Nhà cái cao cấp stake: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi FHn2uDc1. Đăng ký ngay
Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian
Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 Tài 2.5 (4 mục tiêu) ✔ Chính xác
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Có ✔ Chính xác
- 1X2 Hà Lan Vẽ tranh ✖ Không đúng
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Không đúng
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.11
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · Hà Lan 2–2 Nhật Bản
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
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"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": 0.3115707278212697,
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"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.4378,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.5622,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.28848237451119174,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 3.21,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.47,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 2.5,
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"home_predicted_xg": 1.446,
"home_win_prob": 0.3999468976675377,
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"model_name": "wc_elo_poisson",
"over_25_prob": 0.5064,
"prediction_confidence": "medium",
"source": "worldcup-poisson",
"under_25_prob": 0.4936
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"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : H\u00e0 Lan or draw",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : H\u00e0 Lan",
"percent_away": "31.2%",
"percent_draw": "28.8%",
"percent_home": "40.0%",
"winner_name": "H\u00e0 Lan"
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"away_xg": 1.2539749374435945,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "H\u00e0 Lan",
"confidence": 40.0,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "Winner : H\u00e0 Lan",
"edge": -0.0635,
"edge_gap": 0.0885,
"market": "1X2",
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"model_prob": 0.4001,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 28.8,
"home": 40.0
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.11
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"risk_color": "#f44336",
"risk_key": "high_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
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"display_market": "H\u00e0 Lan Win",
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"label": "Home",
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"overround": 2.2,
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},
"betting_markets": {
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"away_played": 0,
"away_score_rate": 71.5,
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"home_played": 0,
"home_score_rate": 76.4,
"no_prob": 43.8,
"pick": "Yes",
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"source": "xG_dc",
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"correct_score": {
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"scores": [
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{
"away": 0,
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"label": "1-0",
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{
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{
"away": 1,
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{
"away": 2,
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],
"source": "xG"
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"double_chance": {
"options": [
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"key": "1X",
"label": "H\u00e0 Lan or Draw",
"prob": 68.8
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "H\u00e0 Lan or Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n",
"prob": 71.2
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n",
"prob": 60.0
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],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "H\u00e0 Lan or Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n",
"pick_prob": 71.2
},
"match_winner": {
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"draw_pct": 28.8,
"home_pct": 40.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "H\u00e0 Lan"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.7,
"away_avg_scored": 0.0,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 0.0,
"over_prob": 50.6,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 50.6,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.7,
"under_prob": 49.4
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
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"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 19.2,
"implied_prob": 26.2,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n Win",
"model_prob": 31.2,
"odds": 3.82
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},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "H\u00e0 Lan",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
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"gap_pp": -6.36,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 40.0
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 28.03,
"gap_pp": 0.77,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 28.8
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 25.61,
"gap_pp": 5.59,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 31.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 45.9,
"gap_pp": 4.7,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 50.6
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 54.1,
"gap_pp": -4.7,
"kind": "ou_u",
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],
"movement": [
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{
"closing": 3.49,
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"kind": "1x2_d"
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{
"closing": 3.82,
"early": 3.82,
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"kind": "1x2_a"
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{
"closing": 2.11,
"early": 2.11,
"implied_closing_pct": 45.9,
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"kind": "ou_o"
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{
"closing": 1.79,
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"implied_closing_pct": 54.1,
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"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
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},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.2
}
},
"home_xg": 1.446025062556406,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0677,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 6.8,
"text": "+6.8%"
},
"ev_under": -0.0416,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -4.2,
"text": "-4.2%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0677,
"over_prob": 50.6,
"sort_key": 10210.93,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 49.4,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1328,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -13.3,
"text": "-13.3%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.0509,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 5.1,
"text": "+5.1%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0509,
"no_prob": 43.8,
"sort_key": 10045.81,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 56.2
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0763,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -7.6,
"text": "-7.6%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4636,
"max_ev": 0.0366,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 3.7,
"text": "+3.7%"
},
"model_prob": 0.4001,
"side_label": "H\u00e0 Lan",
"sort_key": 5229.28,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 816.6,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.2
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "10/14",
"alert_breadth_note": "10/14 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2193 -7.9%",
"alert_team": "Draw",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 6.4,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -6.36,
"hero_label": "H\u00e0 Lan",
"market_prob_pct": 46.4,
"market_team": "H\u00e0 Lan",
"model_prob_pct": 40.0,
"model_team": "H\u00e0 Lan",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable prediction",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": 50,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -6.36,
"fair_prob": 40.0,
"label": "H\u00e0 Lan",
"market_prob": 46.36,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 0.77,
"fair_prob": 28.8,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 28.03,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.59,
"fair_prob": 31.2,
"label": "Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n",
"market_prob": 25.61,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.7,
"fair_prob": 50.6,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 46.9,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.7,
"fair_prob": 49.4,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 53.1,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 4.7,
"fair_prob": 56.2,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 51.5,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -4.7,
"fair_prob": 43.8,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 48.5,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -6.36,
"fair_prob_pct": 40.0,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "H\u00e0 Lan",
"market_prob_pct": 46.36,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Draw"
},
"fair_source": "wc_poisson",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 6.36,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "high",
"fair_confidence_label": "High",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability estimated from Elo-adjusted Poisson model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "H\u00e0 Lan",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_prob_pct": 46.4,
"model_prob_pct": 40.0,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable prediction",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "Both lean H\u00e0 Lan, but the market prices them higher (46.4% vs model 40.0%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -6.36,
"hero_label": "H\u00e0 Lan",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Draw odds shortened \u2193 -7.9%.",
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "However, recent buying interest has been on Draw, with odds shortening by 7.9%.",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The market and model broadly agree on H\u00e0 Lan. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"note": "Buying interest on Draw \u2014 odds shortened by 7.9%.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model broadly agree on H\u00e0 Lan. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"However, recent buying interest has been on Draw, with odds shortening by 7.9%.",
"Buying interest on Draw \u2014 odds shortened by 7.9%."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market still prices H\u00e0 Lan above the current fair estimate.",
"At the same time, Draw has attracted buying interest, with odds shortening by 7.9%.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (10/14) supports the current market view on Draw."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 6.36,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 8.8 pp (at 40.0%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 8.8,
"max_prob_pct": 40.0,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -6.36,
"fair_prob_pct": 40.0,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "H\u00e0 Lan",
"market_prob_pct": 46.36,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 0.77,
"fair_prob_pct": 28.8,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 28.03,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.59,
"fair_prob_pct": 31.2,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n",
"market_prob_pct": 25.61,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "Buying interest on Draw \u2014 odds shortened by 7.9%.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers H\u00e0 Lan (46.4%).",
"However, Draw has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2193 -7.9%, 10/14).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 H\u00e0 Lan, Market \u2192 H\u00e0 Lan, Recent sharp money \u2192 Draw.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 47.39,
"closing_odds": 2.11,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 47.39,
"entry_odds": 2.11,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 10,
"books_total": 14,
"breadth_display": "10/14",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 3.5,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2193 -7.9%",
"move_pct_abs": 7.9,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 224h 16m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Bet365 led repricing on Draw (7.9%) \u2014 sharp book moved before wider follow-through.",
"A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "3.80 \u2192 3.10 \u2192 3.50",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 224h 16m",
"pick_team": "Draw",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "3.80"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "3.10"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "3.50"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,0.0 28.0,18.0 56.0,17.4",
"sparkline_trend": "down",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way drop"
},
"open_odds": 3.8,
"page_alert_line": "Strong steam move across 10/14 sportsbooks on Draw",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Draw",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\u26a1",
"signal_key": "sharp_led",
"signal_label": "Sharp-led move",
"steam_score": 50,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "10/14",
"current_odds": 3.5,
"move_display": "\u2193 -7.9%",
"open_odds": 3.8,
"pick_team": "Draw",
"steam_score": 50,
"steam_team_name": "Draw",
"steam_tier": "B"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 6.4,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 12,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/12.webp",
"away_team_name": "Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n",
"country_code": null,
"country_flag": null,
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"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Arlington",
"venue_name": "AT\u0026T Stadium"
},
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],
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"reliability": "medium"
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"ou25": {
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"ev_under": -0.0416,
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"implied_under": 0.531,
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"reliability": "medium"
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},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
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"confidence": 5.5,
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"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
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},
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"grade": "A",
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},
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"side": null
},
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"scoring_type": "neutral",
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"under_prob": 0.494,
"xg_diff": 0.192
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"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
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"longshot_picks": [
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"side": "away",
"side_label": "Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n",
"slot": "longshot"
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],
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"side": "home",
"side_label": "H\u00e0 Lan"
},
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"value_side": "yes"
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"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
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"action": "optional",
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"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
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"insight_line_key": null,
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"probabilities": {
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"home": 0.4001
},
"reason_codes": [
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"high_total_goals",
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],
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"home": "H\u00e0 Lan"
},
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"primary_strength": "clear",
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"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
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},
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}
},
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"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-14T19:59:04.580488+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Đăng ký ngay
World Cup — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Nam Phi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Hàn Quốc | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Cộng hòa Séc | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 | Nam Phi | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Hàn Quốc | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Cộng hòa Séc | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 6.6 | 3.8 | +2.8 | 9 |
| 2 | Hàn Quốc | 3 | 4.1 | 2.5 | +1.6 | 3 |
| 3 | Nam Phi | 3 | 2.7 | 4.7 | -2.0 | 4 |
| 4 | Cộng hòa Séc | 3 | 2.4 | 5.4 | -3.0 | 1 |
