Thống kê / Bóng đá / Poland. III Liga - Group 2 / Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków

Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków Statistics & Analysis

May 23, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 42%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Elana Toruń Noteć Czarnków ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-1 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

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View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "20532eab5df4f4fcd780a66ca59d8b7b89dd8da8ae871d651b6edf2d152d5d85",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Elana Toru\u0144 or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "30%",
      "percent_draw": "35%",
      "percent_home": "35%",
      "winner_name": "Elana Toru\u0144"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Elana Toru\u0144",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.3067,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.111,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 8,
        "away_failed_to_score": 12,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 62.5,
        "home_clean_sheet": 9,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 75.0,
        "no_prob": 53.1,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 53.1,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 46.9
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.4,
        "home_expected": 1.45,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.7
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 8.4
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.2
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 8.1
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Elana Toru\u0144 or Draw",
            "prob": 70.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Elana Toru\u0144 or Note\u0107 Czarnk\u00f3w",
            "prob": 65.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Note\u0107 Czarnk\u00f3w",
            "prob": 65.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Elana Toru\u0144 or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 70.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 30.0,
        "draw_pct": 35.0,
        "home_pct": 35.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Elana Toru\u0144"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.85,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "over_prob": 54.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 54.2,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.85,
        "under_prob": 45.8
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Note\u0107 Czarnk\u00f3w",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Elana Toru\u0144",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 11.1,
          "gap_pp": 30.67,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 17.58,
          "gap_pp": 8.09,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 71.32,
          "gap_pp": -38.76,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 63.8,
          "gap_pp": -9.6,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 54.2
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 36.2,
          "gap_pp": 9.6,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 45.8
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 7.97,
          "early": 7.97,
          "implied_closing_pct": 11.1,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 11.1,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 5.03,
          "early": 5.03,
          "implied_closing_pct": 17.58,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 17.58,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.24,
          "early": 1.24,
          "implied_closing_pct": 71.32,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 71.32,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.43,
          "early": 1.43,
          "implied_closing_pct": 63.8,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 63.8,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.52,
          "early": 2.52,
          "implied_closing_pct": 36.2,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 36.2,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 30.7,
        "kind": "1x2_h"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.7
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1328,
        "ev_under": 0.2916,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.2916,
        "over_prob": 54.2,
        "sort_key": 10412.44,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 45.8,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.2213,
        "ev_yes": -0.0479,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2213,
        "no_prob": 53.1,
        "sort_key": 10199.17,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 46.9
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1484,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.111,
        "max_ev": 0.1484,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Elana Toru\u0144",
        "sort_key": 10133.56,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 815.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.7
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 21657,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/21657.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Note\u0107 Czarnk\u00f3w",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1410753,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 6938,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6938.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Elana Toru\u0144",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 781,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/781.webp",
      "league_name": "III Liga - Group 2",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-23 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.3,
            "best_odd": 1.24,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.1163,
            "ev": -0.2598,
            "implied_prob": 0.7132,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.5969
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.1757,
            "best_odd": 5.03,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0142,
            "ev": -0.0441,
            "implied_prob": 0.1758,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.19
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.108,
            "best_odd": 7.97,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0331,
            "ev": 0.1484,
            "implied_prob": 0.111,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.1441
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.3,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.03,
          "edge_no": 0.0468,
          "edge_yes": -0.0468,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.2213,
          "ev_yes": -0.0479,
          "implied_no": 0.4842,
          "implied_yes": 0.5158,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.6,
          "best_under_odd": 2.82,
          "edge_over": -0.0728,
          "edge_under": 0.0728,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1328,
          "ev_under": 0.2916,
          "implied_over": 0.6148,
          "implied_under": 0.3852,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.2916,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.469,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.542,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.458,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0331,
          "ev": 0.1484,
          "implied_prob": 0.111,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Elana Toru\u0144"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0468,
          "ev": 0.2213,
          "implied_prob": 0.4842,
          "model_prob": 0.531,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0728,
          "ev": 0.2916,
          "implied_prob": 0.3852,
          "model_prob": 0.458,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1410753,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.2916,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2213,
        "implied_prob": 0.4842,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.531,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.2213,
          "implied_prob": 0.4842,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.531,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        },
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1484,
          "implied_prob": 0.111,
          "market": "1x2",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Elana Toru\u0144",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Note\u0107 Czarnk\u00f3w",
        "home": "Elana Toru\u0144"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.133553,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2916,
        "implied_prob": 0.3852,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.458,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 3
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1410753,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T20:33:20.512451+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Elana Toruń & Noteć Czarnków!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
III Liga - Group 2 III Liga - Group 2Bảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 33 24 5 4 77
2 Luzino 33 23 4 6 73
3 Polonia Środa 33 19 6 8 63
4 Lech Poznań II 33 14 7 12 49
5 Flota Świnoujście 33 14 7 12 49
6 Elana Toruń 33 14 7 12 49
7 Wda Świecie 32 14 6 12 48
8 Lipno Stęszew 33 14 6 13 48
9 Unia Swarzędz 33 13 8 12 47
10 Kluczevia Stargard 33 13 7 13 46
11 Noteć Czarnków 33 13 7 14 46
12 Stargard Szczeciński 33 11 9 13 42
13 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 33 10 9 14 39
14 Victoria Września 33 12 3 18 39
15 Cartusia Kartuzy 33 11 5 17 38
16 Pogoń Szczecin II 32 10 5 17 35
17 Tłuchowia 33 7 6 19 28
18 Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal 33 3 6 24 15
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Luzino 33 76 37 +39 73
2 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 33 71 23 +48 77
3 Lech Poznań II 33 66 52 +14 49
4 Polonia Środa 33 65 42 +23 63
5 Pogoń Szczecin II 32 58 64 -6 35
6 Stargard Szczeciński 33 53 51 +2 42
7 Kluczevia Stargard 33 52 40 +12 46
8 Flota Świnoujście 33 48 49 -1 49
9 Elana Toruń 33 47 50 -3 49
10 Noteć Czarnków 33 46 45 +1 46
11 Unia Swarzędz 33 44 37 +7 47
12 Lipno Stęszew 33 43 51 -8 48
13 Wda Świecie 32 42 50 -8 48
14 Victoria Września 33 39 45 -6 39
15 Cartusia Kartuzy 33 38 49 -11 38
16 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 33 34 44 -10 39
17 Tłuchowia 33 32 64 -32 28
18 Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal 33 19 80 -61 15