Thống kê / Bóng đá / Poland. III Liga - Group 4 / Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska

Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska Statistics & Analysis

May 23, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 82%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Star Starachowice Vẽ tranh ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 1-0 1-1 ✔ Correct

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "3e49f64c532ed697fc8d25be722e8793ca4af7bdeb871d849852370eab367266",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Podlasie Bia\u0142a Podlaska",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Podlasie Bia\u0142a Podlaska"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Star Starachowice",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0435,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4612,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 7,
        "away_failed_to_score": 5,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 84.4,
        "home_clean_sheet": 12,
        "home_failed_to_score": 4,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 87.5,
        "no_prob": 26.2,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 73.8,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 73.8
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.5,
        "home_expected": 1.45,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.4
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.5
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 7.9
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 7.6
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Star Starachowice or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Star Starachowice or Podlasie Bia\u0142a Podlaska",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Podlasie Bia\u0142a Podlaska",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Podlasie Bia\u0142a Podlaska",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.95,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.8,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "over_prob": 56.6,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 56.6,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.95,
        "under_prob": 43.4
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Podlasie Bia\u0142a Podlaska",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE5",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Star Starachowice",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 46.12,
          "gap_pp": -4.35,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 22.65,
          "gap_pp": 3.02,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 31.23,
          "gap_pp": 1.33,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 57.82,
          "gap_pp": -1.22,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 56.6
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 42.18,
          "gap_pp": 1.22,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 43.4
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.93,
          "early": 1.93,
          "implied_closing_pct": 46.12,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 46.12,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.93,
          "early": 3.93,
          "implied_closing_pct": 22.65,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 22.65,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.85,
          "early": 2.85,
          "implied_closing_pct": 31.23,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 31.23,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.59,
          "early": 1.59,
          "implied_closing_pct": 57.82,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 57.82,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.18,
          "early": 2.18,
          "implied_closing_pct": 42.18,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 42.18,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 3.0,
        "kind": "1x2_d"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.4
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.3712,
        "ev_yes": 0.1587,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.1587,
        "no_prob": 26.2,
        "sort_key": 10292.83,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 73.8
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0661,
        "ev_under": -0.0018,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": -0.0018,
        "over_prob": 56.6,
        "sort_key": 4049.748,
        "tier": "lean",
        "under_prob": 43.4,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.157,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4612,
        "max_ev": -0.0759,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Star Starachowice",
        "sort_key": 1781.025,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 814.2,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.4
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 16269,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/16269.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Podlasie Bia\u0142a Podlaska",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1411361,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 21660,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/21660.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Star Starachowice",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 783,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/783.webp",
      "league_name": "III Liga - Group 4",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-23 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.441,
            "best_odd": 2.85,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0059,
            "ev": -0.0931,
            "implied_prob": 0.3123,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3182
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2864,
            "best_odd": 3.93,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0086,
            "ev": -0.0759,
            "implied_prob": 0.2265,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2351
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5608,
            "best_odd": 1.93,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0244,
            "ev": -0.157,
            "implied_prob": 0.4612,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4368
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.4,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.57,
          "edge_no": -0.1414,
          "edge_yes": 0.1414,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.3712,
          "ev_yes": 0.1587,
          "implied_no": 0.4034,
          "implied_yes": 0.5966,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.65,
          "best_under_odd": 2.3,
          "edge_over": -0.0076,
          "edge_under": 0.0076,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0661,
          "ev_under": -0.0018,
          "implied_over": 0.5736,
          "implied_under": 0.4264,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1587,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.738,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.566,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.434,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0244,
          "ev": -0.157,
          "implied_prob": 0.4612,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Star Starachowice"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1414,
          "ev": 0.1587,
          "implied_prob": 0.5966,
          "model_prob": 0.738,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0076,
          "ev": -0.0018,
          "implied_prob": 0.4264,
          "model_prob": 0.434,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1411361,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1587,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Podlasie Bia\u0142a Podlaska",
        "home": "Star Starachowice"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.117121,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1587,
        "implied_prob": 0.5966,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.738,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1411361,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T19:36:12.579699+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Star Starachowice & Podlasie Biała Podlaska!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
III Liga - Group 4 III Liga - Group 4Bảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Avia Świdnik 34 23 8 3 77
2 KSZO 1929 34 22 8 4 74
3 Chełmianka Chełm 34 21 9 4 72
4 Korona Kielce II 34 18 4 12 58
5 Star Starachowice 34 15 10 9 55
6 Czarni Połaniec 34 16 5 13 53
7 Podlasie Biała Podlaska 34 14 10 10 52
8 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 34 14 9 11 51
9 Wiślanie Jaśkowice 34 15 6 13 51
10 Wisła Kraków II 34 15 4 15 49
11 Wisłoka Dębica 34 12 12 10 48
12 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 34 11 10 13 43
13 Naprzód 34 11 6 18 38
14 Sokół Kolb. 34 11 4 19 37
15 Stal Kraśnik 34 9 7 18 34
16 Cracovia Kraków II 34 9 6 19 33
17 Świdniczanka Świdnik 34 5 5 25 20
18 Sparta KW 34 4 1 29 13
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Avia Świdnik 34 84 35 +49 77
2 Wisła Kraków II 34 67 58 +9 49
3 KSZO 1929 34 66 30 +36 74
4 Korona Kielce II 34 66 59 +7 58
5 Chełmianka Chełm 34 65 31 +34 72
6 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 34 61 45 +16 51
7 Podlasie Biała Podlaska 34 60 48 +12 52
8 Czarni Połaniec 34 59 49 +10 53
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 34 59 52 +7 43
10 Wiślanie Jaśkowice 34 52 51 +1 51
11 Star Starachowice 34 51 43 +8 55
12 Naprzód 34 45 56 -11 38
13 Cracovia Kraków II 34 44 71 -27 33
14 Stal Kraśnik 34 42 52 -10 34
15 Wisłoka Dębica 34 37 35 +2 48
16 Sokół Kolb. 34 36 54 -18 37
17 Świdniczanka Świdnik 34 36 80 -44 20
18 Sparta KW 34 29 110 -81 13