FC Viktoria Köln vs Alemannia Aachen Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.3014,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2944,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.32,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.4,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.47,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.41,
      "home_win_prob": 0.4042,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : FC Viktoria K\u00f6ln or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "30%",
      "percent_draw": "35%",
      "percent_home": "35%",
      "winner_name": "FC Viktoria K\u00f6ln"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.19,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "FC Viktoria K\u00f6ln",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0871,
        "edge_gap": 0.1036,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3177,
        "model_prob": 0.4048,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 30.1,
          "draw": 29.4,
          "home": 40.5
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
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          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.96
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      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.96,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "FC Viktoria K\u00f6ln Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 3.15,
        "market_odds": 2.96,
        "model_odds": 2.47,
        "overround": 6.4,
        "prob_edge": 6.7,
        "value_pct": 19.8,
        "value_rating": "value_bet"
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    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 4,
        "away_failed_to_score": 7,
        "away_played": 36,
        "away_score_rate": 69.6,
        "home_clean_sheet": 11,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 36,
        "home_score_rate": 75.6,
        "no_prob": 45.8,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 54.2,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 54.2
      },
      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 1.41,
        "scores": [
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 10.5
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 8.8
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.8
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            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
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            "prob": 7.4
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        ],
        "source": "xG"
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      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
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            "key": "1X",
            "label": "FC Viktoria K\u00f6ln or Draw",
            "prob": 69.8
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "FC Viktoria K\u00f6ln or Alemannia Aachen",
            "prob": 70.5
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
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            "prob": 59.5
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "FC Viktoria K\u00f6ln or Alemannia Aachen",
        "pick_prob": 70.5
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 30.1,
        "draw_pct": 29.4,
        "home_pct": 40.4,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "FC Viktoria K\u00f6ln"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.6,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.9,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 51.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.6,
        "under_prob": 51.8
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
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        "edge": 19.8,
        "implied_prob": 33.8,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "FC Viktoria K\u00f6ln Win",
        "model_prob": 40.5,
        "odds": 2.96
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    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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        "best_bookmaker": "Bet365",
        "best_odds": 15.0,
        "edge": 3.8,
        "ev": 57.1,
        "label": "1-0",
        "probability": 10.5
      },
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.5
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.41,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.2433,
        "ev_under": 0.3882,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.3882,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "sort_key": 10499.38,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 51.8,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.2595,
        "ev_yes": -0.2141,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2595,
        "no_prob": 45.8,
        "sort_key": 10233.55,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 54.2
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3177,
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        "side_label": "FC Viktoria K\u00f6ln",
        "sort_key": 10037.08,
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      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 817.5,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.5
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    ],
    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 4259,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/4259.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Alemannia Aachen",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
      "fixture_id": 1394422,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 1620,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1620.webp",
      "home_team_name": "FC Viktoria K\u00f6ln",
      "league_country": "Germany",
      "league_id": 80,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/80.webp",
      "league_name": "3. Liga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-09 12:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
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        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
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          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.3567,
            "best_odd": 2.14,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0493,
            "ev": -0.1652,
            "implied_prob": 0.4394,
            "model_prob": 0.3012,
            "p_final": 0.3901
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          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.277,
            "best_odd": 3.87,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0142,
            "ev": -0.005,
            "implied_prob": 0.243,
            "model_prob": 0.2941,
            "p_final": 0.2571
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          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3912,
            "best_odd": 2.96,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "reliability": "medium"
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          "best_under_odd": 2.68,
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          "edge_under": 0.1455,
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          "implied_over": 0.6275,
          "implied_under": 0.3725,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.6,
      "variance_flag": false
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    "unified_decision": {
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      "algorithm": {
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      "confidence": 6.5,
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          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
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        "score": 6.5
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      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.542,
          "draw_prob": 0.2941,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4048,
          "over_prob": 0.482,
          "total_xg": 2.6,
          "under_prob": 0.518,
          "xg_diff": 0.22
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
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          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "FC Viktoria K\u00f6ln"
        },
        "btts": {
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          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "side": "under",
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      "match_id": 1394422,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
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        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3012,
        "draw": 0.2941,
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      },
      "reason_codes": [
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2595,
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      ],
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      "teams": {
        "away": "Alemannia Aachen",
        "home": "FC Viktoria K\u00f6ln"
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        "model_prob": 0.518,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T11:59:15.477958+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}