Almere City II vs GVVV Veenendaal Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Almere City II or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Almere City II"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Almere City II",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0467,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.371,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 5,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 84.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 7,
        "home_failed_to_score": 5,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 84.8,
        "no_prob": 28.0,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 72.0,
        "source": "stats",
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        "yes_prob": 72.0
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      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 1.95,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 8.8
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
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          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
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            "prob": 7.3
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          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-2",
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          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-1",
            "prob": 5.6
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Almere City II or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Almere City II or GVVV Veenendaal",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or GVVV Veenendaal",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Almere City II or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
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        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Almere City II"
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        "avg_total": 3.6,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 2.0,
        "over_prob": 69.7,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 69.7,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.6,
        "under_prob": 30.3
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "GVVV Veenendaal",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Almere City II",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
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          "closing_implied_pct": 37.1,
          "gap_pp": 4.67,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
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        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 21.0,
          "gap_pp": 4.67,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
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        },
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          "closing_implied_pct": 41.9,
          "gap_pp": -9.34,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
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      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.44,
          "early": 2.44,
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          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 37.1,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
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        {
          "closing": 4.31,
          "early": 4.31,
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          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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          "kind": "1x2_d"
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        {
          "closing": 2.16,
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          "kind": "1x2_a"
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      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 4.7,
        "kind": "1x2_h"
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    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 8.8
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
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        "ev_under": 0.0847,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "over_prob": 69.7,
        "sort_key": 10076.23,
        "tier": "best",
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        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
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        "ev_yes": -0.0712,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
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        "no_prob": 28.0,
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        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 72.0
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
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        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.371,
        "max_ev": -0.0472,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Almere City II",
        "sort_key": 1788.2,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
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      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
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      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 1261,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1261.webp",
      "away_team_name": "GVVV Veenendaal",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/nl.svg",
      "country_name": "Netherlands",
      "fixture_id": 1399269,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 9130,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/9130.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Almere City II",
      "league_country": "Netherlands",
      "league_id": 492,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/492.webp",
      "league_name": "Tweede Divisie",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-23 13:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
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            "best_odd": 2.16,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.29,
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          "edge_yes": -0.0074,
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          "implied_yes": 0.7274,
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          "reliability": "medium"
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          "implied_under": 0.2719,
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          "reliability": "medium"
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      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
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      "confidence": 4.0,
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
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        "side": null
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": {
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        "hero_display_only": true,
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        "model_prob": 0.303,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "speculative",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "hero_display"
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      "longshot_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "model_prob": 0.303,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "speculative",
          "risk_tier": "longshot",
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          "slot": "longshot"
        }
      ],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
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          "ev": -0.0472,
          "implied_prob": 0.371,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Almere City II"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0074,
          "ev": 0.0108,
          "implied_prob": 0.2726,
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          "side": "no",
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        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
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        "away": 0.3257,
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      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals",
        "longshot_high_variance"
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "GVVV Veenendaal",
        "home": "Almere City II"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
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  },
  "fixture_id": 1399269,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T18:44:01.297540+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}