Rot-Weiß Essen vs Verl Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.3302,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2771,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.03,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.61,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.55,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.52,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3927,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
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    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Verl and +1.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Verl"
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    "away_xg": 1.38,
    "betting_insight": {
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      "confidence": null,
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        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0027,
        "edge_gap": 0.0622,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3897,
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        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
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          "draw": 27.7,
          "home": 39.2
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        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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          "odd": 2.45
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        "bookmaker_id": 0,
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        "display_market": "Rot-Wei\u00df Essen Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.57,
        "market_odds": 2.45,
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        "overround": 4.7,
        "prob_edge": -1.6,
        "value_pct": -3.9,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
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    },
    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 4,
        "away_played": 36,
        "away_score_rate": 74.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 5,
        "home_failed_to_score": 2,
        "home_played": 36,
        "home_score_rate": 78.1,
        "no_prob": 40.0,
        "pick": "No",
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        "source": "xG_dc",
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      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 1.52,
        "scores": [
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            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.5
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.8
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            "away": 0,
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            "label": "1-0",
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            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
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        ],
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      "double_chance": {
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            "key": "12",
            "label": "Rot-Wei\u00df Essen or Verl",
            "prob": 72.3
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
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          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Rot-Wei\u00df Essen or Verl",
        "pick_prob": 72.3
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      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 33.0,
        "draw_pct": 27.7,
        "home_pct": 39.3,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Rot-Wei\u00df Essen"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "+1.5",
        "avg_total": 2.9,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.2,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 2.1,
        "over_prob": 55.4,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
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        "source": "xG_dc",
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        "total_expected": 2.9,
        "under_prob": 44.6
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        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
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        "odds": 4.0
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    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.52,
    "homepage_pick": null,
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_under": 0.4272,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "id": "1x2",
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        "side_label": "Rot-Wei\u00df Essen",
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      "away_team_id": 4265,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/4265.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Verl",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
      "fixture_id": 1394419,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 1621,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1621.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Rot-Wei\u00df Essen",
      "league_country": "Germany",
      "league_id": 80,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/80.webp",
      "league_name": "3. Liga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-09 12:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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      "total_xg": 2.9,
      "variance_flag": false
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      "game_type": {
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        "scoring_type": "high_scoring",
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          "draw_prob": 0.2772,
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          "total_xg": 2.9,
          "under_prob": 0.446,
          "xg_diff": 0.14
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      "longshot_picks": [],
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          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.3925,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Rot-Wei\u00df Essen"
        },
        "btts": {
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          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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        "actionable": true,
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        "code": "thin_edge",
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        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
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      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3303,
        "draw": 0.2772,
        "home": 0.3925
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "not_dominant": true,
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        "slot": "secondary"
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      ],
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        "away": "Verl",
        "home": "Rot-Wei\u00df Essen"
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        "model_prob": 0.446,
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        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
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  "fixture_id": 1394419,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T11:59:16.902134+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}