Thống kê / Bóng đá / Poland. III Liga - Group 3 / Carina Gubin vs Polonia Nysa

Carina Gubin vs Polonia Nysa Statistics & Analysis

May 30, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 72%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Carina Gubin Polonia Nysa ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

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View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "4eb9c75270e13a178222bb262f5887e0b1f6f0fab256bd2339c108bec4497d58",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Carina Gubin or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Carina Gubin"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Carina Gubin",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0534,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4711,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 6,
        "away_failed_to_score": 7,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 78.1,
        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 3,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 90.6,
        "no_prob": 29.2,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 70.8,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 70.8
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.45,
        "home_expected": 1.6,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.0
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.8
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.0
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 7.6
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 6.9
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Carina Gubin or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Carina Gubin or Polonia Nysa",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Polonia Nysa",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Carina Gubin or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Carina Gubin"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.05,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "over_prob": 58.8,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 58.8,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.05,
        "under_prob": 41.2
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Polonia Nysa",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Carina Gubin",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 47.11,
          "gap_pp": -5.34,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 21.32,
          "gap_pp": 4.35,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 31.57,
          "gap_pp": 0.99,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 64.23,
          "gap_pp": -5.43,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 58.8
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 35.77,
          "gap_pp": 5.43,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 41.2
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.91,
          "early": 1.91,
          "implied_closing_pct": 47.11,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 47.11,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 4.22,
          "early": 4.22,
          "implied_closing_pct": 21.32,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 21.32,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.85,
          "early": 2.85,
          "implied_closing_pct": 31.57,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 31.57,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.42,
          "early": 1.42,
          "implied_closing_pct": 64.23,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 64.23,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.55,
          "early": 2.55,
          "implied_closing_pct": 35.77,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 35.77,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 5.4,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.0
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.235,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -23.5,
          "text": "-23.5%"
        },
        "ev_yes": 0.062,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 6.2,
          "text": "+6.2%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.062,
        "no_prob": 29.2,
        "sort_key": 10205.8,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 70.8
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0474,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -4.7,
          "text": "-4.7%"
        },
        "ev_under": 0.0506,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 5.1,
          "text": "+5.1%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0506,
        "over_prob": 58.8,
        "sort_key": 10045.54,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 41.2,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1566,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -15.7,
          "text": "-15.7%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4711,
        "max_ev": -0.0659,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -6.6,
          "text": "-6.6%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Carina Gubin",
        "sort_key": 1783.525,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 813.0,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.0
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 14145,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/14145.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Polonia Nysa",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1411067,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Poland",
      "home_team_id": 17401,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/17401.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Carina Gubin",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 782,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/782.webp",
      "league_name": "III Liga - Group 3",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-30 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Gubin",
      "venue_name": "Stadion Miejski Gubin"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4433,
            "best_odd": 2.85,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0044,
            "ev": -0.0877,
            "implied_prob": 0.3157,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3201
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.187,
            "best_odd": 4.22,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0081,
            "ev": -0.0659,
            "implied_prob": 0.2132,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2213
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5519,
            "best_odd": 1.91,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0295,
            "ev": -0.1566,
            "implied_prob": 0.4711,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4416
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.62,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.5,
          "edge_no": -0.0772,
          "edge_yes": 0.0772,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.235,
          "ev_yes": 0.062,
          "implied_no": 0.3692,
          "implied_yes": 0.6308,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.62,
          "best_under_odd": 2.55,
          "edge_over": -0.0131,
          "edge_under": 0.0131,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0474,
          "ev_under": 0.0506,
          "implied_over": 0.6011,
          "implied_under": 0.3989,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.062,
      "confidence": 5.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.708,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.588,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.412,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0295,
          "ev": -0.1566,
          "implied_prob": 0.4711,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Carina Gubin"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0772,
          "ev": 0.062,
          "implied_prob": 0.6308,
          "model_prob": 0.708,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0131,
          "ev": 0.0506,
          "implied_prob": 0.3989,
          "model_prob": 0.412,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1411067,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.062,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Polonia Nysa",
        "home": "Carina Gubin"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.043896,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.062,
        "implied_prob": 0.6308,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.708,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1411067,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-30T19:56:58.798385+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Carina Gubin & Polonia Nysa!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
III Liga - Group 3 III Liga - Group 3Bảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Lechia Zielona Góra 34 21 10 3 73
2 Górnik Polkowice 34 20 7 7 67
3 Sparta Katowice 34 18 8 8 62
4 SKRA Częstochowa 34 17 8 9 59
5 Zagłębie Lubin II 34 17 6 11 57
6 Goczałkowice Zdrój 34 15 9 10 54
7 Kluczbork 34 15 8 12 52
8 Warta Gorzów 34 15 8 12 52
9 Górnik Zabrze II 34 15 6 13 51
10 Ślęza Wrocław 34 14 8 13 49
11 Słowianin 34 13 9 12 48
12 Carina Gubin 34 12 11 11 47
13 Miedź Legnica II 34 13 7 14 46
14 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 34 12 9 13 45
15 Polonia Nysa 34 9 10 15 37
16 Starowice Dolne 34 7 6 21 27
17 Pawłowice Śląskie 34 5 5 25 20
18 Stal Jasień 34 2 1 31 7
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Lechia Zielona Góra 34 77 17 +60 73
2 Zagłębie Lubin II 34 77 61 +16 57
3 Górnik Zabrze II 34 73 44 +29 51
4 SKRA Częstochowa 34 68 56 +12 59
5 Kluczbork 34 67 43 +24 52
6 Górnik Polkowice 34 64 42 +22 67
7 Miedź Legnica II 34 63 58 +5 46
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 34 57 56 +1 45
9 Warta Gorzów 34 54 47 +7 52
10 Sparta Katowice 34 53 34 +19 62
11 Polonia Nysa 34 51 58 -7 37
12 Carina Gubin 34 50 51 -1 47
13 Goczałkowice Zdrój 34 49 46 +3 54
14 Ślęza Wrocław 34 49 57 -8 49
15 Słowianin 34 48 49 -1 48
16 Starowice Dolne 34 33 81 -48 27
17 Pawłowice Śląskie 34 28 77 -49 20
18 Stal Jasień 34 21 105 -84 7