Samsunspor vs Göztepe Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.3736,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2898,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.68,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.45,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.97,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.31,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3367,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
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    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "No predictions available",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "33%",
      "percent_draw": "33%",
      "percent_home": "33%",
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    "away_xg": 1.39,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "G\u00f6ztepe",
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      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0582,
        "edge_gap": 0.0364,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4315,
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          "draw": 29.0,
          "home": 33.7
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        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.23
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        "label": "Away",
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        "market_odds": 2.23,
        "model_odds": 2.68,
        "overround": 3.9,
        "prob_edge": -7.5,
        "value_pct": -16.8,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 8,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 75.1,
        "home_clean_sheet": 8,
        "home_failed_to_score": 9,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 73.0,
        "no_prob": 43.6,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 56.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 56.4
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        "home_expected": 1.31,
        "scores": [
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
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          {
            "away": 0,
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            "label": "1-0",
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            "home": 1,
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
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        ],
        "source": "xG"
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      "double_chance": {
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            "key": "12",
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          {
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        "pick_key": "12",
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      "match_winner": {
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        "draw_pct": 29.0,
        "home_pct": 33.7,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "G\u00f6ztepe"
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        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.3,
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        "pick": "Under 2.5",
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        "label": "Home",
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        "odds": 3.36
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    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
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      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
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      "early_capture": "PRE30",
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      "home_team": "Samsunspor",
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          "model_pct": 50.6
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    "homepage_pick": null,
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      "away_team_id": 994,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/994.webp",
      "away_team_name": "G\u00f6ztepe",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/tr.svg",
      "country_name": "Turkey",
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      "home_team_id": 3603,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3603.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Samsunspor",
      "league_country": "Turkey",
      "league_id": 203,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/203.webp",
      "league_name": "S\u00fcper Lig",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 17:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
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    "match_decision": {
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          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
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        "score": 6.0
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            "calibration": {
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              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.03,
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            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "model_prob": 0.3368,
            "p_final": 0.3004
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        },
        "btts": {
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          "edge_no": 0.0187,
          "edge_yes": -0.0187,
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          "implied_no": 0.4173,
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          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
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        "ou25": {
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          "implied_under": 0.4615,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
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      "match_tier": "value_game",
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      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
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          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
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      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
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        "hero_display_only": true,
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        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
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        "slot": "hero_display"
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          "model_prob": 0.3733,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "G\u00f6ztepe"
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        "btts": {
          "decision": "lean",
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          "model_prob": 0.436,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
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          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
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        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "G\u00f6ztepe",
        "home": "Samsunspor"
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      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
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  "fixture_id": 1394737,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T16:59:12.682315+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}