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Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian
Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 Tài 2.5 (4 mục tiêu) ✔ Chính xác
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Có ✔ Chính xác
- 1X2 Kruger United Vẽ tranh ✖ Không đúng
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-2 ✖ Không đúng
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.6
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · Kruger United 2–2 The Bees
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "6fbac1e8922e20ede1e54eaca598aaa55d03792bd8c257e4f57d6d9f00b05104",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Winner : Kruger United",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Kruger United"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Kruger United",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.1489,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.5666,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 8,
"away_failed_to_score": 9,
"away_played": 29,
"away_score_rate": 69.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 8,
"home_failed_to_score": 2,
"home_played": 29,
"home_score_rate": 93.1,
"no_prob": 35.8,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 64.2,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 64.2
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.15,
"home_expected": 1.45,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.4
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.8
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.0
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 7.8
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Kruger United or Draw",
"prob": 90.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Kruger United or The Bees",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or The Bees",
"prob": 55.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Kruger United or Draw",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 10.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 45.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Kruger United"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 1.2,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.7,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "The Bees",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Kruger United",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 56.66,
"gap_pp": -14.89,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 25.39,
"gap_pp": 0.28,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 17.95,
"gap_pp": 14.61,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 46.4,
"gap_pp": 1.8,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 53.6,
"gap_pp": -1.8,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.6,
"early": 1.6,
"implied_closing_pct": 56.66,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 56.66,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.57,
"early": 3.57,
"implied_closing_pct": 25.39,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 25.39,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 5.05,
"early": 5.05,
"implied_closing_pct": 17.95,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 17.95,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.01,
"early": 2.01,
"implied_closing_pct": 46.4,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 46.4,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.74,
"early": 1.74,
"implied_closing_pct": 53.6,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 53.6,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 14.6,
"kind": "1x2_a"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.4
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.3735,
"ev_yes": 0.284,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.284,
"no_prob": 35.8,
"sort_key": 10405.6,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 64.2
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0604,
"ev_under": -0.0987,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0604,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10054.36,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.2045,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.5666,
"max_ev": 0.0218,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Kruger United",
"sort_key": 5217.44,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.2,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.4
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 25529,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/25529.webp",
"away_team_name": "The Bees",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/za.svg",
"country_name": "South-Africa",
"fixture_id": 1446435,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 24759,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/24759.webp",
"home_team_name": "Kruger United",
"league_country": "South-Africa",
"league_id": 289,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/289.webp",
"league_name": "Gi\u1ea3i h\u1ea1ng Nh\u1ea5t Nam Phi",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 13:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1562,
"best_odd": 5.05,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0228,
"ev": 0.0218,
"implied_prob": 0.1795,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.2023
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2988,
"best_odd": 3.57,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0008,
"ev": -0.0905,
"implied_prob": 0.2539,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2548
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.466,
"best_odd": 1.6,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0694,
"ev": -0.2045,
"implied_prob": 0.5666,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4972
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.75,
"best_yes_odd": 2.0,
"edge_no": -0.177,
"edge_yes": 0.177,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.3735,
"ev_yes": 0.284,
"implied_no": 0.535,
"implied_yes": 0.465,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.2,
"best_under_odd": 1.74,
"edge_over": 0.0304,
"edge_under": -0.0304,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0604,
"ev_under": -0.0987,
"implied_over": 0.4516,
"implied_under": 0.5484,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.284,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.642,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0218,
"implied_prob": 0.1795,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "longshot",
"side": "away",
"side_label": "The Bees",
"slot": "longshot"
}
],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0694,
"ev": -0.2045,
"implied_prob": 0.5666,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Kruger United"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.177,
"ev": 0.284,
"implied_prob": 0.465,
"model_prob": 0.642,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0304,
"ev": 0.0604,
"implied_prob": 0.4516,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1446435,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.284,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals",
"longshot_high_variance"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "The Bees",
"home": "Kruger United"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.182328,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.284,
"implied_prob": 0.465,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.642,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1446435,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T12:59:58.949514+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Kruger United & The Bees!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Giải hạng Nhất Nam Phi — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kruger United | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 62 |
| 2 | Cape Town City | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 54 |
| 3 | Milford FC | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 54 |
| 4 | Casric Stars | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 52 |
| 5 | Hungry Lions | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 52 |
| 6 | Highbury | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Upington City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39 |
| 8 | Lerumo Lions | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39 |
| 9 | Venda FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 |
| 10 | The Bees | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 |
| 11 | Đại học Pretoria | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 35 |
| 12 | Leicesterfield | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 34 |
| 13 | Gomora United FC | 30 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 33 |
| 14 | Midlands Wanderers | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 |
| 15 | Black Leopards | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
| 16 | Baroka FC | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kruger United | 30 | 50 | 34 | +16 | 62 |
| 2 | Casric Stars | 30 | 46 | 27 | +19 | 52 |
| 3 | Cape Town City | 30 | 45 | 23 | +22 | 54 |
| 4 | Hungry Lions | 30 | 41 | 25 | +16 | 52 |
| 5 | Milford FC | 30 | 40 | 24 | +16 | 54 |
| 6 | The Bees | 30 | 37 | 36 | +1 | 35 |
| 7 | Đại học Pretoria | 30 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | Lerumo Lions | 30 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Upington City | 30 | 35 | 33 | +2 | 39 |
| 10 | Highbury | 30 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 42 |
| 11 | Gomora United FC | 30 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 33 |
| 12 | Midlands Wanderers | 30 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 33 |
| 13 | Black Leopards | 30 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Leicesterfield | 30 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 | Venda FC | 30 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 36 |
| 16 | Baroka FC | 30 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 20 |
