Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 AZ Alkmaar Vẽ tranh ✖ Incorrect
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-0 3-3 ✖ Incorrect
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "5165cf58ec48afaaa2f1cb575e0db8e031c3ead84e1c43c3bd02bd6e6d7e0b20",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 0.68,
"away_win_prob": 0.1095,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2305,
"fair_odds_away": 9.13,
"fair_odds_draw": 4.34,
"fair_odds_home": 1.52,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.94,
"home_win_prob": 0.66,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Winner : AZ Alkmaar",
"main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
"percent_away": "0%",
"percent_draw": "50%",
"percent_home": "50%",
"winner_name": "AZ Alkmaar"
},
"away_xg": 0.68,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "AZ Alkmaar",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
"edge": -0.0483,
"edge_gap": 0.4284,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.7076,
"model_prob": 0.6593,
"pick_type": "no_value",
"probabilities": {
"away": 11.0,
"draw": 23.1,
"home": 65.9
},
"reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.35
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.35,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "AZ Alkmaar Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 1.41,
"market_odds": 1.35,
"model_odds": 1.52,
"overround": 4.7,
"prob_edge": -8.3,
"value_pct": -11.2,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 6,
"away_failed_to_score": 14,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 49.3,
"home_clean_sheet": 9,
"home_failed_to_score": 4,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 85.6,
"no_prob": 56.5,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 56.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 43.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 0.68,
"home_expected": 1.94,
"scores": [
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 14.1
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 13.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 9.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.3
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-0",
"prob": 8.9
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "AZ Alkmaar or Draw",
"prob": 89.1
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "AZ Alkmaar or NAC Breda",
"prob": 76.9
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or NAC Breda",
"prob": 34.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "AZ Alkmaar or Draw",
"pick_prob": 89.1
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 10.9,
"draw_pct": 23.1,
"home_pct": 66.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "AZ Alkmaar"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.62,
"away_avg_scored": 1.0,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.7,
"over_prob": 48.7,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.3,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.62,
"under_prob": 51.3
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 31.9,
"implied_prob": 17.5,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 23.1,
"odds": 5.71
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "NAC Breda",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "AZ Alkmaar",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 70.76,
"gap_pp": -4.83,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 65.93
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 16.73,
"gap_pp": 6.36,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 23.09
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 12.5,
"gap_pp": -1.53,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 10.98
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 70.65,
"gap_pp": -21.95,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.7
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 29.35,
"gap_pp": 21.95,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.3
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.35,
"early": 1.35,
"implied_closing_pct": 70.76,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 70.76,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 5.71,
"early": 5.71,
"implied_closing_pct": 16.73,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 16.73,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 7.64,
"early": 7.64,
"implied_closing_pct": 12.5,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 12.5,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.35,
"early": 1.35,
"implied_closing_pct": 70.65,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 70.65,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 3.25,
"early": 3.25,
"implied_closing_pct": 29.35,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 29.35,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 21.9,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 14.1
}
},
"home_xg": 1.94,
"homepage_pick": {
"best_bookmaker": "10Bet",
"best_odds": 1.4,
"confidence": "strong",
"display_label": "Home AZ Alkmaar",
"edge": -5.5,
"ev": -7.9,
"probability": 65.9
},
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.3231,
"ev_under": 0.6673,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.6673,
"over_prob": 48.7,
"sort_key": 10750.57,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.3,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.3447,
"ev_yes": -0.304,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.3447,
"no_prob": 56.5,
"sort_key": 10310.23,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 43.5
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.081,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.7076,
"max_ev": 0.021,
"model_prob": 0.6593,
"side_label": "AZ Alkmaar",
"sort_key": 5216.8,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 822.3,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-0",
"top_prob": 14.1
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 203,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/203.webp",
"away_team_name": "NAC Breda",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/nl.svg",
"country_name": "Netherlands",
"fixture_id": 1381164,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 201,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/201.webp",
"home_team_name": "AZ Alkmaar",
"league_country": "Netherlands",
"league_id": 88,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/88.webp",
"league_name": "Eredivisie",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 12:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1954,
"best_odd": 7.64,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.003,
"ev": -0.0675,
"implied_prob": 0.125,
"model_prob": 0.1098,
"p_final": 0.1221
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1809,
"best_odd": 5.71,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0115,
"ev": 0.021,
"implied_prob": 0.1673,
"model_prob": 0.2309,
"p_final": 0.1788
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.5565,
"best_odd": 1.35,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0269,
"ev": -0.081,
"implied_prob": 0.7076,
"model_prob": 0.6593,
"p_final": 0.6808
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.38,
"best_yes_odd": 1.6,
"edge_no": 0.1575,
"edge_yes": -0.1575,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.3447,
"ev_yes": -0.304,
"implied_no": 0.4075,
"implied_yes": 0.5925,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.39,
"best_under_odd": 3.25,
"edge_over": -0.2048,
"edge_under": 0.2048,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.3231,
"ev_under": 0.6673,
"implied_over": 0.6918,
"implied_under": 0.3082,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.62,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.6673,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.435,
"draw_prob": 0.2309,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.6593,
"over_prob": 0.487,
"total_xg": 2.62,
"under_prob": 0.513,
"xg_diff": 1.26
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.021,
"implied_prob": 0.1673,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.2309,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "longshot",
"risk_tier": "longshot",
"side": "draw",
"side_label": "draw",
"slot": "longshot"
}
],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0269,
"ev": -0.081,
"implied_prob": 0.7076,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.6593,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "AZ Alkmaar"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1575,
"ev": 0.3447,
"implied_prob": 0.4075,
"model_prob": 0.565,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2048,
"ev": 0.6673,
"implied_prob": 0.3082,
"model_prob": 0.513,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1381164,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.6673,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1098,
"draw": 0.2309,
"home": 0.6593
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"longshot_high_variance"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3447,
"implied_prob": 0.4075,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.565,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3447,
"implied_prob": 0.4075,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.565,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "NAC Breda",
"home": "AZ Alkmaar"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.342325,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.6673,
"implied_prob": 0.3082,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.513,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1381164,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T12:29:11.553830+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
- Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
- Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
- Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho AZ Alkmaar & NAC Breda!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Eredivisie — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | ĐỘI | MP | T | H | B | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 65 |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 59 |
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 48 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 |
| 11 | Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 39 |
| 12 | GO Ahead Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 38 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 |
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 19 |
| # | ĐỘI | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 101 | 45 | +56 | 84 |
| 2 | NEC Nijmegen | 34 | 77 | 53 | +24 | 59 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 70 | 44 | +26 | 65 |
| 4 | Ajax | 34 | 62 | 41 | +21 | 56 |
| 5 | Twente | 34 | 59 | 40 | +19 | 58 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 58 | 51 | +7 | 52 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 34 | 57 | 53 | +4 | 51 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 34 | 55 | 42 | +13 | 53 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 34 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 | Groningen | 34 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 48 |
| 11 | Telstar | 34 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 34 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 |
| # | ĐỘI | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 69.7 | 37.3 | +32.4 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 67.1 | 37.3 | +29.8 | 65 |
| 3 | Twente | 34 | 60.3 | 36.3 | +24.0 | 58 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 61.9 | 42.5 | +19.4 | 52 |
| 5 | NEC Nijmegen | 34 | 61.6 | 45.9 | +15.7 | 59 |
| 6 | Groningen | 34 | 58.0 | 46.2 | +11.8 | 48 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 34 | 58.3 | 49.4 | +8.9 | 51 |
| 8 | Ajax | 34 | 53.4 | 45.6 | +7.8 | 56 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 34 | 50.0 | 44.4 | +5.6 | 53 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 41.8 | 48.0 | -6.2 | 43 |
| 11 | NAC Breda | 34 | 39.4 | 50.3 | -10.9 | 29 |
| 12 | Telstar | 34 | 47.3 | 58.3 | -11.0 | 37 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 44.1 | 58.3 | -14.2 | 38 |
| 14 | Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 39.9 | 58.5 | -18.6 | 39 |
| 15 | GO Ahead Eagles | 34 | 41.7 | 62.4 | -20.7 | 38 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 36.2 | 58.6 | -22.4 | 37 |
| 17 | FC Volendam | 34 | 34.5 | 59.3 | -24.8 | 32 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 39.1 | 65.7 | -26.6 | 19 |