Thống kê / Bóng đá / Poland. III Liga - Group 1 / Widzew II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki

Widzew II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki Statistics & Analysis

May 30, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 80%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Widzew II Widzew II ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-2, 2-2, 1-1, 2-1, 1-3 2-1 ✔ Correct

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "c47b08035ac84c5fc2d2d5cd92edb29cf1ef0c33ce84a95b08fed014f72df68c",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : Widzew II or draw and +1.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "30%",
      "percent_draw": "35%",
      "percent_home": "35%",
      "winner_name": "Widzew II"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Widzew II",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.1309,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.5486,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 2,
        "away_failed_to_score": 8,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 75.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 7,
        "home_failed_to_score": 7,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 78.8,
        "no_prob": 40.3,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 59.7,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 59.7
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 2.05,
        "home_expected": 2.0,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 7.3
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-2",
            "prob": 7.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 7.1
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 7.1
          },
          {
            "away": 3,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-3",
            "prob": 5.0
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Widzew II or Draw",
            "prob": 70.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Widzew II or Z\u0105bkovia Z\u0105bki",
            "prob": 65.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Z\u0105bkovia Z\u0105bki",
            "prob": 65.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Widzew II or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 70.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 30.0,
        "draw_pct": 35.0,
        "home_pct": 35.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Widzew II"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "+1.5",
        "avg_total": 4.05,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.2,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 2.1,
        "over_prob": 76.9,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 76.9,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 4.05,
        "under_prob": 23.1
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Z\u0105bkovia Z\u0105bki",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Widzew II",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 54.86,
          "gap_pp": -13.09,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 19.15,
          "gap_pp": 6.52,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 25.99,
          "gap_pp": 6.58,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.62,
          "early": 1.62,
          "implied_closing_pct": 54.86,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 54.86,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 4.64,
          "early": 4.64,
          "implied_closing_pct": 19.15,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 19.15,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.42,
          "early": 3.42,
          "implied_closing_pct": 25.99,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 25.99,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 6.6,
        "kind": "1x2_a"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-2",
        "prob": 7.3
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.1687,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 16.9,
          "text": "+16.9%"
        },
        "ev_yes": -0.1642,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -16.4,
          "text": "-16.4%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.1687,
        "no_prob": 40.3,
        "sort_key": 10301.83,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 59.7
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.0766,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 7.7,
          "text": "+7.7%"
        },
        "ev_under": -0.2839,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -28.4,
          "text": "-28.4%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0766,
        "over_prob": 76.9,
        "sort_key": 10068.94,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 23.1,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.2135,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -21.3,
          "text": "-21.3%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.5486,
        "max_ev": -0.0504,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -5.0,
          "text": "-5.0%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Widzew II",
        "sort_key": 1787.4,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 801.9,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-2",
        "top_prob": 7.3
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 26179,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/26179.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Z\u0105bkovia Z\u0105bki",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1410460,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Poland",
      "home_team_id": 26178,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/26178.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Widzew II",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 780,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/780.webp",
      "league_name": "III Liga - Group 1",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-30 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "\u0141\u00f3d\u017a",
      "venue_name": "Stadion MOSiR \u0141\u00f3d\u017a"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2704,
            "best_odd": 3.42,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0178,
            "ev": -0.0504,
            "implied_prob": 0.2599,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.2777
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.1805,
            "best_odd": 4.64,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0118,
            "ev": -0.0567,
            "implied_prob": 0.1915,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2033
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4822,
            "best_odd": 1.62,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0631,
            "ev": -0.2135,
            "implied_prob": 0.5486,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4855
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.9,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.4,
          "edge_no": 0.0664,
          "edge_yes": -0.0664,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.1687,
          "ev_yes": -0.1642,
          "implied_no": 0.3366,
          "implied_yes": 0.6634,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.4,
          "best_under_odd": 3.1,
          "edge_over": 0.0757,
          "edge_under": -0.0757,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.0766,
          "ev_under": -0.2839,
          "implied_over": 0.6933,
          "implied_under": 0.3067,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1687,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.597,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.769,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.231,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0631,
          "ev": -0.2135,
          "implied_prob": 0.5486,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Widzew II"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0664,
          "ev": 0.1687,
          "implied_prob": 0.3366,
          "model_prob": 0.403,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0757,
          "ev": 0.0766,
          "implied_prob": 0.6933,
          "model_prob": 0.769,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1410460,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1687,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0766,
        "implied_prob": 0.6933,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.769,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.0766,
          "implied_prob": 0.6933,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.769,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "over",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Z\u0105bkovia Z\u0105bki",
        "home": "Widzew II"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.067986,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1687,
        "implied_prob": 0.3366,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.403,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1410460,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-30T19:51:33.491358+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Widzew II & Ząbkovia Ząbki!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
III Liga - Group 1 III Liga - Group 1Bảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Legia Warszawa II 34 27 3 4 84
2 Łomża 34 22 5 7 71
3 Warta Sieradz 34 21 8 5 71
4 Wigry Suwałki 34 20 5 9 65
5 Troszyn 34 17 6 11 57
6 Wisła Płock II 34 16 8 10 56
7 Widzew II 34 17 3 14 54
8 Jagiellonia II 34 14 7 13 49
9 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 47
10 Ząbkovia Ząbki 34 13 5 16 44
11 Swit 34 12 5 17 41
12 Mławianka Mława 34 11 7 16 40
13 Olimpia Elbląg 34 10 8 16 38
14 Wikielec 34 10 7 17 37
15 Broń Radom 34 9 9 16 36
16 Bełchatów 34 9 7 18 34
17 Wasilków 34 7 4 23 25
18 Znicz Biała Piska 34 4 3 27 15
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Legia Warszawa II 34 82 29 +53 84
2 Łomża 34 77 31 +46 71
3 Troszyn 34 75 47 +28 57
4 Ząbkovia Ząbki 34 72 64 +8 44
5 Widzew II 34 70 64 +6 54
6 Warta Sieradz 34 64 34 +30 71
7 Wigry Suwałki 34 64 43 +21 65
8 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 34 64 55 +9 47
9 Wisła Płock II 34 56 51 +5 56
10 Mławianka Mława 34 55 59 -4 40
11 Swit 34 51 66 -15 41
12 Bełchatów 34 50 76 -26 34
13 Jagiellonia II 34 46 45 +1 49
14 Olimpia Elbląg 34 45 61 -16 38
15 Wikielec 34 40 54 -14 37
16 Broń Radom 34 40 57 -17 36
17 Wasilków 34 40 79 -39 25
18 Znicz Biała Piska 34 27 103 -76 15