WSPG Wels vs Sturm Graz II Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 0.63,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : WSPG Wels or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "WSPG Wels"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.41,
    "betting_insight": {
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      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
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        "edge_gap": 0.0,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4581,
        "model_prob": 0.45,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 10.0,
          "draw": 45.0,
          "home": 45.0
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 10,
        "away_played": 27,
        "away_score_rate": 63.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 4,
        "home_failed_to_score": 9,
        "home_played": 27,
        "home_score_rate": 66.7,
        "no_prob": 58.0,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 58.0,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 42.0
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.25,
        "home_expected": 1.55,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.8
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.4
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.1
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 7.6
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 7.4
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "WSPG Wels or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "WSPG Wels or Sturm Graz II",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Sturm Graz II",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "WSPG Wels or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
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        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
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        "lean_label": "WSPG Wels"
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        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "over_prob": 53.1,
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        "pick_prob": 53.1,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.8,
        "under_prob": 46.9
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.8
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 0.63,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.3108,
        "ev_yes": -0.3196,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.3108,
        "no_prob": 58.0,
        "sort_key": 10429.72,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 42.0
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      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
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        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4581,
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        "side_label": "WSPG Wels",
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        "tier": "lean"
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      {
        "decision": "lean",
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        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
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    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 8251,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/8251.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Sturm Graz II",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/at.svg",
      "country_name": "Austria",
      "fixture_id": 1391852,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 22213,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/22213.webp",
      "home_team_name": "WSPG Wels",
      "league_country": "Austria",
      "league_id": 219,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/219.webp",
      "league_name": "2. Liga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-08 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
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          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
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            "alpha": 0.2174,
            "best_odd": 3.36,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "edge": -0.0399,
            "ev": -0.1812,
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "implied_yes": 0.586,
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          "reliability": "medium"
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          "ev_under": -0.0057,
          "implied_over": 0.5457,
          "implied_under": 0.4543,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
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          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
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        ],
        "score": 6.0
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "draw_prob": 0.45,
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          "under_prob": 0.469,
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          "edge": -0.0036,
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          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.45,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "WSPG Wels"
        },
        "btts": {
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          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
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        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
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          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
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        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
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        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.3108,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
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      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1,
        "draw": 0.45,
        "home": 0.45
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1041,
        "implied_prob": 0.2582,
        "market": "1x2",
        "model_prob": 0.45,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "draw",
        "side_label": "draw",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
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        {
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          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
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          "side": "draw",
          "side_label": "draw",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Sturm Graz II",
        "home": "WSPG Wels"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.180264,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3108,
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        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.58,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
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      "valid_markets_count": 2
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  "fixture_id": 1391852,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-08T15:59:13.699348+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}