Thống kê / Bóng đá / Hungary. NB III - Northwest / Újpest II vs Pápai Perutz

Újpest II vs Pápai Perutz Statistics & Analysis

May 17, 2026 - 09:00
3 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 46%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Újpest II Újpest II ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 2-1, 1-1, 2-2, 1-2, 3-1 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

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View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "c9117a6ce086880ffc1777f339446ee3f7cc3ae19ce09b5f8417f3e6df35bc87",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : \u00dajpest II or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "\u00dajpest II"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "\u00dajpest II",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.1405,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.5582,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 2,
        "away_failed_to_score": 8,
        "away_played": 28,
        "away_score_rate": 71.4,
        "home_clean_sheet": 4,
        "home_failed_to_score": 6,
        "home_played": 28,
        "home_score_rate": 78.6,
        "no_prob": 43.9,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 56.1,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 56.1
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.6,
        "home_expected": 2.15,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.7
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 8.1
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-2",
            "prob": 7.0
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 6.5
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-1",
            "prob": 6.2
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "\u00dajpest II or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "\u00dajpest II or P\u00e1pai Perutz",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or P\u00e1pai Perutz",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "\u00dajpest II or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "\u00dajpest II"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.75,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "over_prob": 72.3,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 72.3,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.75,
        "under_prob": 27.7
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "P\u00e1pai Perutz",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "\u00dajpest II",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 55.82,
          "gap_pp": -14.05,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 23.3,
          "gap_pp": 2.37,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 20.88,
          "gap_pp": 11.68,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 60.1,
          "gap_pp": 12.2,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 72.3
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 39.9,
          "gap_pp": -12.2,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 27.7
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.59,
          "early": 1.59,
          "implied_closing_pct": 55.82,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 55.82,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.81,
          "early": 3.81,
          "implied_closing_pct": 23.3,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 23.3,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 4.25,
          "early": 4.25,
          "implied_closing_pct": 20.88,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 20.88,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.52,
          "early": 1.52,
          "implied_closing_pct": 60.1,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 60.1,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.29,
          "early": 2.29,
          "implied_closing_pct": 39.9,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 39.9,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 12.2,
        "kind": "ou_o"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "2-1",
        "prob": 8.7
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.1351,
        "ev_under": -0.1967,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1351,
        "over_prob": 72.3,
        "sort_key": 10271.59,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 27.7,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0097,
        "ev_yes": -0.0912,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0097,
        "no_prob": 43.9,
        "sort_key": 5207.76,
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 56.1
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.2183,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.5582,
        "max_ev": -0.0306,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "\u00dajpest II",
        "sort_key": 1792.35,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 806.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "2-1",
        "top_prob": 8.7
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 5129,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/5129.webp",
      "away_team_name": "P\u00e1pai Perutz",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/hu.svg",
      "country_name": "Hungary",
      "fixture_id": 1414962,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 11860,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/11860.webp",
      "home_team_name": "\u00dajpest II",
      "league_country": "Hungary",
      "league_id": 635,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/635.webp",
      "league_name": "NB III - Northwest",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.165,
            "best_odd": 4.25,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0193,
            "ev": -0.0306,
            "implied_prob": 0.2088,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.2281
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2893,
            "best_odd": 3.81,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0069,
            "ev": -0.0863,
            "implied_prob": 0.233,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2398
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4735,
            "best_odd": 1.59,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0666,
            "ev": -0.2183,
            "implied_prob": 0.5582,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4917
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.3,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.62,
          "edge_no": 0.0158,
          "edge_yes": -0.0158,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0097,
          "ev_yes": -0.0912,
          "implied_no": 0.4232,
          "implied_yes": 0.5768,
          "n_bookmakers": 3,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.57,
          "best_under_odd": 2.9,
          "edge_over": 0.108,
          "edge_under": -0.108,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.1351,
          "ev_under": -0.1967,
          "implied_over": 0.615,
          "implied_under": 0.385,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1351,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.561,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.723,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.277,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0666,
          "ev": -0.2183,
          "implied_prob": 0.5582,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "\u00dajpest II"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0158,
          "ev": 0.0097,
          "implied_prob": 0.4232,
          "model_prob": 0.439,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.108,
          "ev": 0.1351,
          "implied_prob": 0.615,
          "model_prob": 0.723,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1414962,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1351,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "P\u00e1pai Perutz",
        "home": "\u00dajpest II"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.097677,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1351,
        "implied_prob": 0.615,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.723,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1414962,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T15:00:50.090447+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
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  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Újpest II & Pápai Perutz!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
NB III - Northwest NB III - NorthwestBảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Gyirmot SE 28 25 1 2 76
2 Tatabánya 28 18 2 8 56
3 Dorogi FC 28 17 4 7 55
4 Puskás II 28 16 3 9 51
5 Komárom 28 14 6 8 48
6 Haladás VSE 28 14 5 9 47
7 MTE 1904 28 13 5 10 44
8 Veszprém 28 11 8 9 41
9 Bicskei 28 10 6 12 36
10 Budaörs 28 10 5 13 35
11 Gyori ETO II 28 9 4 15 31
12 Újpest II 28 8 7 13 31
13 SC Sopron 28 8 7 13 31
14 Pápai Perutz 28 6 3 19 21
15 Balatonfüredi 28 4 6 18 18
16 Zsámbéki SK 28 3 4 21 13
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Gyirmot SE 28 101 20 +81 76
2 Tatabánya 28 60 37 +23 56
3 Komárom 28 56 41 +15 48
4 Puskás II 28 55 33 +22 51
5 Bicskei 28 49 47 +2 36
6 Budaörs 28 47 50 -3 35
7 Dorogi FC 28 45 32 +13 55
8 Gyori ETO II 28 43 58 -15 31
9 MTE 1904 28 42 31 +11 44
10 Újpest II 28 42 48 -6 31
11 Pápai Perutz 28 42 79 -37 21
12 Haladás VSE 28 41 31 +10 47
13 SC Sopron 28 39 54 -15 31
14 Zsámbéki SK 28 34 100 -66 13
15 Veszprém 28 33 31 +2 41
16 Balatonfüredi 28 20 57 -37 18