Bzenec vs Holešov Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
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      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
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    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Winner : Bzenec and +1.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Bzenec"
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    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
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      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0871,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.5048,
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        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 5,
        "away_played": 25,
        "away_score_rate": 80.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 3,
        "home_failed_to_score": 6,
        "home_played": 25,
        "home_score_rate": 76.0,
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
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          {
            "away": 1,
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          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 2,
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          {
            "away": 2,
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            "prob": 6.6
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-1",
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        ],
        "source": "avg"
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      "double_chance": {
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          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Bzenec or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
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          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Bzenec or Hole\u0161ov",
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          {
            "key": "X2",
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        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
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        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Bzenec"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "+1.5",
        "avg_total": 3.85,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 2.3,
        "over_prob": 73.9,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 73.9,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 3.85,
        "under_prob": 26.1
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      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
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    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Hole\u0161ov",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Bzenec",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
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          "closing_implied_pct": 50.48,
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          "closing_implied_pct": 20.95,
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          "closing": 1.76,
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        {
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          "kind": "1x2_a"
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      "movement_negligible": true,
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        "gap_pp": 4.7,
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    "correct_score_insight": {
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        "label": "2-1",
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    "homepage_pick": null,
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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          "raw_pct": 19.6,
          "text": "+19.6%"
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          "text": "-17.9%"
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      {
        "decision": "lean",
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          "text": "-6.9%"
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        "ev_under": -0.1648,
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          "raw_pct": -7.4,
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      "away_team_id": 16876,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/16876.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Hole\u0161ov",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
      "country_name": "Czech-Republic",
      "fixture_id": 1487704,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Czech-Republic",
      "home_team_id": 7280,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/7280.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Bzenec",
      "league_country": "Czech-Republic",
      "league_id": 354,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/354.webp",
      "league_name": "4. liga - Divizie E",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-31 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": null,
      "venue_name": null
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    "match_decision": {
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          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
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        "score": 6.5
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      "markets": {
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            "best_odd": 3.11,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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        },
        "btts": {
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          "implied_yes": 0.6863,
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          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
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          "edge_under": -0.0319,
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          "implied_under": 0.2929,
          "n_bookmakers": 3,
          "reliability": "medium"
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      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
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    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1956,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.608,
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          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.739,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.261,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
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          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Bzenec"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "side": "no",
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        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
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          "implied_prob": 0.7071,
          "model_prob": 0.739,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
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      },
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        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
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        "max_valid_ev": 0.1956,
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        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
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        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
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      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Hole\u0161ov",
        "home": "Bzenec"
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      "top_pick": {
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        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.392,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "weak",
        "risk_band": "speculative",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": true
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-31T18:38:59.473122+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}