Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moskva Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.2999,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3043,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.33,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.29,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.53,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.33,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3958,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or CSKA Moskva",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "CSKA Moskva"
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    "away_xg": 1.13,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Nizhny Novgorod",
      "confidence": null,
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        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
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        "edge_gap": 0.0914,
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        "market_prob": 0.2821,
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        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 30.0,
          "draw": 30.4,
          "home": 39.5
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        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 3.43
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      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 3.43,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Nizhny Novgorod Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 3.55,
        "market_odds": 3.43,
        "model_odds": 2.53,
        "overround": 3.4,
        "prob_edge": 10.4,
        "value_pct": 35.6,
        "value_rating": "strong_value"
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 8,
        "away_played": 28,
        "away_score_rate": 67.7,
        "home_clean_sheet": 5,
        "home_failed_to_score": 14,
        "home_played": 28,
        "home_score_rate": 73.6,
        "no_prob": 48.5,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 51.5,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 51.5
      },
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        "home_expected": 1.33,
        "scores": [
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            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.8
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 11.4
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
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            "prob": 9.7
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
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        ],
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      "double_chance": {
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            "label": "Nizhny Novgorod or Draw",
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          },
          {
            "key": "12",
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            "prob": 69.6
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          {
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            "prob": 60.4
          }
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        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Nizhny Novgorod or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 70.0
      },
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        "draw_pct": 30.4,
        "home_pct": 39.6,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Nizhny Novgorod"
      },
      "over_under": {
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        "avg_total": 2.46,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.8,
        "over_prob": 44.6,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 55.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.46,
        "under_prob": 55.4
      },
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        "implied_prob": 29.2,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Nizhny Novgorod Win",
        "model_prob": 39.6,
        "odds": 3.43
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.33,
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    "market_cards": [
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_under": 0.0858,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "tier": "best",
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        "value_side": "under"
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        "id": "1x2",
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        "max_ev": 0.0644,
        "model_prob": 0.3955,
        "side_label": "Nizhny Novgorod",
        "sort_key": 10057.96,
        "tier": "best"
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      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
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        "ev_yes": -0.1193,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
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        "yes_prob": 51.5
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        "tier": "risk",
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    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 555,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/555.webp",
      "away_team_name": "CSKA Moskva",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ru.svg",
      "country_name": "Russia",
      "fixture_id": 1400259,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 2011,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2011.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Nizhny Novgorod",
      "league_country": "Russia",
      "league_id": 235,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/235.webp",
      "league_name": "Gi\u1ea3i Ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ea1ng Nga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-11 12:15:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30",
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          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
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        "score": 4.0
      },
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            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "implied_over": 0.4981,
          "implied_under": 0.5019,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
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      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.46,
      "variance_flag": true
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      "execution": {
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      "game_type": {
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          "xg_diff": 0.2
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          "max_ev_side": "home",
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          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Nizhny Novgorod"
        },
        "btts": {
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          "ev": -0.0106,
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          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "model_prob": 0.554,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
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        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
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        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0858,
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        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3004,
        "draw": 0.3041,
        "home": 0.3955
      },
      "reason_codes": [
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "CSKA Moskva",
        "home": "Nizhny Novgorod"
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        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-11T12:14:04.141385+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}