Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.4506,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2716,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.22,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.68,
      "fair_odds_home": 3.6,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.26,
      "home_win_prob": 0.2778,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Borussia Dortmund",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Borussia Dortmund",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Borussia Dortmund"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.65,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Borussia Dortmund",
      "confidence": 45.1,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "Winner : Borussia Dortmund",
        "edge": 0.0063,
        "edge_gap": 0.1727,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4442,
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        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
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          "draw": 27.2,
          "home": 27.8
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        "reason": "",
        "selection": "away",
        "selection_name": "Borussia Dortmund"
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          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.19
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      "risk_color": "#f44336",
      "risk_key": "high_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.19,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
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        "display_market": "Borussia Dortmund Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.25,
        "market_odds": 2.19,
        "model_odds": 2.22,
        "overround": 2.8,
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        "value_rating": "no_value"
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 2,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 80.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 12,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 71.6,
        "no_prob": 40.6,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 59.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 59.4
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        "home_expected": 1.26,
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
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            "prob": 11.3
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
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            "prob": 9.3
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            "away": 1,
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            "away": 2,
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            "prob": 7.4
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            "away": 1,
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      "double_chance": {
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        "draw_pct": 27.2,
        "home_pct": 27.8,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Borussia Dortmund"
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        "avg_total": 2.91,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.1,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "over_prob": 55.6,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
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        "edge": 9.3,
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        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
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        "odds": 4.02
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    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
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      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
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      "early_capture": "PRE30",
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      "home_team": "Werder Bremen",
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    "home_xg": 1.26,
    "homepage_pick": null,
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        "tier": "pass"
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      "away_team_id": 165,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/165.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Borussia Dortmund",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 162,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/162.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Werder Bremen",
      "league_country": "Germany",
      "league_id": 78,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/78.webp",
      "league_name": "Bundesliga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 13:30:00",
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      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
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        "score": 6.5
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "home": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "p_final": 0.3036
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        },
        "btts": {
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          "implied_no": 0.3124,
          "implied_yes": 0.6876,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
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        },
        "ou25": {
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          "edge_under": 0.125,
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          "implied_under": 0.319,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
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      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
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      "total_xg": 2.91,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
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      "algorithm": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
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          "xg_diff": 0.39
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          "max_ev_side": "draw",
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          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Borussia Dortmund"
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        "btts": {
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          "value_side": "no"
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        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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      ],
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      "teams": {
        "away": "Borussia Dortmund",
        "home": "Werder Bremen"
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        "model_prob": 0.444,
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        "primary_strength": "clear",
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        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T13:29:11.292719+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}