Thống kê / Bóng đá / Poland. III Liga - Group 2 / Polonia Środa vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce

Polonia Środa vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce Statistics & Analysis

May 30, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 80%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Polonia Środa Polonia Środa ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "4952d5b8097848ce027a5e9dbfe87d0b4d168bd0b27549fa550a432b9f317152",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Pogo\u0144 Nowe Skalmierzyce",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Pogo\u0144 Nowe Skalmierzyce"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Polonia \u015aroda",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.031,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4487,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 12,
        "away_failed_to_score": 11,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 66.7,
        "home_clean_sheet": 11,
        "home_failed_to_score": 5,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 84.8,
        "no_prob": 43.4,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 56.6,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 56.6
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.15,
        "home_expected": 1.65,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 10.0
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 8.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 7.0
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Polonia \u015aroda or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Polonia \u015aroda or Pogo\u0144 Nowe Skalmierzyce",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Pogo\u0144 Nowe Skalmierzyce",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Pogo\u0144 Nowe Skalmierzyce",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.8,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 2.0,
        "over_prob": 53.1,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 53.1,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.8,
        "under_prob": 46.9
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Pogo\u0144 Nowe Skalmierzyce",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Polonia \u015aroda",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 44.87,
          "gap_pp": -3.1,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 20.42,
          "gap_pp": 5.24,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 34.7,
          "gap_pp": -2.14,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 62.47,
          "gap_pp": -9.37,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 53.1
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 37.53,
          "gap_pp": 9.37,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 46.9
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.98,
          "early": 1.98,
          "implied_closing_pct": 44.87,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 44.87,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 4.35,
          "early": 4.35,
          "implied_closing_pct": 20.42,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 20.42,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.56,
          "early": 2.56,
          "implied_closing_pct": 34.7,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 34.7,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.46,
          "early": 1.46,
          "implied_closing_pct": 62.47,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 62.47,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.43,
          "early": 2.43,
          "implied_closing_pct": 37.53,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 37.53,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 9.4,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.5
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1398,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -14.0,
          "text": "-14.0%"
        },
        "ev_under": 0.1397,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 14.0,
          "text": "+14.0%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1397,
        "over_prob": 53.1,
        "sort_key": 10275.73,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 46.9,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.1284,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 12.8,
          "text": "+12.8%"
        },
        "ev_yes": -0.1284,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -12.8,
          "text": "-12.8%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.1284,
        "no_prob": 43.4,
        "sort_key": 10115.56,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 56.6
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1467,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -14.7,
          "text": "-14.7%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4487,
        "max_ev": -0.0695,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -7.0,
          "text": "-7.0%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Polonia \u015aroda",
        "sort_key": 1782.625,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 814.5,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.5
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 17399,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/17399.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Pogo\u0144 Nowe Skalmierzyce",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1410761,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Poland",
      "home_team_id": 6948,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6948.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Polonia \u015aroda",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 781,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/781.webp",
      "league_name": "III Liga - Group 2",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-30 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "\u015aroda Wielkopolska",
      "venue_name": "Stadion 700-lecia \u015arody Wielkopolskiej"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4356,
            "best_odd": 2.56,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0093,
            "ev": -0.1354,
            "implied_prob": 0.347,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3377
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.1843,
            "best_odd": 4.35,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0097,
            "ev": -0.0695,
            "implied_prob": 0.2042,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2139
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5721,
            "best_odd": 1.98,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0178,
            "ev": -0.1467,
            "implied_prob": 0.4487,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4309
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.6,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.54,
          "edge_no": 0.0538,
          "edge_yes": -0.0538,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.1284,
          "ev_yes": -0.1284,
          "implied_no": 0.3802,
          "implied_yes": 0.6198,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.62,
          "best_under_odd": 2.43,
          "edge_over": -0.0631,
          "edge_under": 0.0631,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1398,
          "ev_under": 0.1397,
          "implied_over": 0.5941,
          "implied_under": 0.4059,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1397,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.566,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.531,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.469,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0178,
          "ev": -0.1467,
          "implied_prob": 0.4487,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Polonia \u015aroda"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0538,
          "ev": 0.1284,
          "implied_prob": 0.3802,
          "model_prob": 0.434,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0631,
          "ev": 0.1397,
          "implied_prob": 0.4059,
          "model_prob": 0.469,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1410761,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1397,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1284,
        "implied_prob": 0.3802,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.434,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1284,
          "implied_prob": 0.3802,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.434,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Pogo\u0144 Nowe Skalmierzyce",
        "home": "Polonia \u015aroda"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.065519,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1397,
        "implied_prob": 0.4059,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.469,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1410761,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-30T19:52:13.753629+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Polonia Środa & Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
III Liga - Group 2 III Liga - Group 2Bảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 34 25 5 4 80
2 Luzino 34 24 4 6 76
3 Polonia Środa 34 20 6 8 66
4 Lipno Stęszew 34 15 6 13 51
5 Noteć Czarnków 34 14 7 14 49
6 Elana Toruń 34 14 7 13 49
7 Lech Poznań II 34 14 7 13 49
8 Flota Świnoujście 34 14 7 13 49
9 Wda Świecie 34 14 6 14 48
10 Unia Swarzędz 34 13 8 13 47
11 Kluczevia Stargard 34 13 7 14 46
12 Stargard Szczeciński 34 12 9 13 45
13 Victoria Września 34 13 3 18 42
14 Pogoń Szczecin II 34 12 5 17 41
15 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 10 9 15 39
16 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 5 18 38
17 Tłuchowia 34 8 6 19 31
18 Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal 34 3 6 25 15
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Luzino 34 79 39 +40 76
2 Pogoń Szczecin II 34 75 66 +9 41
3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 34 73 23 +50 80
4 Polonia Środa 34 67 43 +24 66
5 Lech Poznań II 34 67 54 +13 49
6 Stargard Szczeciński 34 56 51 +5 45
7 Kluczevia Stargard 34 54 43 +11 46
8 Noteć Czarnków 34 49 46 +3 49
9 Elana Toruń 34 49 55 -6 49
10 Flota Świnoujście 34 48 52 -4 49
11 Unia Swarzędz 34 47 41 +6 47
12 Lipno Stęszew 34 47 54 -7 51
13 Wda Świecie 34 44 66 -22 48
14 Victoria Września 34 41 46 -5 42
15 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 38 51 -13 38
16 Tłuchowia 34 37 66 -29 31
17 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 35 46 -11 39
18 Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal 34 20 84 -64 15