Étoile Carouge vs Bellinzona Statistics & Analysis

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      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : \u00c9toile Carouge or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "\u00c9toile Carouge"
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    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
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        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.1455,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.5631,
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        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
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        "away_failed_to_score": 17,
        "away_played": 35,
        "away_score_rate": 51.4,
        "home_clean_sheet": 8,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 35,
        "home_score_rate": 68.6,
        "no_prob": 64.7,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 64.7,
        "source": "stats",
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        "yes_prob": 35.3
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        "home_expected": 1.7,
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            "away": 1,
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
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            "label": "2-0",
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          {
            "away": 2,
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          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
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          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "\u00c9toile Carouge or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "\u00c9toile Carouge or Bellinzona",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
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          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "\u00c9toile Carouge or Draw",
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        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
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        "lean_label": "\u00c9toile Carouge"
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        "home_avg_scored": 1.3,
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        "pick_prob": 57.7,
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        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.0,
        "under_prob": 42.3
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Bellinzona",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "\u00c9toile Carouge",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
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      "movement": [
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          "kind": "1x2_a"
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        {
          "closing": 1.42,
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        {
          "closing": 2.71,
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        "prob": 11.0
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_yes": -0.4493,
        "featured": true,
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        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 35.3
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      "away_team_id": 6616,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6616.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Bellinzona",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ch.svg",
      "country_name": "Switzerland",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 6654,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6654.webp",
      "home_team_name": "\u00c9toile Carouge",
      "league_country": "Switzerland",
      "league_id": 208,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/208.webp",
      "league_name": "Challenge League",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-15 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "n_bookmakers": 9,
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      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
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      "algorithm": {
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          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
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          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
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      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
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      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.353,
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          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.577,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.423,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
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          "decision": "no_bet",
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          "implied_prob": 0.5631,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "\u00c9toile Carouge"
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        "btts": {
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          "decision": "value_bet",
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        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
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        "away": 0.3257,
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      "reason_codes": [
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        "high_total_goals"
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        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1125,
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        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
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          "decision": "value_bet",
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      ],
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        "away": "Bellinzona",
        "home": "\u00c9toile Carouge"
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        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
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        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-15T15:59:14.507736+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}