Aston Villa W vs Arsenal W Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Winner : Arsenal W and +1.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "50%",
      "percent_draw": "50%",
      "percent_home": "0%",
      "winner_name": "Arsenal W"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Aston Villa W",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.3455,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.0722,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_clean_sheet": 9,
        "away_failed_to_score": 3,
        "away_played": 19,
        "away_score_rate": 84.2,
        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 4,
        "home_played": 20,
        "home_score_rate": 80.0,
        "no_prob": 32.6,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 67.4,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 67.4
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      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 2.3,
        "home_expected": 1.05,
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            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 9.7
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 9.3
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 8.5
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 8.1
          },
          {
            "away": 3,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-3",
            "prob": 7.5
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Aston Villa W or Draw",
            "prob": 50.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Aston Villa W or Arsenal W",
            "prob": 50.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Arsenal W",
            "prob": 100.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Arsenal W",
        "pick_prob": 100.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 50.0,
        "draw_pct": 50.0,
        "home_pct": 0.0,
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        "lean_label": "Draw"
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        "avg_total": 3.35,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.4,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "over_prob": 65.1,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 65.1,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 3.35,
        "under_prob": 34.9
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-2",
        "prob": 9.7
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.3773,
        "ev_yes": 0.2604,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2604,
        "no_prob": 32.6,
        "sort_key": 10384.36,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
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        "side_label": "Aston Villa W",
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        "decision": "lean",
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        "ev_under": -0.0577,
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      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 1850,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1850.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Arsenal W",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/gb-eng.svg",
      "country_name": "England",
      "fixture_id": 1417311,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 14219,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/14219.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Aston Villa W",
      "league_country": "England",
      "league_id": 44,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/44.webp",
      "league_name": "FA WSL",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-09 11:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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        "score": 6.5
      },
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              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "edge": -0.1379,
            "ev": -0.2101,
            "implied_prob": 0.7854,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.6475
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          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.1657,
            "best_odd": 6.73,
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            "alpha": 0.1,
            "best_odd": 13.27,
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.87,
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          "implied_yes": 0.5037,
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          "reliability": "medium"
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          "edge_under": -0.0037,
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          "ev_under": -0.0577,
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          "reliability": "medium"
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
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          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.651,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.349,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
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        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
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          "side_label": "Aston Villa W"
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        "btts": {
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        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0037,
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          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
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        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
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        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
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        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
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      "reason_codes": [
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        "longshot_high_variance"
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "side_label": "Aston Villa W",
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          "not_dominant": true,
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          "side_label": "Aston Villa W",
          "slot": "secondary"
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      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Arsenal W",
        "home": "Aston Villa W"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.17551,
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        "model_prob": 0.674,
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        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
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