Villalbés vs CD Lugo B Statistics & Analysis

May 10, 2026 - 16:00
2 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 80%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Villalbés Villalbés ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 0-0 2-1 ✖ Incorrect

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "d0fe017b6b587509fd6be2f39ca24d0db8ea4ecec718b23dfc6d6e0736e9cc09",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or CD Lugo B",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "CD Lugo B"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Villalb\u00e9s",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0313,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3864,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 11,
        "away_failed_to_score": 8,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 75.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 17,
        "home_failed_to_score": 12,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 63.6,
        "no_prob": 51.8,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 51.8,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 48.2
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.0,
        "home_expected": 1.0,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 13.5
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 13.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 13.5
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.5
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 6.8
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Villalb\u00e9s or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Villalb\u00e9s or Polvor\u00edn",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Polvor\u00edn",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Polvor\u00edn",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.0,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "over_prob": 32.3,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 67.7,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.0,
        "under_prob": 67.7
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "0-0",
        "prob": 13.5
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.2313,
        "ev_under": 0.0358,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0358,
        "over_prob": 32.3,
        "sort_key": 10032.22,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 67.7,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.1349,
        "ev_yes": -0.0119,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": -0.0119,
        "no_prob": 51.8,
        "sort_key": 1797.025,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 48.2
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0804,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3864,
        "max_ev": -0.0804,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Villalb\u00e9s",
        "sort_key": 1779.9,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 820.5,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "0-0",
        "top_prob": 13.5
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 9614,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/9614.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Polvor\u00edn",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
      "country_name": "Spain",
      "fixture_id": 1458230,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 9618,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/9618.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Villalb\u00e9s",
      "league_country": "Spain",
      "league_id": 439,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/439.webp",
      "league_name": "Tercera Divisi\u00f3n RFEF - Group 1",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4483,
            "best_odd": 2.75,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0011,
            "ev": -0.1082,
            "implied_prob": 0.3232,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3243
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2848,
            "best_odd": 3.06,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0096,
            "ev": -0.1407,
            "implied_prob": 0.2904,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2808
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4289,
            "best_odd": 2.3,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0134,
            "ev": -0.0804,
            "implied_prob": 0.3864,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.3998
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.67,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.05,
          "edge_no": -0.0349,
          "edge_yes": 0.0349,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.1349,
          "ev_yes": -0.0119,
          "implied_no": 0.5529,
          "implied_yes": 0.4471,
          "n_bookmakers": 3,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.38,
          "best_under_odd": 1.53,
          "edge_over": -0.0746,
          "edge_under": 0.0746,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.2313,
          "ev_under": 0.0358,
          "implied_over": 0.3976,
          "implied_under": 0.6024,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0358,
      "confidence": 4.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 4.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.482,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.323,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.677,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0358,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.6024,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.677,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0134,
          "ev": -0.0804,
          "implied_prob": 0.3864,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Villalb\u00e9s"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0349,
          "ev": -0.0119,
          "implied_prob": 0.4471,
          "model_prob": 0.482,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0746,
          "ev": 0.0358,
          "implied_prob": 0.6024,
          "model_prob": 0.677,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1458230,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0358,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Polvor\u00edn",
        "home": "Villalb\u00e9s"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1458230,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T15:00:46.763682+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Villalbés & CD Lugo B!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Bảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Arosa 34 20 10 4 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 68
3 Atlético Arteixo 34 16 10 8 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 53
5 Villalbés 34 13 13 8 52
6 Boiro 34 13 12 9 51
7 Celta de Vigo III 34 13 12 9 51
8 Somozas 34 13 12 9 51
9 Coruña 34 12 12 10 48
10 CD Lugo B 34 12 12 10 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 38
15 Silva 34 9 9 16 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 25
18 Barbadás 34 4 7 23 19
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Arosa 34 58 35 +23 70
2 Celta de Vigo III 34 57 42 +15 51
3 Compostela 34 55 28 +27 68
4 Atlético Arteixo 34 54 44 +10 58
5 Coruña 34 48 42 +6 48
6 Celtiga 34 47 48 -1 40
7 Estradense 34 46 33 +13 53
8 Boiro 34 45 29 +16 51
9 Alondras 34 45 48 -3 45
10 CD Lugo B 34 41 35 +6 48
11 Somozas 34 37 32 +5 51
12 Villalbés 34 36 29 +7 52
13 Silva 34 36 48 -12 36
14 Barco 34 35 41 -6 46
15 Noia 34 28 57 -29 25
16 Viveiro 34 27 41 -14 38
17 Barbadás 34 25 69 -44 19
18 Cambados 34 24 43 -19 26