Thống kê / Bóng đá / Thailand. Thai League 1 / Chonburi FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC

Chonburi FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC Statistics & Analysis

May 10, 2026 - 11:00
2 1.41
1 0.85
xG Accuracy: 82%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Chonburi FC Chonburi FC ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-0 2-1 ✖ Incorrect

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "12bfbbf5885c45b4523f6805ccb9a16fc2dc1b1f67854707fcf0fe84562d50bd",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 0.85,
      "away_win_prob": 0.2102,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3048,
      "fair_odds_away": 4.76,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.28,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.06,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.41,
      "home_win_prob": 0.485,
      "prediction_confidence": "low"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Nakhon Ratchasima FC",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Chonburi FC",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Nakhon Ratchasima FC"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.85,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Chonburi FC",
      "confidence": 48.5,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "Winner : Chonburi FC",
        "edge": 0.0021,
        "edge_gap": 0.1805,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4831,
        "model_prob": 0.4852,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 21.0,
          "draw": 30.5,
          "home": 48.5
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "home",
        "selection_name": "Chonburi FC"
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.93
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": "#f44336",
      "risk_key": "high_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.93,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Chonburi FC Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.07,
        "market_odds": 1.93,
        "model_odds": 2.06,
        "overround": 7.2,
        "prob_edge": -3.3,
        "value_pct": -6.3,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 7,
        "away_failed_to_score": 15,
        "away_played": 29,
        "away_score_rate": 57.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 4,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 29,
        "home_score_rate": 75.6,
        "no_prob": 55.1,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 55.1,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 44.9
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 0.85,
        "home_expected": 1.41,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 14.7
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 10.4
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 10.4
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 8.9
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Chonburi FC or Draw",
            "prob": 79.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Chonburi FC or Nakhon Ratchasima FC",
            "prob": 69.5
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Nakhon Ratchasima FC",
            "prob": 51.5
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Chonburi FC or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 79.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 21.0,
        "draw_pct": 30.5,
        "home_pct": 48.5,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Chonburi FC"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.26,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.7,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 39.3,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 60.7,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.26,
        "under_prob": 60.7
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 21.4,
        "implied_prob": 25.1,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 30.5,
        "odds": 3.98
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-0",
        "prob": 14.7
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.41,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.3162,
        "ev_under": 0.3354,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.3354,
        "over_prob": 39.3,
        "sort_key": 10451.86,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 60.7,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.2398,
        "ev_yes": -0.2591,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2398,
        "no_prob": 55.1,
        "sort_key": 10215.82,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 44.9
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0651,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4831,
        "max_ev": 0.0077,
        "model_prob": 0.4852,
        "side_label": "Chonburi FC",
        "sort_key": 5206.16,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 824.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-0",
        "top_prob": 14.7
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 2773,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2773.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Nakhon Ratchasima FC",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/th.svg",
      "country_name": "Thailand",
      "fixture_id": 1491307,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 2772,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2772.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Chonburi FC",
      "league_country": "Thailand",
      "league_id": 296,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/296.webp",
      "league_name": "Thai League 1",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 11:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2673,
            "best_odd": 3.3,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0194,
            "ev": -0.1316,
            "implied_prob": 0.2826,
            "model_prob": 0.21,
            "p_final": 0.2632
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2683,
            "best_odd": 3.98,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0189,
            "ev": 0.0077,
            "implied_prob": 0.2343,
            "model_prob": 0.3048,
            "p_final": 0.2532
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5981,
            "best_odd": 1.93,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0013,
            "ev": -0.0651,
            "implied_prob": 0.4831,
            "model_prob": 0.4852,
            "p_final": 0.4844
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.25,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.65,
          "edge_no": 0.1209,
          "edge_yes": -0.1209,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.2398,
          "ev_yes": -0.2591,
          "implied_no": 0.4301,
          "implied_yes": 0.5699,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.74,
          "best_under_odd": 2.2,
          "edge_over": -0.1631,
          "edge_under": 0.1631,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.3162,
          "ev_under": 0.3354,
          "implied_over": 0.5561,
          "implied_under": 0.4439,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.26,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.3354,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.449,
          "draw_prob": 0.3048,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4852,
          "over_prob": 0.393,
          "total_xg": 2.26,
          "under_prob": 0.607,
          "xg_diff": 0.56
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0013,
          "ev": -0.0651,
          "implied_prob": 0.4831,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.4852,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Chonburi FC"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1209,
          "ev": 0.2398,
          "implied_prob": 0.4301,
          "model_prob": 0.551,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1631,
          "ev": 0.3354,
          "implied_prob": 0.4439,
          "model_prob": 0.607,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1491307,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.3354,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.21,
        "draw": 0.3048,
        "home": 0.4852
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2398,
        "implied_prob": 0.4301,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.551,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.2398,
          "implied_prob": 0.4301,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.551,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Nakhon Ratchasima FC",
        "home": "Chonburi FC"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.142511,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3354,
        "implied_prob": 0.4439,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.607,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1491307,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T10:59:16.302142+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Chonburi FC & Nakhon Ratchasima FC!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
Thai League 1 Thai League 1Bảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Buriram United 30 22 4 4 70
2 Port FC 30 18 6 6 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 59
4 BG Pathum United 30 14 10 6 52
5 Bangkok United 30 13 11 6 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 45
7 Chiangrai United 30 9 13 8 40
8 Chonburi FC 30 10 9 11 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 37
10 Ayutthaya FC 30 8 8 14 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 29
13 Sukhothai FC 30 6 10 14 28
14 Muangthong United 30 6 8 16 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 23
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Buriram United 30 76 31 +45 70
2 Port FC 30 59 23 +36 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 55 30 +25 59
4 BG Pathum United 30 45 29 +16 52
5 Rayong FC 30 44 49 -5 37
6 Bangkok United 30 43 32 +11 50
7 Prachuap 30 39 37 +2 45
8 Uthai Thani 30 39 44 -5 31
9 Chonburi FC 30 38 41 -3 39
10 Chiangrai United 30 36 37 -1 40
11 Lamphun Warrior 30 35 47 -12 29
12 Ayutthaya FC 30 34 50 -16 32
13 Kanchanaburi 30 29 54 -25 23
14 Muangthong United 30 27 52 -25 26
15 Sukhothai FC 30 23 42 -19 28
16 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 20 44 -24 24
# Đội Tr xG xGC +/- Đ
1 Buriram United 30 13.4 6.1 +7.3 70
2 Bangkok United 30 13.3 7.2 +6.1 50
3 Port FC 30 12.0 8.3 +3.7 60
4 Prachuap 30 10.3 6.6 +3.7 45
5 Ayutthaya FC 30 10.3 7.9 +2.4 32
6 Rayong FC 30 9.8 7.8 +2.0 37
7 Muangthong United 30 10.3 9.8 +0.5 26
8 Chonburi FC 30 8.9 10.1 -1.2 39
9 Ratchaburi 30 10.8 12.2 -1.4 59
10 Lamphun Warrior 30 9.5 11.1 -1.6 29
11 Uthai Thani 30 9.0 10.8 -1.8 31
12 BG Pathum United 30 8.1 9.9 -1.8 52
13 Kanchanaburi 30 9.0 12.2 -3.2 23
14 Chiangrai United 30 8.4 11.8 -3.4 40
15 Sukhothai FC 30 7.8 13.3 -5.5 28
16 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6.5 12.2 -5.7 24