Nhà cái cao cấp stake: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi FHn2uDc1. Đăng ký ngay
Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian
Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 (2 mục tiêu) ✔ Chính xác
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Có ✔ Chính xác
- 1X2 Leeds United Vẽ tranh ✖ Không đúng
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-1 ✔ Chính xác
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
2.35
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Draw · Tottenham Hotspur 1–1 Leeds United
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 42.5%
- Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=2)
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "a30ec7aa6ce400274c5e0937f0510e8590c3027754df9609df8443bab43a4adb",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.43,
"away_win_prob": 0.4251,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2956,
"fair_odds_away": 2.35,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.38,
"fair_odds_home": 3.58,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.12,
"home_win_prob": 0.2793,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Leeds United",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Leeds United"
},
"away_xg": 1.43,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Leeds United",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1758,
"edge_gap": 0.1296,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2495,
"model_prob": 0.4252,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 42.5,
"draw": 29.6,
"home": 27.9
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 3.87
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 3.87,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Leeds United Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 4.01,
"market_odds": 3.87,
"model_odds": 2.35,
"overround": 3.6,
"prob_edge": 16.7,
"value_pct": 64.7,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 7,
"away_failed_to_score": 11,
"away_played": 35,
"away_score_rate": 76.1,
"home_clean_sheet": 8,
"home_failed_to_score": 7,
"home_played": 35,
"home_score_rate": 67.4,
"no_prob": 47.1,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 52.9,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 52.9
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.43,
"home_expected": 1.12,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 11.2
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.9
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 8.7
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 8.0
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Tottenham Hotspur or Draw",
"prob": 57.5
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Tottenham Hotspur or Leeds United",
"prob": 70.4
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Leeds United",
"prob": 72.1
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Leeds United",
"pick_prob": 72.1
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 42.5,
"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 27.9,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "Leeds United"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.55,
"away_avg_scored": 1.3,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.3,
"over_prob": 46.9,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 53.1,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.55,
"under_prob": 53.1
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 64.7,
"implied_prob": 25.8,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Leeds United Win",
"model_prob": 42.6,
"odds": 3.87
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": {
"best_bookmaker": "Bet365",
"best_odds": 15.0,
"edge": 4.5,
"ev": 67.5,
"label": "0-1",
"probability": 11.2
},
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.12,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1157,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": true,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2495,
"max_ev": 0.1157,
"model_prob": 0.4252,
"side_label": "Leeds United",
"sort_key": 10254.13,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1511,
"ev_under": 0.147,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.147,
"over_prob": 46.9,
"sort_key": 10132.3,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 53.1,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0503,
"ev_yes": -0.1166,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0503,
"no_prob": 47.1,
"sort_key": 10045.27,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 52.9
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 63,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/63.webp",
"away_team_name": "Leeds United",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/gb-eng.svg",
"country_name": "England",
"fixture_id": 1379327,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 47,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/47.webp",
"home_team_name": "Tottenham Hotspur",
"league_country": "England",
"league_id": 39,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/39.webp",
"league_name": "Ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ea1ng Anh",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-09 14:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_xg_borderline"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)"
],
"score": 5.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2209,
"best_odd": 3.87,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0388,
"ev": 0.1157,
"implied_prob": 0.2495,
"model_prob": 0.4252,
"p_final": 0.2883
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2772,
"best_odd": 3.94,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.014,
"ev": 0.0207,
"implied_prob": 0.245,
"model_prob": 0.2956,
"p_final": 0.2591
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3963,
"best_odd": 1.91,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0897,
"ev": -0.2059,
"implied_prob": 0.5055,
"model_prob": 0.2791,
"p_final": 0.4158
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.23,
"best_yes_odd": 1.67,
"edge_no": 0.0384,
"edge_yes": -0.0384,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0503,
"ev_yes": -0.1166,
"implied_no": 0.4326,
"implied_yes": 0.5674,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.81,
"best_under_odd": 2.16,
"edge_over": -0.0775,
"edge_under": 0.0775,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1511,
"ev_under": 0.147,
"implied_over": 0.5465,
"implied_under": 0.4535,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.55,
"variance_flag": true
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.147,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "B",
"stake_factor": 0.5
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.529,
"draw_prob": 0.2956,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4252,
"over_prob": 0.469,
"total_xg": 2.55,
"under_prob": 0.531,
"xg_diff": 0.31
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0207,
"implied_prob": 0.245,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.2956,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "longshot",
"side": "draw",
"side_label": "draw",
"slot": "longshot"
}
],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0388,
"ev": 0.1157,
"implied_prob": 0.2495,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4252,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Leeds United"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0384,
"ev": 0.0503,
"implied_prob": 0.4326,
"model_prob": 0.471,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0775,
"ev": 0.147,
"implied_prob": 0.4535,
"model_prob": 0.531,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1379327,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.147,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.4252,
"draw": 0.2956,
"home": 0.2791
},
"reason_codes": [
"variance_medium",
"longshot_high_variance"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.147,
"implied_prob": 0.4535,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.531,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.147,
"implied_prob": 0.4535,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.531,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0503,
"implied_prob": 0.4326,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.471,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Leeds United",
"home": "Tottenham Hotspur"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.054115,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1157,
"implied_prob": 0.2495,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4252,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Leeds United",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 4
}
},
"fixture_id": 1379327,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T13:59:18.966913+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Tottenham Hotspur & Leeds United!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Ngoại hạng Anh — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds United | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham United | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 20 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | 77 | 35 | +42 | 78 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 71 | 27 | +44 | 85 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 69 | 50 | +19 | 71 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 38 | 63 | 53 | +10 | 60 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 38 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 52 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 58 | 54 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 56 | 49 | +7 | 65 |
| 8 | Brentford | 38 | 55 | 52 | +3 | 53 |
| 9 | Newcastle United | 38 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 |
| 10 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 53 |
| 11 | Leeds United | 38 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
| 12 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 |
| 13 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | Everton | 38 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 |
| 15 | Fulham | 38 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 |
| 16 | West Ham United | 38 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 38 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 64.5 | 28.8 | +35.7 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 68.8 | 42.6 | +26.2 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 64.7 | 48.5 | +16.2 | 71 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 38 | 60.1 | 46.9 | +13.2 | 60 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 38 | 63.5 | 51.9 | +11.6 | 52 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | 57.4 | 49.9 | +7.5 | 53 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 57.6 | 50.2 | +7.4 | 45 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 38 | 62.5 | 56.8 | +5.7 | 57 |
| 9 | Newcastle United | 38 | 57.2 | 51.5 | +5.7 | 49 |
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 59.3 | 54.3 | +5.0 | 53 |
| 11 | Leeds United | 38 | 54.4 | 55.1 | -0.7 | 47 |
| 12 | Fulham | 38 | 47.9 | 52.2 | -4.3 | 52 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 38 | 47.6 | 54.3 | -6.7 | 65 |
| 14 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 46.3 | 56.3 | -10.0 | 44 |
| 15 | Everton | 38 | 45.9 | 55.9 | -10.0 | 49 |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 40.8 | 52.2 | -11.4 | 41 |
| 17 | West Ham United | 38 | 45.1 | 56.8 | -11.7 | 39 |
| 18 | Sunderland | 38 | 39.1 | 53.4 | -14.3 | 54 |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | 35.5 | 58.1 | -22.6 | 20 |
| 20 | Burnley | 38 | 32.3 | 74.9 | -42.6 | 22 |
