": 1492713,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Ireland",
"home_team_id": 3854,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3854.webp",
"home_team_name": "Shelbourne",
"league_country": "Ireland",
"league_id": 357,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/357.webp",
"league_name": "Premier Division",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 19:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Dublin",
"venue_name": "Tolka Park"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3104,
"best_odd": 2.81,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0642,
"ev": -0.2176,
"implied_prob": 0.3426,
"model_prob": 0.1358,
"p_final": 0.2784
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2707,
"best_odd": 3.16,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0176,
"ev": -0.0928,
"implied_prob": 0.3047,
"model_prob": 0.2396,
"p_final": 0.2871
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2665,
"best_odd": 2.73,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0725,
"ev": 0.1606,
"implied_prob": 0.3527,
"model_prob": 0.6246,
"p_final": 0.4251
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.05,
"best_yes_odd": 1.83,
"edge_no": 0.0392,
"edge_yes": -0.0392,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0598,
"ev_yes": -0.1161,
"implied_no": 0.4778,
"implied_yes": 0.5222,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.12,
"best_under_odd": 1.79,
"edge_over": 0.054,
"edge_under": -0.054,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0833,
"ev_under": -0.1247,
"implied_over": 0.457,
"implied_under": 0.543,
"n_bookmakers": 12,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.72,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1606,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.483,
"draw_prob": 0.2396,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.6246,
"over_prob": 0.511,
"total_xg": 2.72,
"under_prob": 0.489,
"xg_diff": 1.12
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0725,
"ev": 0.1606,
"implied_prob": 0.3527,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.6246,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Shelbourne"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0392,
"ev": 0.0598,
"implied_prob": 0.4778,
"model_prob": 0.517,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.054,
"ev": 0.0833,
"implied_prob": 0.457,
"model_prob": 0.511,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1492713,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1606,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1358,
"draw": 0.2396,
"home": 0.6246
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Shamrock Rovers",
"home": "Shelbourne"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.120373,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1606,
"implied_prob": 0.3527,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.6246,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Shelbourne",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1492713,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T18:59:07.475163+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
- Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
- Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
- Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Shelbourne & Shamrock Rovers!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
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