Thống kê / Bóng đá / Netherlands. Eredivisie / NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles

NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles Statistics & Analysis

May 17, 2026 - 12:30
2 2.25
1 1.14
xG Accuracy: 90%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

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View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "6884f5c4615518ef70bfd2403d627137b3011f0e93fbe69747df9be165ada98f",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.14,
      "away_win_prob": 0.1706,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2167,
      "fair_odds_away": 5.86,
      "fair_odds_draw": 4.61,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.63,
      "home_predicted_xg": 2.25,
      "home_win_prob": 0.6127,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or GO Ahead Eagles",
      "main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "GO Ahead Eagles"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.14,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "NEC Nijmegen",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
        "edge": -0.0895,
        "edge_gap": 0.3962,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.7023,
        "model_prob": 0.6128,
        "pick_type": "no_value",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 17.0,
          "draw": 21.7,
          "home": 61.3
        },
        "reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.36
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.36,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "NEC Nijmegen Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.42,
        "market_odds": 1.36,
        "model_odds": 1.63,
        "overround": 4.7,
        "prob_edge": -12.2,
        "value_pct": -16.6,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 9,
        "away_failed_to_score": 7,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 68.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 5,
        "home_failed_to_score": 1,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 89.5,
        "no_prob": 38.0,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 62.0,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 62.0
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.14,
        "home_expected": 2.25,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.7
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 8.6
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 8.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 7.6
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-1",
            "prob": 7.3
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "NEC Nijmegen or Draw",
            "prob": 83.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "NEC Nijmegen or GO Ahead Eagles",
            "prob": 78.4
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or GO Ahead Eagles",
            "prob": 38.8
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "NEC Nijmegen or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 83.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 17.1,
        "draw_pct": 21.7,
        "home_pct": 61.3,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "NEC Nijmegen"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.39,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 2.3,
        "over_prob": 65.8,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 65.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.39,
        "under_prob": 34.2
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 24.7,
        "implied_prob": 13.7,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market": "GO Ahead Eagles Win",
        "model_prob": 17.1,
        "odds": 7.29
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "GO Ahead Eagles",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "NEC Nijmegen",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 70.23,
          "gap_pp": -8.95,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 61.28
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 16.67,
          "gap_pp": 5.0,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 21.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 13.1,
          "gap_pp": 3.94,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 17.05
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 73.05,
          "gap_pp": -7.25,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 65.8
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 26.95,
          "gap_pp": 7.25,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 34.2
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.36,
          "early": 1.36,
          "implied_closing_pct": 70.23,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 70.23,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 5.73,
          "early": 5.73,
          "implied_closing_pct": 16.67,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 16.67,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 7.29,
          "early": 7.29,
          "implied_closing_pct": 13.1,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 13.1,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.31,
          "early": 1.31,
          "implied_closing_pct": 73.05,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 73.05,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.55,
          "early": 3.55,
          "implied_closing_pct": 26.95,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 26.95,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 7.2,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "2-1",
        "prob": 9.7
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 2.25,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1249,
        "ev_under": 0.2141,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.2141,
        "over_prob": 65.8,
        "sort_key": 10192.69,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 34.2,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1081,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.7023,
        "max_ev": 0.0092,
        "model_prob": 0.6128,
        "side_label": "NEC Nijmegen",
        "sort_key": 5207.36,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.0006,
        "ev_yes": -0.0576,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": -0.0006,
        "no_prob": 38.0,
        "sort_key": 4049.916,
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 62.0
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 809.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "2-1",
        "top_prob": 9.7
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 410,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/410.webp",
      "away_team_name": "GO Ahead Eagles",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/nl.svg",
      "country_name": "Netherlands",
      "fixture_id": 1381168,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 413,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/413.webp",
      "home_team_name": "NEC Nijmegen",
      "league_country": "Netherlands",
      "league_id": 88,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/88.webp",
      "league_name": "Eredivisie",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 12:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 9.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.1882,
            "best_odd": 7.29,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0074,
            "ev": 0.0092,
            "implied_prob": 0.131,
            "model_prob": 0.1705,
            "p_final": 0.1384
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.185,
            "best_odd": 5.73,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0093,
            "ev": 0.0081,
            "implied_prob": 0.1667,
            "model_prob": 0.2167,
            "p_final": 0.1759
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5195,
            "best_odd": 1.36,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0465,
            "ev": -0.1081,
            "implied_prob": 0.7023,
            "model_prob": 0.6128,
            "p_final": 0.6558
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.63,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.52,
          "edge_no": 0.0135,
          "edge_yes": -0.0135,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.0006,
          "ev_yes": -0.0576,
          "implied_no": 0.3665,
          "implied_yes": 0.6335,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.33,
          "best_under_odd": 3.55,
          "edge_over": -0.0611,
          "edge_under": 0.0611,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1249,
          "ev_under": 0.2141,
          "implied_over": 0.7191,
          "implied_under": 0.2809,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 3.39,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.2141,
      "confidence": 5.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [],
        "breakdown_resolved": [],
        "score": 5.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "strong_signal",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.62,
          "draw_prob": 0.2167,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.6128,
          "over_prob": 0.658,
          "total_xg": 3.39,
          "under_prob": 0.342,
          "xg_diff": 1.11
        },
        "type": "strong_signal",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2141,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.2809,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.342,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "speculative",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.2141,
          "implied_prob": 0.2809,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.342,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "speculative",
          "risk_tier": "longshot",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "longshot"
        }
      ],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0465,
          "ev": -0.1081,
          "implied_prob": 0.7023,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.6128,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "NEC Nijmegen"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0135,
          "ev": -0.0006,
          "implied_prob": 0.3665,
          "model_prob": 0.38,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0611,
          "ev": 0.2141,
          "implied_prob": 0.2809,
          "model_prob": 0.342,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1381168,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "high_risk",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "longshot",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_longshot_only",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.2141,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.1,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1705,
        "draw": 0.2167,
        "home": 0.6128
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals",
        "longshot_high_variance"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "GO Ahead Eagles",
        "home": "NEC Nijmegen"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1381168,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T12:29:16.668956+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho NEC Nijmegen & GO Ahead Eagles!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
Eredivisie EredivisieBảng xếp hạng
# ĐỘI MP T H B PTS
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 84
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 65
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 59
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 58
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 56
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 53
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 52
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 51
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 43
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 38
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 38
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 37
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 37
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 32
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 29
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 19
# ĐỘI MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 101 45 +56 84
2 NEC Nijmegen 34 77 53 +24 59
3 Feyenoord 34 70 44 +26 65
4 Ajax 34 62 41 +21 56
5 Twente 34 59 40 +19 58
6 AZ Alkmaar 34 58 51 +7 52
7 Heerenveen 34 57 53 +4 51
8 Utrecht 34 55 42 +13 53
9 GO Ahead Eagles 34 54 53 +1 38
10 Groningen 34 49 45 +4 48
11 Telstar 34 49 55 -6 37
12 Fortuna Sittard 34 49 63 -14 39
13 PEC Zwolle 34 44 71 -27 37
14 Excelsior 34 43 56 -13 38
15 Sparta Rotterdam 34 40 62 -22 43
16 FC Volendam 34 35 55 -20 32
17 NAC Breda 34 35 58 -23 29
18 Heracles 34 35 85 -50 19
# ĐỘI MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 69.7 37.3 +32.4 84
2 Feyenoord 34 67.1 37.3 +29.8 65
3 Twente 34 60.3 36.3 +24.0 58
4 AZ Alkmaar 34 61.9 42.5 +19.4 52
5 NEC Nijmegen 34 61.6 45.9 +15.7 59
6 Groningen 34 58.0 46.2 +11.8 48
7 Heerenveen 34 58.3 49.4 +8.9 51
8 Ajax 34 53.4 45.6 +7.8 56
9 Utrecht 34 50.0 44.4 +5.6 53
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 41.8 48.0 -6.2 43
11 NAC Breda 34 39.4 50.3 -10.9 29
12 Telstar 34 47.3 58.3 -11.0 37
13 Excelsior 34 44.1 58.3 -14.2 38
14 Fortuna Sittard 34 39.9 58.5 -18.6 39
15 GO Ahead Eagles 34 41.7 62.4 -20.7 38
16 PEC Zwolle 34 36.2 58.6 -22.4 37
17 FC Volendam 34 34.5 59.3 -24.8 32
18 Heracles 34 39.1 65.7 -26.6 19