Thống kê / Bóng đá / Tây Ban Nha. La Liga / Sevilla vs Real Madrid

Sevilla vs Real Madrid Statistics & Analysis

May 17, 2026 - 17:00
0 0.97
1 1.38
xG Accuracy: 69%
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Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian

Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.

  • Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
  • Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 (1 mục tiêu) ✔ Chính xác
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Chính xác
  • 1X2 Real Madrid Real Madrid ✔ Chính xác
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 0-1, 1-1, 0-0, 1-0, 0-2 0-1 ✔ Chính xác

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 16:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1738027

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Real Madrid win · Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

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View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "dfd7e675ec51c7fbb00192bd3cf6a87a54f5036bb503b7167348e64bfca4b09a",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.38,
      "away_win_prob": 0.4467,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3059,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.24,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.27,
      "fair_odds_home": 4.04,
      "home_predicted_xg": 0.97,
      "home_win_prob": 0.2475,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Real Madrid",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Real Madrid"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.38,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Real Madrid",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0101,
        "edge_gap": 0.1407,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4364,
        "model_prob": 0.4465,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 44.7,
          "draw": 30.6,
          "home": 24.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.23
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.23,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Real Madrid Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.29,
        "market_odds": 2.23,
        "model_odds": 2.24,
        "overround": 2.8,
        "prob_edge": -0.2,
        "value_pct": -0.4,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 13,
        "away_failed_to_score": 4,
        "away_played": 36,
        "away_score_rate": 74.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 36,
        "home_score_rate": 62.1,
        "no_prob": 51.9,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 51.9,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 48.1
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      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 0.97,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 13.2
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.8
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 9.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.3
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 9.1
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Sevilla or Draw",
            "prob": 55.4
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Sevilla or Real Madrid",
            "prob": 69.5
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Real Madrid",
            "prob": 75.3
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Real Madrid",
        "pick_prob": 75.3
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 44.7,
        "draw_pct": 30.6,
        "home_pct": 24.8,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Real Madrid"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.35,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.0,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "over_prob": 41.7,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 58.3,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.35,
        "under_prob": 58.3
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 10.5,
        "implied_prob": 27.7,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 30.6,
        "odds": 3.61
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Real Madrid",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Sevilla",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 29.4,
          "gap_pp": -4.64,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 24.76
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 26.96,
          "gap_pp": 3.63,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 30.59
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 43.64,
          "gap_pp": 1.01,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 44.65
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 54.87,
          "gap_pp": -13.17,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 41.7
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 45.13,
          "gap_pp": 13.17,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 58.3
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 3.31,
          "early": 3.31,
          "implied_closing_pct": 29.4,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 29.4,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.61,
          "early": 3.61,
          "implied_closing_pct": 26.96,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 26.96,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.23,
          "early": 2.23,
          "implied_closing_pct": 43.64,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 43.64,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.76,
          "early": 1.76,
          "implied_closing_pct": 54.87,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 54.87,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.14,
          "early": 2.14,
          "implied_closing_pct": 45.13,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 45.13,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 13.2,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "0-1",
        "prob": 13.2
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 0.97,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.2536,
        "ev_under": 0.2709,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.2709,
        "over_prob": 41.7,
        "sort_key": 10393.81,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 58.3,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.2041,
        "ev_yes": -0.2304,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2041,
        "no_prob": 51.9,
        "sort_key": 10183.69,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 48.1
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0168,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4364,
        "max_ev": 0.0104,
        "model_prob": 0.4465,
        "side_label": "Real Madrid",
        "sort_key": 5208.32,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 819.6,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "0-1",
        "top_prob": 13.2
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 541,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/541.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Real Madrid",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
      "country_name": "Spain",
      "fixture_id": 1391188,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 536,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/536.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Sevilla",
      "league_country": "Spain",
      "league_id": 140,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/140.webp",
      "league_name": "La Liga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4432,
            "best_odd": 2.23,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0045,
            "ev": -0.0168,
            "implied_prob": 0.4364,
            "model_prob": 0.4465,
            "p_final": 0.4409
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2837,
            "best_odd": 3.61,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0103,
            "ev": 0.0104,
            "implied_prob": 0.2696,
            "model_prob": 0.3059,
            "p_final": 0.2799
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.2791,
            "best_odd": 3.31,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.013,
            "ev": -0.0697,
            "implied_prob": 0.294,
            "model_prob": 0.2476,
            "p_final": 0.2811
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.32,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.6,
          "edge_no": 0.1088,
          "edge_yes": -0.1088,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.2041,
          "ev_yes": -0.2304,
          "implied_no": 0.4102,
          "implied_yes": 0.5898,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.79,
          "best_under_odd": 2.18,
          "edge_over": -0.1343,
          "edge_under": 0.1343,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.2536,
          "ev_under": 0.2709,
          "implied_over": 0.5513,
          "implied_under": 0.4487,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.35,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.2709,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.481,
          "draw_prob": 0.3059,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4465,
          "over_prob": 0.417,
          "total_xg": 2.35,
          "under_prob": 0.583,
          "xg_diff": 0.41
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0045,
          "ev": -0.0168,
          "implied_prob": 0.4364,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.4465,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Real Madrid"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1088,
          "ev": 0.2041,
          "implied_prob": 0.4102,
          "model_prob": 0.519,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1343,
          "ev": 0.2709,
          "implied_prob": 0.4487,
          "model_prob": 0.583,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1391188,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.2709,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.4465,
        "draw": 0.3059,
        "home": 0.2476
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2041,
        "implied_prob": 0.4102,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.519,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.2041,
          "implied_prob": 0.4102,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.519,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Real Madrid",
        "home": "Sevilla"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.110554,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2709,
        "implied_prob": 0.4487,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.583,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1391188,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T15:59:13.671490+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Sevilla & Real Madrid!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
La Liga La Liga — Bảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72
4 Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 69
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 60
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 46
12 Athletic Bilbao 38 13 6 19 45
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 43
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 43
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 43
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 42
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 42
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 41
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 29
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Barcelona 38 95 36 +59 94
2 Real Madrid 38 77 35 +42 86
3 Villarreal 38 72 46 +26 72
4 Atletico Madrid 38 62 44 +18 69
5 Real Betis 38 59 48 +11 60
6 Real Sociedad 38 59 61 -2 46
7 Celta Vigo 38 53 48 +5 54
8 Elche 38 49 57 -8 43
9 Mallorca 38 47 57 -10 42
10 Levante 38 47 61 -14 42
11 Valencia 38 46 55 -9 49
12 Sevilla 38 46 60 -14 43
13 Osasuna 38 44 50 -6 42
14 Alaves 38 44 56 -12 43
15 Espanyol 38 43 55 -12 46
16 Athletic Bilbao 38 43 58 -15 45
17 Rayo Vallecano 38 41 44 -3 50
18 Girona 38 39 55 -16 41
19 Getafe 38 32 38 -6 51
20 Oviedo 38 26 60 -34 29
# Đội Tr xG xGC +/- Đ
1 Barcelona 38 86.7 45.6 +41.1 94
2 Real Madrid 38 74.8 40.1 +34.7 86
3 Villarreal 38 57.8 45.0 +12.8 72
4 Atletico Madrid 38 58.0 48.5 +9.5 69
5 Real Betis 38 54.7 45.5 +9.2 60
6 Athletic Bilbao 38 50.3 42.1 +8.2 45
7 Valencia 38 49.3 46.3 +3.0 49
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 50.1 48.0 +2.1 50
9 Celta Vigo 38 49.7 49.4 +0.3 54
10 Alaves 38 46.1 47.4 -1.3 43
11 Osasuna 38 45.5 49.1 -3.6 42
12 Real Sociedad 38 50.6 55.7 -5.1 46
13 Espanyol 38 48.4 53.8 -5.4 46
14 Levante 38 51.5 59.3 -7.8 42
15 Girona 38 45.6 55.4 -9.8 41
16 Getafe 38 30.2 40.8 -10.6 51
17 Sevilla 38 38.0 54.0 -16.0 43
18 Mallorca 38 43.1 61.9 -18.8 42
19 Elche 38 40.5 60.1 -19.6 43
20 Oviedo 38 34.3 57.3 -23.0 29