SC Paderborn 07 vs Karlsruher SC Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.137,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2081,
      "fair_odds_away": 7.3,
      "fair_odds_draw": 4.81,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.53,
      "home_predicted_xg": 2.28,
      "home_win_prob": 0.6549,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : SC Paderborn 07 or draw and +1.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "SC Paderborn 07"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.98,
    "betting_insight": {
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        "edge": -0.0361,
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        "market_prob": 0.6907,
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        "pick_type": "no_value",
        "probabilities": {
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          "draw": 20.8,
          "home": 65.5
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        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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          "odd": 1.4
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      "value_bet": {
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        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "SC Paderborn 07 Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.45,
        "market_odds": 1.4,
        "model_odds": 1.53,
        "overround": 3.4,
        "prob_edge": -6.1,
        "value_pct": -8.5,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
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    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 5,
        "away_failed_to_score": 10,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 62.5,
        "home_clean_sheet": 8,
        "home_failed_to_score": 4,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 89.8,
        "no_prob": 42.8,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 57.2,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 57.2
      },
      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 2.28,
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            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 10.0
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
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            "away": 0,
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        ],
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      "double_chance": {
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          {
            "key": "12",
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            "prob": 79.2
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          }
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        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "SC Paderborn 07 or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 86.3
      },
      "match_winner": {
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        "draw_pct": 20.8,
        "home_pct": 65.5,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "SC Paderborn 07"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "+1.5",
        "avg_total": 3.26,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.7,
        "over_prob": 63.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 63.2,
        "source": "xG_dc",
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        "under_prob": 36.8
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        "edge": 16.3,
        "implied_prob": 17.9,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
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        "odds": 5.59
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    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "2-0",
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    },
    "home_xg": 2.28,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
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        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
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        "ev_under": 0.196,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.196,
        "over_prob": 63.2,
        "sort_key": 10326.4,
        "tier": "best",
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        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 57.2
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        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.6907,
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        "side_label": "SC Paderborn 07",
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        "tier": "lean"
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    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 785,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/785.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Karlsruher SC",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
      "fixture_id": 1388909,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 185,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/185.webp",
      "home_team_name": "SC Paderborn 07",
      "league_country": "Germany",
      "league_id": 79,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/79.webp",
      "league_name": "2. Bundesliga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-08 11:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
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          "Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 9.0
      },
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            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.0319,
            "implied_prob": 0.1364,
            "model_prob": 0.1372,
            "p_final": 0.1365
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          "draw": {
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              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "implied_under": 0.3057,
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      "variance_flag": false
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        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
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        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
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      "game_type": {
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        "scoring_type": "strong_signal",
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          "draw_prob": 0.2082,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.6546,
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          "total_xg": 3.26,
          "under_prob": 0.368,
          "xg_diff": 1.3
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        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "longshot_picks": [],
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          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.6546,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "SC Paderborn 07"
        },
        "btts": {
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          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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      },
      "match_id": 1388909,
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        "actionable": true,
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        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
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      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1372,
        "draw": 0.2082,
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      },
      "reason_codes": [
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        "high_total_goals"
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "implied_prob": 0.3807,
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          "decision": "value_bet",
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      ],
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      "teams": {
        "away": "Karlsruher SC",
        "home": "SC Paderborn 07"
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        "primary_strength": "weak",
        "risk_band": "speculative",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": true
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  "fixture_id": 1388909,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-08T11:29:15.389082+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}