Thống kê / Bóng đá / Azerbaijan. Birinci Dasta / Şahdağ vs Mingəçevir

Şahdağ vs Mingəçevir Statistics & Analysis

May 05, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Không ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Şahdağ Şahdağ ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "51139f60de45f31dedcec63877c5d8359ab73d22b4cc495c2e28b2a86c2d7738",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Ming\u0259\u00e7evir",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Ming\u0259\u00e7evir"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.1816,
        "edge_gap": 0.0,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.2684,
        "model_prob": 0.45,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 45.0,
          "draw": 45.0,
          "home": 10.0
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 9,
        "away_failed_to_score": 4,
        "away_played": 24,
        "away_score_rate": 83.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 9,
        "home_failed_to_score": 6,
        "home_played": 24,
        "home_score_rate": 75.0,
        "no_prob": 37.5,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 62.5,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 62.5
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.55,
        "home_expected": 1.2,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.9
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 9.9
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 9.2
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 7.7
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 7.7
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "\u015eahda\u011f or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "\u015eahda\u011f or Ming\u0259\u00e7evir",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Ming\u0259\u00e7evir",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Ming\u0259\u00e7evir",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.75,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.0,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "over_prob": 51.9,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 51.9,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.75,
        "under_prob": 48.1
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.9
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.3062,
        "ev_yes": 0.1562,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.1562,
        "no_prob": 37.5,
        "sort_key": 10290.58,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 62.5
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.038,
        "ev_under": -0.1005,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.038,
        "over_prob": 51.9,
        "sort_key": 10034.2,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 48.1,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev": 0.0166,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.2684,
        "max_ev": 0.0166,
        "model_prob": 0.45,
        "side_label": "draw",
        "sort_key": 5213.28,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 815.7,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.9
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 5573,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/5573.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Ming\u0259\u00e7evir",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/az.svg",
      "country_name": "Azerbaijan",
      "fixture_id": 1466969,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 5576,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/5576.webp",
      "home_team_name": "\u015eahda\u011f",
      "league_country": "Azerbaijan",
      "league_id": 418,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/418.webp",
      "league_name": "Birinci Dasta",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-06 13:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.5415,
            "best_odd": 1.72,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0352,
            "ev": -0.1747,
            "implied_prob": 0.515,
            "model_prob": 0.45,
            "p_final": 0.4798
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2183,
            "best_odd": 3.3,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0396,
            "ev": 0.0166,
            "implied_prob": 0.2684,
            "model_prob": 0.45,
            "p_final": 0.3081
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.165,
            "best_odd": 4.09,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0192,
            "ev": -0.1929,
            "implied_prob": 0.2166,
            "model_prob": 0.1,
            "p_final": 0.1973
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.85,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.85,
          "edge_no": -0.1284,
          "edge_yes": 0.1284,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.3062,
          "ev_yes": 0.1562,
          "implied_no": 0.5034,
          "implied_yes": 0.4966,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.0,
          "best_under_odd": 1.87,
          "edge_over": 0.0438,
          "edge_under": -0.0438,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.038,
          "ev_under": -0.1005,
          "implied_over": 0.4752,
          "implied_under": 0.5248,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1562,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.625,
          "draw_prob": 0.45,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.45,
          "over_prob": 0.519,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.481,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0396,
          "ev": 0.0166,
          "implied_prob": 0.2684,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.45,
          "side": "draw",
          "side_label": "draw"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1284,
          "ev": 0.1562,
          "implied_prob": 0.4966,
          "model_prob": 0.625,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0438,
          "ev": 0.038,
          "implied_prob": 0.4752,
          "model_prob": 0.519,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1466969,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1562,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.45,
        "draw": 0.45,
        "home": 0.1
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Ming\u0259\u00e7evir",
        "home": "\u015eahda\u011f"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.097625,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1562,
        "implied_prob": 0.4966,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.625,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1466969,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-06T12:59:28.827921+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Şahdağ & Mingəçevir!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
Birinci Dasta Birinci DastaBảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Safa Baku 25 15 9 1 54
2 Səbail 25 14 7 4 49
3 Mingəçevir 25 13 6 6 45
4 Baku Sportinq 25 12 9 4 45
5 Şahdağ 25 12 5 8 41
6 MOIK 25 8 6 11 30
7 Zaqatala 25 7 4 14 25
8 Cəbrayıl 25 7 3 15 24
9 Şimal 25 4 5 16 17
10 Difai Ağsu 25 3 6 16 15
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Safa Baku 25 50 19 +31 54
2 Mingəçevir 25 48 25 +23 45
3 Səbail 25 45 17 +28 49
4 Cəbrayıl 25 38 52 -14 24
5 Baku Sportinq 25 36 22 +14 45
6 Şahdağ 25 35 26 +9 41
7 MOIK 25 28 37 -9 30
8 Difai Ağsu 25 27 56 -29 15
9 Zaqatala 25 25 40 -15 25
10 Şimal 25 20 58 -38 17