Thống kê / Bóng đá / Portugal. Segunda Liga / Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense

Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense Statistics & Analysis

Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
May 09, 2026 - 19:30
1 1.25
2 0.95
xG Accuracy: 70%
Torreense Torreense
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Lusitânia Lourosa Torreense ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1 1-2 ✖ Incorrect

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View technical JSON 
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "29323535d555b78a55b97b7ef4db83c3e2cb8aebeac04ba62598b249dc8bf057",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 0.95,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Torreense and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Torreense"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.95,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Lusit\u00e2nia Lourosa",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.1685,
        "edge_gap": 0.1447,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.2631,
        "model_prob": 0.4317,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 28.1,
          "draw": 28.7,
          "home": 43.2
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 12,
        "away_failed_to_score": 13,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 59.4,
        "home_clean_sheet": 8,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 75.0,
        "no_prob": 55.5,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 55.5,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 44.5
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.4,
        "home_expected": 1.15,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.6
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 10.9
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.0
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.8
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 7.8
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Lusit\u00e2nia Lourosa or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Lusit\u00e2nia Lourosa or Torreense",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Torreense",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Torreense",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-3.5",
        "avg_total": 2.55,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "over_prob": 46.9,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 53.1,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.55,
        "under_prob": 53.1
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.6
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.25,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.11,
        "ev_yes": -0.199,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.11,
        "no_prob": 55.5,
        "sort_key": 10249.0,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 44.5
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0894,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.2631,
        "max_ev": 0.0894,
        "model_prob": 0.4317,
        "side_label": "Lusit\u00e2nia Lourosa",
        "sort_key": 10080.46,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0714,
        "ev_under": -0.0017,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": -0.0017,
        "over_prob": 46.9,
        "sort_key": 4049.762,
        "tier": "lean",
        "under_prob": 53.1,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 817.8,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.6
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 4799,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/4799.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Torreense",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pt.svg",
      "country_name": "Portugal",
      "fixture_id": 1398261,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 6358,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6358.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Lusit\u00e2nia Lourosa",
      "league_country": "Portugal",
      "league_id": 95,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/95.webp",
      "league_name": "Segunda Liga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.3262,
            "best_odd": 2.05,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0598,
            "ev": -0.17,
            "implied_prob": 0.4647,
            "model_prob": 0.2813,
            "p_final": 0.4049
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2933,
            "best_odd": 3.5,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0044,
            "ev": -0.0322,
            "implied_prob": 0.2722,
            "model_prob": 0.287,
            "p_final": 0.2765
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.2242,
            "best_odd": 3.62,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0378,
            "ev": 0.0894,
            "implied_prob": 0.2631,
            "model_prob": 0.4317,
            "p_final": 0.3009
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.0,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.8,
          "edge_no": 0.0855,
          "edge_yes": -0.0855,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.11,
          "ev_yes": -0.199,
          "implied_no": 0.4695,
          "implied_yes": 0.5305,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.98,
          "best_under_odd": 1.88,
          "edge_over": -0.0206,
          "edge_under": 0.0206,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0714,
          "ev_under": -0.0017,
          "implied_over": 0.4896,
          "implied_under": 0.5104,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.2,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.11,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.445,
          "draw_prob": 0.287,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4317,
          "over_prob": 0.469,
          "total_xg": 2.2,
          "under_prob": 0.531,
          "xg_diff": 0.3
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0378,
          "ev": 0.0894,
          "implied_prob": 0.2631,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4317,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Lusit\u00e2nia Lourosa"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0855,
          "ev": 0.11,
          "implied_prob": 0.4695,
          "model_prob": 0.555,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0206,
          "ev": -0.0017,
          "implied_prob": 0.5104,
          "model_prob": 0.531,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1398261,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.11,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.2813,
        "draw": 0.287,
        "home": 0.4317
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "model_summary"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Torreense",
        "home": "Lusit\u00e2nia Lourosa"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.06105,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.11,
        "implied_prob": 0.4695,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.555,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1398261,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T15:00:20.509328+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
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Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Lusitânia Lourosa & Torreense!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
Segunda Liga Segunda Liga — Bảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Maritimo 34 20 6 8 66
2 Academico Viseu 33 17 7 9 58
3 Torreense 33 17 5 11 56
4 Vizela 33 14 9 10 51
5 FC Porto B 34 15 6 13 51
6 União de Leiria 33 13 10 10 49
7 Leixoes 33 14 5 14 47
8 Feirense 33 12 9 12 45
9 Chaves 34 13 6 15 45
10 Benfica B 34 11 11 12 44
11 Lusitânia Lourosa 33 11 10 12 43
12 Penafiel 33 11 8 14 41
13 Sporting CP B 33 13 2 18 41
14 Felgueiras 1932 33 10 11 12 41
15 Farense 33 10 10 13 40
16 Portimonense 33 10 7 16 37
17 Pacos Ferreira 33 8 12 13 36
18 Oliveirense 33 8 10 15 34
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Academico Viseu 33 58 33 +25 58
2 Maritimo 34 50 29 +21 66
3 União de Leiria 33 50 44 +6 49
4 Leixoes 33 44 54 -10 47
5 Benfica B 34 43 44 -1 44
6 Lusitânia Lourosa 33 43 50 -7 43
7 Torreense 33 42 33 +9 56
8 Chaves 34 42 40 +2 45
9 Sporting CP B 33 41 34 +7 41
10 FC Porto B 34 41 42 -1 51
11 Vizela 33 39 36 +3 51
12 Portimonense 33 38 49 -11 37
13 Penafiel 33 36 37 -1 41
14 Feirense 33 35 38 -3 45
15 Oliveirense 33 33 44 -11 34
16 Pacos Ferreira 33 32 47 -15 36
17 Farense 33 31 36 -5 40
18 Felgueiras 1932 33 29 37 -8 41
# Đội Tr xG xGC +/- Đ
1 Maritimo 34 9.6 5.5 +4.1 66
2 Chaves 34 7.5 4.3 +3.2 45
3 Academico Viseu 33 8.5 6.2 +2.3 58
4 Feirense 33 2.9 1.1 +1.8 45
5 Leixoes 33 7.9 7.1 +0.8 47
6 Portimonense 33 6.2 5.4 +0.8 37
7 Benfica B 34 4.1 3.5 +0.6 44
8 Felgueiras 1932 33 7.2 6.7 +0.5 41
9 União de Leiria 33 8.6 8.2 +0.4 49
10 Sporting CP B 33 3.6 3.2 +0.4 41
11 Farense 33 3.8 4.2 -0.4 40
12 Lusitânia Lourosa 33 7.6 8.5 -0.9 43
13 Vizela 33 3.1 4.4 -1.3 51
14 Oliveirense 33 6.8 8.7 -1.9 34
15 Torreense 33 3.1 5.0 -1.9 56
16 Penafiel 33 4.7 7.3 -2.6 41
17 FC Porto B 34 4.0 6.7 -2.7 51
18 Pacos Ferreira 33 4.0 7.3 -3.3 36
Segunda Liga Portugal. Segunda Liga Dự đoán
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