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Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian
Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 (6 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Có ✔ Chính xác
- 1X2 Bayern München Bayern München ✔ Chính xác
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 3-1, 2-1, 3-2, 4-1, 2-2 5-1 ✖ Không đúng
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.16
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Bayern München win · Bayern München 5–1 1. FC Köln
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "90d0899b4c753017cbf6df76968441d12487a0cfadaad6ad6789f1aa292a99fe",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.58,
"away_win_prob": 0.1592,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.1613,
"fair_odds_away": 6.28,
"fair_odds_draw": 6.2,
"fair_odds_home": 1.47,
"home_predicted_xg": 3.14,
"home_win_prob": 0.6795,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Winner : Bayern M\u00fcnchen and +1.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen"
},
"away_xg": 1.58,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
"edge": -0.1464,
"edge_gap": 0.5186,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.8261,
"model_prob": 0.6797,
"pick_type": "no_value",
"probabilities": {
"away": 15.9,
"draw": 16.1,
"home": 68.0
},
"reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.16
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.16,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 1.21,
"market_odds": 1.16,
"model_odds": 1.47,
"overround": 4.4,
"prob_edge": -18.2,
"value_pct": -21.1,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 3,
"away_failed_to_score": 4,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 79.4,
"home_clean_sheet": 12,
"home_failed_to_score": 0,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 95.7,
"no_prob": 23.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 76.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 76.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.58,
"home_expected": 3.14,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-1",
"prob": 7.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 6.9
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-2",
"prob": 5.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 4,
"label": "4-1",
"prob": 5.7
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 5.5
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen or Draw",
"prob": 84.1
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen or 1. FC K\u00f6ln",
"prob": 83.9
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or 1. FC K\u00f6ln",
"prob": 32.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen or Draw",
"pick_prob": 84.1
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 15.9,
"draw_pct": 16.1,
"home_pct": 68.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "+1.5",
"avg_total": 4.72,
"away_avg_scored": 1.5,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 3.5,
"over_prob": 85.0,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 85.0,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 4.72,
"under_prob": 15.0
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 118.8,
"implied_prob": 7.3,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Away",
"market": "1. FC K\u00f6ln Win",
"model_prob": 15.9,
"odds": 13.76
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "1. FC K\u00f6ln",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 82.61,
"gap_pp": -14.64,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 67.97
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 10.43,
"gap_pp": 5.69,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 16.12
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 6.96,
"gap_pp": 8.95,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 15.91
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.16,
"early": 1.16,
"implied_closing_pct": 82.61,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 82.61,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 9.19,
"early": 9.19,
"implied_closing_pct": 10.43,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 10.43,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 13.76,
"early": 13.76,
"implied_closing_pct": 6.96,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 6.96,
"kind": "1x2_a"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 8.9,
"kind": "1x2_a"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "3-1",
"prob": 7.3
}
},
"home_xg": 3.14,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.342,
"ev_yes": 0.1475,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1475,
"no_prob": 23.5,
"sort_key": 10282.75,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 76.5
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0395,
"ev_under": 0.05,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.05,
"over_prob": 85.0,
"sort_key": 10045.0,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 15.0,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1212,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.8261,
"max_ev": 0.1714,
"model_prob": 0.6797,
"side_label": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen",
"sort_key": 5337.12,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 801.9,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "3-1",
"top_prob": 7.3
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 192,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/192.webp",
"away_team_name": "1. FC K\u00f6ln",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1388606,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 157,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/157.webp",
"home_team_name": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 78,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/78.webp",
"league_name": "Bundesliga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-16 13:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1732,
"best_odd": 13.76,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0155,
"ev": 0.1714,
"implied_prob": 0.0696,
"model_prob": 0.1591,
"p_final": 0.0851
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1829,
"best_odd": 9.19,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0104,
"ev": 0.0539,
"implied_prob": 0.1043,
"model_prob": 0.1612,
"p_final": 0.1147
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4683,
"best_odd": 1.16,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0685,
"ev": -0.1212,
"implied_prob": 0.8261,
"model_prob": 0.6797,
"p_final": 0.7576
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.8,
"best_yes_odd": 1.5,
"edge_no": -0.1207,
"edge_yes": 0.1207,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.342,
"ev_yes": 0.1475,
"implied_no": 0.3557,
"implied_yes": 0.6443,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.13,
"best_under_odd": 7.0,
"edge_over": 0.0014,
"edge_under": -0.0014,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0395,
"ev_under": 0.05,
"implied_over": 0.8486,
"implied_under": 0.1514,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 4.72,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1714,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.765,
"draw_prob": 0.1612,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.6797,
"over_prob": 0.85,
"total_xg": 4.72,
"under_prob": 0.15,
"xg_diff": 1.56
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1714,
"implied_prob": 0.0696,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.1591,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "longshot",
"risk_tier": "longshot",
"side": "away",
"side_label": "1. FC K\u00f6ln",
"slot": "longshot"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0539,
"implied_prob": 0.1043,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.1612,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "longshot",
"risk_tier": "longshot",
"side": "draw",
"side_label": "draw",
"slot": "longshot"
}
],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0685,
"ev": -0.1212,
"implied_prob": 0.8261,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.6797,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1207,
"ev": 0.1475,
"implied_prob": 0.6443,
"model_prob": 0.765,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": -0.0014,
"ev": 0.05,
"implied_prob": 0.1514,
"model_prob": 0.15,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1388606,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1714,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1591,
"draw": 0.1612,
"home": 0.6797
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals",
"longshot_high_variance"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "1. FC K\u00f6ln",
"home": "Bayern M\u00fcnchen"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.112837,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1475,
"implied_prob": 0.6443,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.765,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 4
}
},
"fixture_id": 1388606,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T13:29:05.146552+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Bayern München & 1. FC Köln!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Bundesliga — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 |
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 122 | 36 | +86 | 89 |
| 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 71 | 49 | +22 | 62 |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 70 | 34 | +36 | 73 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 68 | 47 | +21 | 59 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 66 | 47 | +19 | 65 |
| 6 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 65 | 52 | +13 | 61 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 |
| 8 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 |
| 9 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
| 11 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 34 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 |
| 14 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 97.2 | 37.9 | +59.3 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 63.4 | 38.9 | +24.5 | 73 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 64.0 | 44.8 | +19.2 | 59 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 66.3 | 50.2 | +16.1 | 65 |
| 5 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 60.1 | 49.8 | +10.3 | 62 |
| 6 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 55.1 | 51.4 | +3.7 | 61 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 48.6 | 47.8 | +0.8 | 47 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 52.9 | 54.6 | -1.7 | 40 |
| 9 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 50.9 | 54.9 | -4.0 | 32 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 45.4 | 50.1 | -4.7 | 44 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 44.9 | 52.2 | -7.3 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 42.7 | 52.5 | -9.8 | 38 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 40.4 | 54.3 | -13.9 | 32 |
| 14 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 47.1 | 61.8 | -14.7 | 29 |
| 15 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 47.5 | 63.4 | -15.9 | 26 |
| 16 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 45.2 | 62.6 | -17.4 | 43 |
| 17 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38.3 | 56.9 | -18.6 | 38 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 30.5 | 56.2 | -25.7 | 26 |
