Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.2268,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2192,
      "fair_odds_away": 4.41,
      "fair_odds_draw": 4.56,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.81,
      "home_predicted_xg": 2.28,
      "home_win_prob": 0.554,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : Hansa Rostock or draw and +1.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Hansa Rostock"
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    "away_xg": 1.44,
    "betting_insight": {
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        "display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
        "edge": -0.0337,
        "edge_gap": 0.3262,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.587,
        "model_prob": 0.5533,
        "pick_type": "no_value",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 22.7,
          "draw": 22.0,
          "home": 55.3
        },
        "reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.62
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      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.62,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
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        "display_market": "Hansa Rostock Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.7,
        "market_odds": 1.62,
        "model_odds": 1.81,
        "overround": 5.2,
        "prob_edge": -6.5,
        "value_pct": -10.5,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
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    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 8,
        "away_played": 36,
        "away_score_rate": 76.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 12,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 36,
        "home_score_rate": 89.8,
        "no_prob": 30.5,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 69.5,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 69.5
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      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 2.28,
        "scores": [
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.1
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
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            "prob": 8.0
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-1",
            "prob": 6.9
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            "away": 2,
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            "prob": 6.5
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            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
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        ],
        "source": "xG"
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      "double_chance": {
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            "label": "Hansa Rostock or Draw",
            "prob": 77.3
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Hansa Rostock or Stuttgart II",
            "prob": 78.1
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
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            "prob": 44.6
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Hansa Rostock or Stuttgart II",
        "pick_prob": 78.1
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 22.7,
        "draw_pct": 21.9,
        "home_pct": 55.4,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Hansa Rostock"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "+1.5",
        "avg_total": 3.72,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.8,
        "over_prob": 71.8,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 71.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.72,
        "under_prob": 28.2
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
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        "edge": 5.3,
        "implied_prob": 21.6,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market": "Stuttgart II Win",
        "model_prob": 22.7,
        "odds": 4.64
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    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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        "label": "2-1",
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    },
    "home_xg": 2.28,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_under": -0.1822,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "ev_yes": 0.0634,
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        "no_prob": 30.5,
        "sort_key": 10057.06,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 69.5
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
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        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.587,
        "max_ev": -0.0292,
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        "side_label": "Hansa Rostock",
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        "tier": "bad_ev"
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      {
        "featured": false,
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    ],
    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 12867,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/12867.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Stuttgart II",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
      "fixture_id": 1394415,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 1321,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1321.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Hansa Rostock",
      "league_country": "Germany",
      "league_id": 80,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/80.webp",
      "league_name": "3. Liga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-09 12:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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        ],
        "score": 8.0
      },
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              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.0292,
            "implied_prob": 0.2049,
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              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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      "variance_flag": false
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      "confidence": 6.5,
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          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
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        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
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          "total_xg": 3.72,
          "under_prob": 0.282,
          "xg_diff": 0.84
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        "type": "strong_signal",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "longshot_picks": [],
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          "max_ev_side": "away",
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          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Hansa Rostock"
        },
        "btts": {
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          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
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          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
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        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
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        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
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      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.2271,
        "draw": 0.2196,
        "home": 0.5533
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Stuttgart II",
        "home": "Hansa Rostock"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.055286,
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        "model_prob": 0.718,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
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  "fixture_id": 1394415,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T11:59:12.365977+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}