Thống kê / Bóng đá / Germany. Regionalliga - Nordost / FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig

FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig Statistics & Analysis

May 16, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1 1-0 ✖ Incorrect

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View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "2fe7b3b6b93f3b08496e8c4bd5a26ea5d8bc4f8039a226b95935f90fa8645049",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : FSV Zwickau or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "FSV Zwickau"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "FSV Zwickau",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0327,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4503,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 9,
        "away_failed_to_score": 12,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 63.6,
        "home_clean_sheet": 13,
        "home_failed_to_score": 6,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 81.8,
        "no_prob": 47.9,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 52.1,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 52.1
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.3,
        "home_expected": 1.5,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.9
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.1
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.9
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 7.9
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 7.7
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "FSV Zwickau or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "FSV Zwickau or BSG Chemie Leipzig",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or BSG Chemie Leipzig",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "FSV Zwickau or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "FSV Zwickau"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.8,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "over_prob": 53.1,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 53.1,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.8,
        "under_prob": 46.9
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "BSG Chemie Leipzig",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "FSV Zwickau",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 45.03,
          "gap_pp": -3.27,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 25.49,
          "gap_pp": 0.18,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 29.47,
          "gap_pp": 3.09,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 61.68,
          "gap_pp": -8.58,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 53.1
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 38.32,
          "gap_pp": 8.58,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 46.9
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.97,
          "early": 1.97,
          "implied_closing_pct": 45.03,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 45.03,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.48,
          "early": 3.48,
          "implied_closing_pct": 25.49,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 25.49,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.01,
          "early": 3.01,
          "implied_closing_pct": 29.47,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 29.47,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.51,
          "early": 1.51,
          "implied_closing_pct": 61.68,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 61.68,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.43,
          "early": 2.43,
          "implied_closing_pct": 38.32,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 38.32,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 8.6,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.9
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.2262,
        "ev_yes": -0.2185,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2262,
        "no_prob": 47.9,
        "sort_key": 10353.58,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 52.1
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1663,
        "ev_under": 0.1397,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1397,
        "over_prob": 53.1,
        "sort_key": 10125.73,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 46.9,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1496,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4503,
        "max_ev": -0.0862,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "FSV Zwickau",
        "sort_key": 1778.45,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 815.7,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.9
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 1651,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1651.webp",
      "away_team_name": "BSG Chemie Leipzig",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
      "fixture_id": 1407756,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 1315,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1315.webp",
      "home_team_name": "FSV Zwickau",
      "league_country": "Germany",
      "league_id": 85,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/85.webp",
      "league_name": "Regionalliga - Nordost",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 12:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2861,
            "best_odd": 3.01,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0088,
            "ev": -0.0862,
            "implied_prob": 0.2947,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3036
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2992,
            "best_odd": 3.48,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0005,
            "ev": -0.111,
            "implied_prob": 0.2549,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2555
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5706,
            "best_odd": 1.97,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0186,
            "ev": -0.1496,
            "implied_prob": 0.4503,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4317
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.56,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.5,
          "edge_no": 0.1092,
          "edge_yes": -0.1092,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.2262,
          "ev_yes": -0.2185,
          "implied_no": 0.3698,
          "implied_yes": 0.6302,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.57,
          "best_under_odd": 2.43,
          "edge_over": -0.0786,
          "edge_under": 0.0786,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1663,
          "ev_under": 0.1397,
          "implied_over": 0.6096,
          "implied_under": 0.3904,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.2262,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.521,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.531,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.469,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0186,
          "ev": -0.1496,
          "implied_prob": 0.4503,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "FSV Zwickau"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1092,
          "ev": 0.2262,
          "implied_prob": 0.3698,
          "model_prob": 0.479,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0786,
          "ev": 0.1397,
          "implied_prob": 0.3904,
          "model_prob": 0.469,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1407756,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.2262,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1397,
        "implied_prob": 0.3904,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.469,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1397,
          "implied_prob": 0.3904,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.469,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "BSG Chemie Leipzig",
        "home": "FSV Zwickau"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.10835,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2262,
        "implied_prob": 0.3698,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.479,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1407756,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T11:59:57.188403+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho FSV Zwickau & BSG Chemie Leipzig!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
Regionalliga - Nordost Regionalliga - NordostBảng xếp hạng
# ĐỘI MP T H B PTS
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 23 3 8 72
2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena 34 22 6 6 72
3 FSV Zwickau 34 19 7 8 64
4 Hallescher FC 34 19 6 9 63
5 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 34 17 10 7 61
6 Altglienicke 34 14 11 9 53
7 Chemnitzer FC 34 14 9 11 51
8 BFC Preussen 34 14 8 12 50
9 Magdeburg II 34 15 4 15 49
10 Luckenwalde 34 11 10 13 43
11 SV Babelsberg 03 34 11 8 15 41
12 BFC Dynamo 34 10 10 14 40
13 BSG Chemie Leipzig 34 12 4 18 40
14 Hertha BSC U21 34 11 7 16 40
15 Greifswalder FC 34 9 11 14 38
16 ZFC Meuselwitz 34 8 9 17 33
17 Eilenburg 34 4 11 19 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf 34 2 8 24 14
# ĐỘI MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 34 68 47 +21 61
2 SV Babelsberg 03 34 67 65 +2 41
3 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 65 30 +35 72
4 FC Carl Zeiss Jena 34 65 35 +30 72
5 Hallescher FC 34 63 36 +27 63
6 Magdeburg II 34 61 55 +6 49
7 Chemnitzer FC 34 56 52 +4 51
8 FSV Zwickau 34 52 44 +8 64
9 Altglienicke 34 50 40 +10 53
10 BFC Preussen 34 50 55 -5 50
11 Hertha BSC U21 34 46 60 -14 40
12 BFC Dynamo 34 45 50 -5 40
13 ZFC Meuselwitz 34 44 61 -17 33
14 BSG Chemie Leipzig 34 43 49 -6 40
15 Greifswalder FC 34 40 45 -5 38
16 Luckenwalde 34 36 45 -9 43
17 Eilenburg 34 35 68 -33 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf 34 30 79 -49 14