Zürich II vs Luzern II Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : Z\u00fcrich II or draw and +1.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Z\u00fcrich II"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Z\u00fcrich II",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0049,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4128,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 4,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 87.5,
        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 7,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 78.1,
        "no_prob": 31.6,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 68.4,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 68.4
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      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 2.05,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-2",
            "prob": 7.3
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 7.1
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 7.1
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 7.0
          },
          {
            "away": 3,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-3",
            "prob": 5.0
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Z\u00fcrich II or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Z\u00fcrich II or Luzern II",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Luzern II",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Z\u00fcrich II or Draw",
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        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Z\u00fcrich II"
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        "avg_total": 4.1,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.3,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.7,
        "over_prob": 77.6,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 77.6,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 4.1,
        "under_prob": 22.4
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Luzern II",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Z\u00fcrich II",
      "largest_move_kind": "1x2_a",
      "max_abs_move_pp": 3.06,
      "model_vs_closing": [
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          "closing_implied_pct": 41.28,
          "gap_pp": 0.49,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
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        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 22.72,
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          "closing_implied_pct": 36.0,
          "gap_pp": -3.43,
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      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.18,
          "early": 2.08,
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          "implied_delta_pp": -1.48,
          "implied_early_pct": 42.76,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
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        {
          "closing": 3.96,
          "early": 3.66,
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        {
          "closing": 2.5,
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          "implied_delta_pp": 3.06,
          "implied_early_pct": 32.94,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
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      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 2.9,
        "kind": "1x2_d"
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    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "2-2",
        "prob": 7.3
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    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_under": -0.1264,
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        "value_side": "over"
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      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
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        "ev_available": true,
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        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4128,
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        "side_label": "Z\u00fcrich II",
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      "away_team_id": 12706,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/12706.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Luzern II",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ch.svg",
      "country_name": "Switzerland",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 10591,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/10591.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Z\u00fcrich II",
      "league_country": "Switzerland",
      "league_id": 510,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/510.webp",
      "league_name": "1. Liga Promotion",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-23 14:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
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        "score": 6.5
      },
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          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
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            "alpha": 0.4268,
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            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "p_final": 0.415
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        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.23,
          "edge_no": 0.0725,
          "edge_yes": -0.0725,
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          "ev_yes": -0.1587,
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          "implied_yes": 0.7565,
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          "implied_under": 0.2532,
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          "reliability": "medium"
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      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
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      "confidence": 4.0,
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
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        "score": 4.0
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      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
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        "gap": null,
        "side": null
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "under_prob": 0.224,
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        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": {
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        "ev": 0.2577,
        "hero_display_only": true,
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        "model_prob": 0.316,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "speculative",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "hero_display"
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      "longshot_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "slot": "longshot"
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      ],
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          "decision": "no_bet",
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          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Z\u00fcrich II"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
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      },
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        "stake_mult": 0.1,
        "use_split_strip": true
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        "away": 0.3257,
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        "high_total_goals",
        "longshot_high_variance"
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Luzern II",
        "home": "Z\u00fcrich II"
      },
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      "valid_markets_count": 1
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T18:55:47.335504+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}