Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian
Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 (3 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Không đúng
- 1X2 Chelsea Chelsea ✔ Chính xác
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 2-1 ✔ Chính xác
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "c8493f43bbbd22e63ca2ba053ec41efd6684c1407535d1f35598c87ac0a4038f",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 0.99,
"away_win_prob": 0.2336,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.292,
"fair_odds_away": 4.28,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.42,
"fair_odds_home": 2.11,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.5,
"home_win_prob": 0.4744,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Tottenham Hotspur",
"main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Tottenham Hotspur"
},
"away_xg": 0.99,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Chelsea",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
"edge": -0.011,
"edge_gap": 0.1815,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.485,
"model_prob": 0.4739,
"pick_type": "no_value",
"probabilities": {
"away": 23.4,
"draw": 29.2,
"home": 47.4
},
"reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.96
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.96,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Chelsea Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.06,
"market_odds": 1.96,
"model_odds": 2.11,
"overround": 5.2,
"prob_edge": -3.6,
"value_pct": -7.1,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 8,
"away_failed_to_score": 7,
"away_played": 36,
"away_score_rate": 62.8,
"home_clean_sheet": 9,
"home_failed_to_score": 7,
"home_played": 36,
"home_score_rate": 77.7,
"no_prob": 49.6,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 50.4,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 50.4
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 0.99,
"home_expected": 1.5,
"scores": [
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 12.4
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.3
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 9.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.2
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 8.3
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Chelsea or Draw",
"prob": 76.6
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Chelsea or Tottenham Hotspur",
"prob": 70.8
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Tottenham Hotspur",
"prob": 52.6
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Chelsea or Draw",
"pick_prob": 76.6
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 23.4,
"draw_pct": 29.2,
"home_pct": 47.4,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Chelsea"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.49,
"away_avg_scored": 1.3,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.5,
"over_prob": 45.4,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 54.6,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.49,
"under_prob": 54.6
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 11.3,
"implied_prob": 26.2,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 29.2,
"odds": 3.81
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Tottenham Hotspur",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Chelsea",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 48.5,
"gap_pp": -1.1,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 47.39
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 24.95,
"gap_pp": 4.29,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 29.24
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 26.55,
"gap_pp": -3.19,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 23.37
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 59.6,
"gap_pp": -14.2,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 45.4
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 40.4,
"gap_pp": 14.2,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 54.6
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.96,
"early": 1.96,
"implied_closing_pct": 48.5,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 48.5,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.81,
"early": 3.81,
"implied_closing_pct": 24.95,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 24.95,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 3.58,
"early": 3.58,
"implied_closing_pct": 26.55,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 26.55,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.6,
"early": 1.6,
"implied_closing_pct": 59.6,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 59.6,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.36,
"early": 2.36,
"implied_closing_pct": 40.4,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 40.4,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 14.2,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 12.4
}
},
"home_xg": 1.5,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1557,
"ev_yes": -0.1583,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1557,
"no_prob": 49.6,
"sort_key": 10290.13,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 50.4
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.151,
"ev_under": 0.2176,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2176,
"over_prob": 45.4,
"sort_key": 10195.84,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 54.6,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0622,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.485,
"max_ev": -0.0035,
"model_prob": 0.4739,
"side_label": "Chelsea",
"sort_key": 2199.72,
"tier": "pass"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.2,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-0",
"top_prob": 12.4
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 47,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/47.webp",
"away_team_name": "Tottenham Hotspur",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/gb-eng.svg",
"country_name": "England",
"fixture_id": 1379333,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 49,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/49.webp",
"home_team_name": "Chelsea",
"league_country": "England",
"league_id": 39,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/39.webp",
"league_name": "Ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ea1ng Anh",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-19 19:15:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_xg_borderline"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)"
],
"score": 5.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2857,
"best_odd": 3.58,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0091,
"ev": -0.082,
"implied_prob": 0.2655,
"model_prob": 0.2337,
"p_final": 0.2564
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2807,
"best_odd": 3.81,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.012,
"ev": -0.0035,
"implied_prob": 0.2495,
"model_prob": 0.2924,
"p_final": 0.2615
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.5901,
"best_odd": 1.96,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0065,
"ev": -0.0622,
"implied_prob": 0.485,
"model_prob": 0.4739,
"p_final": 0.4785
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.33,
"best_yes_odd": 1.67,
"edge_no": 0.0715,
"edge_yes": -0.0715,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1557,
"ev_yes": -0.1583,
"implied_no": 0.4245,
"implied_yes": 0.5755,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.87,
"best_under_odd": 2.23,
"edge_over": -0.093,
"edge_under": 0.093,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.151,
"ev_under": 0.2176,
"implied_over": 0.547,
"implied_under": 0.453,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.49,
"variance_flag": true
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2176,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.504,
"draw_prob": 0.2924,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4739,
"over_prob": 0.454,
"total_xg": 2.49,
"under_prob": 0.546,
"xg_diff": 0.51
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0065,
"ev": -0.0622,
"implied_prob": 0.485,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4739,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Chelsea"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0715,
"ev": 0.1557,
"implied_prob": 0.4245,
"model_prob": 0.496,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.093,
"ev": 0.2176,
"implied_prob": 0.453,
"model_prob": 0.546,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1379333,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2176,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2337,
"draw": 0.2924,
"home": 0.4739
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"variance_medium"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2176,
"implied_prob": 0.453,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.546,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2176,
"implied_prob": 0.453,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.546,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Tottenham Hotspur",
"home": "Chelsea"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.077227,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1557,
"implied_prob": 0.4245,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.496,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1379333,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-19T18:19:38.124810+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Chelsea & Tottenham Hotspur!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Ngoại hạng Anh — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds United | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham United | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 20 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | 77 | 35 | +42 | 78 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 71 | 27 | +44 | 85 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 69 | 50 | +19 | 71 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 38 | 63 | 53 | +10 | 60 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 38 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 52 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 58 | 54 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 56 | 49 | +7 | 65 |
| 8 | Brentford | 38 | 55 | 52 | +3 | 53 |
| 9 | Newcastle United | 38 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 |
| 10 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 53 |
| 11 | Leeds United | 38 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
| 12 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 |
| 13 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | Everton | 38 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 |
| 15 | Fulham | 38 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 |
| 16 | West Ham United | 38 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 38 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 64.5 | 28.8 | +35.7 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 68.8 | 42.6 | +26.2 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 64.7 | 48.5 | +16.2 | 71 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 38 | 60.1 | 46.9 | +13.2 | 60 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 38 | 63.5 | 51.9 | +11.6 | 52 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | 57.4 | 49.9 | +7.5 | 53 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 57.6 | 50.2 | +7.4 | 45 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 38 | 62.5 | 56.8 | +5.7 | 57 |
| 9 | Newcastle United | 38 | 57.2 | 51.5 | +5.7 | 49 |
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 59.3 | 54.3 | +5.0 | 53 |
| 11 | Leeds United | 38 | 54.4 | 55.1 | -0.7 | 47 |
| 12 | Fulham | 38 | 47.9 | 52.2 | -4.3 | 52 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 38 | 47.6 | 54.3 | -6.7 | 65 |
| 14 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 46.3 | 56.3 | -10.0 | 44 |
| 15 | Everton | 38 | 45.9 | 55.9 | -10.0 | 49 |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 40.8 | 52.2 | -11.4 | 41 |
| 17 | West Ham United | 38 | 45.1 | 56.8 | -11.7 | 39 |
| 18 | Sunderland | 38 | 39.1 | 53.4 | -14.3 | 54 |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | 35.5 | 58.1 | -22.6 | 20 |
| 20 | Burnley | 38 | 32.3 | 74.9 | -42.6 | 22 |