Thống kê / Bóng đá / Poland. III Liga - Group 2 / Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście

Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście Statistics & Analysis

May 30, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 46%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Stargard Szczeciński Stargard Szczeciński ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

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View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "b0ddc3dc3843cb9ed1bedb973b3d454d3138a407b0f10781a26095cbda71a3aa",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0671,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4848,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 9,
        "away_failed_to_score": 7,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 78.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 7,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 75.8,
        "no_prob": 40.3,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 59.7,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 59.7
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.5,
        "home_expected": 1.55,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.0
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.5
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 7.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 7.1
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski or Flota \u015awinouj\u015bcie",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Flota \u015awinouj\u015bcie",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.05,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "over_prob": 58.8,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 58.8,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.05,
        "under_prob": 41.2
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Flota \u015awinouj\u015bcie",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 48.48,
          "gap_pp": -6.71,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 23.98,
          "gap_pp": 1.69,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 27.55,
          "gap_pp": 5.02,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 65.26,
          "gap_pp": -6.46,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 58.8
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 34.74,
          "gap_pp": 6.46,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 41.2
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.83,
          "early": 1.83,
          "implied_closing_pct": 48.48,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 48.48,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.7,
          "early": 3.7,
          "implied_closing_pct": 23.98,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 23.98,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.22,
          "early": 3.22,
          "implied_closing_pct": 27.55,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 27.55,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.4,
          "early": 1.4,
          "implied_closing_pct": 65.26,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 65.26,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.63,
          "early": 2.63,
          "implied_closing_pct": 34.74,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 34.74,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 6.5,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.0
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0881,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 8.8,
          "text": "+8.8%"
        },
        "ev_yes": -0.1284,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -12.8,
          "text": "-12.8%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0881,
        "no_prob": 40.3,
        "sort_key": 10229.29,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 59.7
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1004,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -10.0,
          "text": "-10.0%"
        },
        "ev_under": 0.0836,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 8.4,
          "text": "+8.4%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0836,
        "over_prob": 58.8,
        "sort_key": 10075.24,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 41.2,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1792,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -17.9,
          "text": "-17.9%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4848,
        "max_ev": -0.0681,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -6.8,
          "text": "-6.8%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski",
        "sort_key": 1782.975,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 813.0,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.0
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 16246,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/16246.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Flota \u015awinouj\u015bcie",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1410758,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Poland",
      "home_team_id": 6959,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6959.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 781,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/781.webp",
      "league_name": "III Liga - Group 2",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-30 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski",
      "venue_name": "Stadion Miejski"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2774,
            "best_odd": 3.22,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0139,
            "ev": -0.0681,
            "implied_prob": 0.2755,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.2894
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2924,
            "best_odd": 3.7,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.005,
            "ev": -0.0946,
            "implied_prob": 0.2398,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2447
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5396,
            "best_odd": 1.83,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0362,
            "ev": -0.1792,
            "implied_prob": 0.4848,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4485
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.7,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.46,
          "edge_no": 0.0464,
          "edge_yes": -0.0464,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0881,
          "ev_yes": -0.1284,
          "implied_no": 0.3566,
          "implied_yes": 0.6434,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.53,
          "best_under_odd": 2.63,
          "edge_over": -0.0355,
          "edge_under": 0.0355,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1004,
          "ev_under": 0.0836,
          "implied_over": 0.6235,
          "implied_under": 0.3765,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0881,
      "confidence": 5.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.597,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.588,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.412,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0362,
          "ev": -0.1792,
          "implied_prob": 0.4848,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0464,
          "ev": 0.0881,
          "implied_prob": 0.3566,
          "model_prob": 0.403,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0355,
          "ev": 0.0836,
          "implied_prob": 0.3765,
          "model_prob": 0.412,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1410758,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0881,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0836,
        "implied_prob": 0.3765,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.412,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.0836,
          "implied_prob": 0.3765,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.412,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Flota \u015awinouj\u015bcie",
        "home": "Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.035504,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0881,
        "implied_prob": 0.3566,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.403,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1410758,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-30T19:52:34.594083+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Stargard Szczeciński & Flota Świnoujście!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
III Liga - Group 2 III Liga - Group 2Bảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 34 25 5 4 80
2 Luzino 34 24 4 6 76
3 Polonia Środa 34 20 6 8 66
4 Lipno Stęszew 34 15 6 13 51
5 Noteć Czarnków 34 14 7 14 49
6 Elana Toruń 34 14 7 13 49
7 Lech Poznań II 34 14 7 13 49
8 Flota Świnoujście 34 14 7 13 49
9 Wda Świecie 34 14 6 14 48
10 Unia Swarzędz 34 13 8 13 47
11 Kluczevia Stargard 34 13 7 14 46
12 Stargard Szczeciński 34 12 9 13 45
13 Victoria Września 34 13 3 18 42
14 Pogoń Szczecin II 34 12 5 17 41
15 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 10 9 15 39
16 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 5 18 38
17 Tłuchowia 34 8 6 19 31
18 Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal 34 3 6 25 15
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Luzino 34 79 39 +40 76
2 Pogoń Szczecin II 34 75 66 +9 41
3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 34 73 23 +50 80
4 Polonia Środa 34 67 43 +24 66
5 Lech Poznań II 34 67 54 +13 49
6 Stargard Szczeciński 34 56 51 +5 45
7 Kluczevia Stargard 34 54 43 +11 46
8 Noteć Czarnków 34 49 46 +3 49
9 Elana Toruń 34 49 55 -6 49
10 Flota Świnoujście 34 48 52 -4 49
11 Unia Swarzędz 34 47 41 +6 47
12 Lipno Stęszew 34 47 54 -7 51
13 Wda Świecie 34 44 66 -22 48
14 Victoria Września 34 41 46 -5 42
15 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 38 51 -13 38
16 Tłuchowia 34 37 66 -29 31
17 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 35 46 -11 39
18 Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal 34 20 84 -64 15