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Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian
Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 (2 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Không đúng
- 1X2 SGS Essen Nữ Vẽ tranh ✖ Không đúng
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-2, 1-1, 0-2, 0-1, 1-3 1-1 ✔ Chính xác
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.85
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · SGS Essen Nữ 1–1 SC Freiburg Nữ
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "e660bb7d91808ff50cc24767af5a879267ac68c6be853fc8a171d43e409606f4",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg N\u1eef and +1.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "SC Freiburg N\u1eef"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "SGS Essen N\u1eef",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1478,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2698,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 6,
"away_failed_to_score": 5,
"away_played": 25,
"away_score_rate": 80.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 5,
"home_failed_to_score": 11,
"home_played": 25,
"home_score_rate": 56.0,
"no_prob": 55.2,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 55.2,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 44.8
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 2.1,
"home_expected": 1.3,
"scores": [
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 9.1
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 7.4
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 7.0
},
{
"away": 3,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-3",
"prob": 6.7
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "SGS Essen N\u1eef or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "SGS Essen N\u1eef or SC Freiburg N\u1eef",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or SC Freiburg N\u1eef",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or SC Freiburg N\u1eef",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "+1.5",
"avg_total": 3.4,
"away_avg_scored": 1.7,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 0.8,
"over_prob": 66.0,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 66.0,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.4,
"under_prob": 34.0
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "SC Freiburg N\u1eef",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "SGS Essen N\u1eef",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 26.98,
"gap_pp": 14.78,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 23.57,
"gap_pp": 2.09,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 49.44,
"gap_pp": -16.88,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 55.53,
"gap_pp": 10.47,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 66.0
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 44.47,
"gap_pp": -10.47,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 34.0
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 3.39,
"early": 3.39,
"implied_closing_pct": 26.98,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 26.98,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.88,
"early": 3.88,
"implied_closing_pct": 23.57,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 23.57,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 1.85,
"early": 1.85,
"implied_closing_pct": 49.44,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 49.44,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.69,
"early": 1.69,
"implied_closing_pct": 55.53,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 55.53,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.11,
"early": 2.11,
"implied_closing_pct": 44.47,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 44.47,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 14.8,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.6
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.3414,
"ev_yes": -0.2966,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.3414,
"no_prob": 55.2,
"sort_key": 10457.26,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 44.8
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.122,
"ev_under": -0.218,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.122,
"over_prob": 66.0,
"sort_key": 10109.8,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 34.0,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0317,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2698,
"max_ev": 0.0317,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "SGS Essen N\u1eef",
"sort_key": 10028.53,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 808.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-2",
"top_prob": 9.6
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 1867,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1867.webp",
"away_team_name": "SC Freiburg N\u1eef",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1401389,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 1868,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1868.webp",
"home_team_name": "SGS Essen N\u1eef",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 82,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/82.webp",
"league_name": "Frauen Bundesliga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 12:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4481,
"best_odd": 1.85,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0756,
"ev": -0.2252,
"implied_prob": 0.4944,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.4188
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2906,
"best_odd": 3.88,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0061,
"ev": -0.0617,
"implied_prob": 0.2357,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2418
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2335,
"best_odd": 3.39,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0345,
"ev": 0.0317,
"implied_prob": 0.2698,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.3043
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.43,
"best_yes_odd": 1.57,
"edge_no": 0.1435,
"edge_yes": -0.1435,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.3414,
"ev_yes": -0.2966,
"implied_no": 0.4085,
"implied_yes": 0.5915,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.7,
"best_under_odd": 2.3,
"edge_over": 0.098,
"edge_under": -0.098,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.122,
"ev_under": -0.218,
"implied_over": 0.562,
"implied_under": 0.438,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.3414,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.448,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.66,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.34,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0345,
"ev": 0.0317,
"implied_prob": 0.2698,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "SGS Essen N\u1eef"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1435,
"ev": 0.3414,
"implied_prob": 0.4085,
"model_prob": 0.552,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.098,
"ev": 0.122,
"implied_prob": 0.562,
"model_prob": 0.66,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1401389,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.3414,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.122,
"implied_prob": 0.562,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.66,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.122,
"implied_prob": 0.562,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.66,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "SC Freiburg N\u1eef",
"home": "SGS Essen N\u1eef"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.188453,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3414,
"implied_prob": 0.4085,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.552,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1401389,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T11:59:17.527759+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Đăng ký ngay
Frauen Bundesliga — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich Nữ | 26 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 74 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg Nữ | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt Nữ | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 51 |
| 4 | 1899 Hoffenheim Nữ | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen Nữ | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen Nữ | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | FC Koln W | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 37 |
| 8 | SC Freiburg Nữ | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 34 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig Nữ | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 |
| 11 | Nürnberg | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV Nữ | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen Nữ | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena Nữ | 26 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 11 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich Nữ | 26 | 90 | 9 | +81 | 74 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg Nữ | 26 | 72 | 38 | +34 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt Nữ | 26 | 65 | 43 | +22 | 51 |
| 4 | 1899 Hoffenheim Nữ | 26 | 48 | 30 | +18 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen Nữ | 26 | 46 | 36 | +10 | 46 |
| 6 | SC Freiburg Nữ | 26 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 34 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen Nữ | 26 | 42 | 36 | +6 | 43 |
| 8 | Union Berlin W | 26 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig Nữ | 26 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | FC Koln W | 26 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Nürnberg | 26 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV Nữ | 26 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen Nữ | 26 | 22 | 63 | -41 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena Nữ | 26 | 22 | 72 | -50 | 11 |
