London City Lionesses vs Aston Villa W Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : London City Lionesses or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "London City Lionesses"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "London City Lionesses",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0239,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4416,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
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    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 6,
        "away_failed_to_score": 5,
        "away_played": 21,
        "away_score_rate": 76.2,
        "home_clean_sheet": 3,
        "home_failed_to_score": 6,
        "home_played": 21,
        "home_score_rate": 71.4,
        "no_prob": 45.6,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 54.4,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 54.4
      },
      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 1.7,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 10.6
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.0
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          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 7.7
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          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 7.3
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-2",
            "prob": 6.5
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "London City Lionesses or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "London City Lionesses or Aston Villa W",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Aston Villa W",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "London City Lionesses or Draw",
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      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "London City Lionesses"
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        "avg_total": 3.15,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 61.0,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 61.0,
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        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.15,
        "under_prob": 39.0
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Aston Villa W",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "London City Lionesses",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
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          "closing_implied_pct": 44.16,
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          "model_pct": 41.77
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          "closing_implied_pct": 30.71,
          "gap_pp": 1.86,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 56.77,
          "gap_pp": 4.23,
          "kind": "ou_o",
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        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 43.23,
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      "movement": [
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          "closing": 2.1,
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        {
          "closing": 3.69,
          "early": 3.69,
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          "kind": "1x2_d"
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        {
          "closing": 3.02,
          "early": 3.02,
          "implied_closing_pct": 30.71,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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          "kind": "1x2_a"
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        {
          "closing": 1.66,
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          "kind": "ou_o"
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        {
          "closing": 2.18,
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    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_yes": -0.1405,
        "featured": true,
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        "tier": "best",
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        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4416,
        "max_ev": -0.0563,
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    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 14219,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/14219.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Aston Villa W",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/gb-eng.svg",
      "country_name": "England",
      "fixture_id": 1417326,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 15406,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/15406.webp",
      "home_team_name": "London City Lionesses",
      "league_country": "England",
      "league_id": 44,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/44.webp",
      "league_name": "FA WSL",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
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            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "implied_yes": 0.5917,
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          "reliability": "medium"
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          "implied_under": 0.4394,
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      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "under_prob": 0.39,
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        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0488,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.4083,
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        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "hero_display"
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      "longshot_picks": [],
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          "implied_prob": 0.4416,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
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          "side_label": "London City Lionesses"
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          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "side": "over",
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      },
      "match_id": 1417326,
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        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
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        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
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        "away": 0.3257,
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        "high_total_goals"
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Aston Villa W",
        "home": "London City Lionesses"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 2
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T15:59:12.761213+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}