Thống kê / Bóng đá / Poland. III Liga - Group 2 / Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński Statistics & Analysis

May 13, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 48%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (0 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce Vẽ tranh ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "f47cf4a5694f8f62a53a687e34acc96574bd00a9eb9c4e8df14f5d28d0b6acce",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Pogo\u0144 Nowe Skalmierzyce",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.1081,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3096,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 6,
        "away_failed_to_score": 7,
        "away_played": 30,
        "away_score_rate": 76.7,
        "home_clean_sheet": 9,
        "home_failed_to_score": 10,
        "home_played": 30,
        "home_score_rate": 66.7,
        "no_prob": 48.9,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 51.1,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 51.1
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.55,
        "home_expected": 1.3,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.7
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 9.0
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 9.0
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 7.6
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 7.5
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Pogo\u0144 Nowe Skalmierzyce or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Pogo\u0144 Nowe Skalmierzyce or Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.85,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "over_prob": 54.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 54.2,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.85,
        "under_prob": 45.8
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.7
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.1736,
        "ev_yes": -0.2079,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.1736,
        "no_prob": 48.9,
        "sort_key": 10306.24,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 51.1
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0949,
        "ev_under": 0.0671,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0671,
        "over_prob": 54.2,
        "sort_key": 10060.39,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 45.8,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev": 0.0054,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3096,
        "max_ev": 0.0054,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Pogo\u0144 Nowe Skalmierzyce",
        "sort_key": 5204.32,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 815.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.7
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 6959,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6959.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1410738,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 17399,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/17399.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Pogo\u0144 Nowe Skalmierzyce",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 781,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/781.webp",
      "league_name": "III Liga - Group 2",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-13 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.3972,
            "best_odd": 2.2,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0311,
            "ev": -0.1799,
            "implied_prob": 0.4038,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3728
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2865,
            "best_odd": 3.1,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0086,
            "ev": -0.1381,
            "implied_prob": 0.2866,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.278
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.377,
            "best_odd": 2.87,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0408,
            "ev": 0.0054,
            "implied_prob": 0.3096,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.3503
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.4,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.55,
          "edge_no": 0.0877,
          "edge_yes": -0.0877,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.1736,
          "ev_yes": -0.2079,
          "implied_no": 0.4013,
          "implied_yes": 0.5987,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.67,
          "best_under_odd": 2.33,
          "edge_over": -0.0203,
          "edge_under": 0.0203,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0949,
          "ev_under": 0.0671,
          "implied_over": 0.5623,
          "implied_under": 0.4377,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1736,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.511,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.542,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.458,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0408,
          "ev": 0.0054,
          "implied_prob": 0.3096,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Pogo\u0144 Nowe Skalmierzyce"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0877,
          "ev": 0.1736,
          "implied_prob": 0.4013,
          "model_prob": 0.489,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0203,
          "ev": 0.0671,
          "implied_prob": 0.4377,
          "model_prob": 0.458,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1410738,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1736,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Stargard Szczeci\u0144ski",
        "home": "Pogo\u0144 Nowe Skalmierzyce"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.08489,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1736,
        "implied_prob": 0.4013,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.489,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1410738,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-13T15:59:36.042911+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce & Stargard Szczeciński!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
III Liga - Group 2 III Liga - Group 2Bảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 31 22 5 4 71
2 Luzino 31 22 4 5 70
3 Polonia Środa 31 17 6 8 57
4 Lech Poznań II 31 14 7 10 49
5 Elana Toruń 31 14 7 10 49
6 Flota Świnoujście 31 14 6 11 48
7 Wda Świecie 31 14 6 11 48
8 Kluczevia Stargard 31 13 7 11 46
9 Lipno Stęszew 31 13 6 12 45
10 Unia Swarzędz 31 11 8 12 41
11 Noteć Czarnków 31 12 5 14 42
12 Stargard Szczeciński 31 10 8 13 38
13 Cartusia Kartuzy 31 11 4 16 37
14 Victoria Września 31 11 3 17 36
15 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 31 8 9 14 33
16 Pogoń Szczecin II 31 9 5 17 32
17 Tłuchowia 31 6 6 18 25
18 Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal 31 3 6 22 15
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Luzino 31 71 35 +36 70
2 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 31 65 21 +44 71
3 Lech Poznań II 31 64 45 +19 49
4 Polonia Środa 31 59 41 +18 57
5 Pogoń Szczecin II 31 56 63 -7 32
6 Kluczevia Stargard 31 50 36 +14 46
7 Stargard Szczeciński 31 48 49 -1 38
8 Elana Toruń 31 47 43 +4 49
9 Flota Świnoujście 31 47 47 0 48
10 Noteć Czarnków 31 42 44 -2 42
11 Wda Świecie 31 41 48 -7 48
12 Lipno Stęszew 31 40 45 -5 45
13 Cartusia Kartuzy 31 38 48 -10 37
14 Unia Swarzędz 31 37 36 +1 41
15 Victoria Września 31 36 41 -5 36
16 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 31 30 44 -14 33
17 Tłuchowia 31 29 59 -30 25
18 Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal 31 18 73 -55 15