Bologna vs Inter Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.4525,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.511,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.489,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3022,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.21,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.31,
      "fair_odds_home": 4.08,
      "home_predicted_xg": 0.98,
      "home_win_prob": 0.2453,
      "over_25_prob": 0.428,
      "prediction_confidence": "high",
      "under_25_prob": 0.572
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    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Winner : Inter",
      "main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Inter"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.41,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Inter",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
        "edge": -0.0214,
        "edge_gap": 0.1504,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.474,
        "model_prob": 0.4526,
        "pick_type": "no_value",
        "probabilities": {
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          "draw": 30.2,
          "home": 24.5
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        "selection": null,
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      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.05
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      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.05,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Inter Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.11,
        "market_odds": 2.05,
        "model_odds": 2.21,
        "overround": 2.9,
        "prob_edge": -3.5,
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        "value_rating": "no_value"
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    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 18,
        "away_failed_to_score": 2,
        "away_played": 37,
        "away_score_rate": 75.6,
        "home_clean_sheet": 12,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 37,
        "home_score_rate": 62.5,
        "no_prob": 51.1,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 51.1,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 48.9
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        "home_expected": 0.98,
        "scores": [
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            "home": 0,
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            "prob": 12.9
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          {
            "away": 1,
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            "away": 0,
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        ],
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          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Bologna or Draw",
            "prob": 54.7
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          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Bologna or Inter",
            "prob": 69.7
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Inter",
            "prob": 75.4
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Inter",
        "pick_prob": 75.4
      },
      "match_winner": {
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        "draw_pct": 30.2,
        "home_pct": 24.5,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Inter"
      },
      "over_under": {
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        "away_avg_scored": 2.3,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
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        "pick": "Under 2.5",
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        "edge": 10.8,
        "implied_prob": 27.2,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
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        "odds": 3.67
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    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
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      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Bologna",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
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          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 45.26
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 56.49,
          "gap_pp": -13.69,
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          "model_pct": 42.8
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 43.51,
          "gap_pp": 13.69,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 57.2
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          "closing": 3.72,
          "early": 3.72,
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    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "0-1",
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    "home_xg": 0.98,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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          "capped": true,
          "raw_pct": 27.8,
          "text": "+25%+"
        },
        "ev_yes": -0.2176,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -21.8,
          "text": "-21.8%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
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        "no_prob": 51.1,
        "sort_key": 10399.75,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 48.9
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.251,
        "ev_over_display": {
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          "text": "-25.1%"
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        "ev_under": 0.3728,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": true,
          "raw_pct": 37.3,
          "text": "+25%+"
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        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "value_side": "under"
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      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
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          "raw_pct": -4.7,
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        "sort_key": 5208.48,
        "tier": "lean"
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    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 505,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/505.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Inter",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/it.svg",
      "country_name": "Italy",
      "fixture_id": 1378234,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 500,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/500.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Bologna",
      "league_country": "Italy",
      "league_id": 135,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/135.webp",
      "league_name": "Serie A",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-24 13:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_xg_borderline",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 4.5
      },
      "markets": {
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          "away": {
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            "best_odd": 2.05,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0093,
            "ev": -0.0474,
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            "model_prob": 0.4526,
            "p_final": 0.4647
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          "draw": {
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            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": 0.0106,
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          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
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            "best_odd": 3.72,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
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            "ev": -0.0458,
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            "model_prob": 0.2452,
            "p_final": 0.2565
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        },
        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.6,
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          "edge_yes": -0.1088,
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          "ev_yes": -0.2176,
          "implied_no": 0.4022,
          "implied_yes": 0.5978,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.75,
          "best_under_odd": 2.4,
          "edge_over": -0.1431,
          "edge_under": 0.1431,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.251,
          "ev_under": 0.3728,
          "implied_over": 0.5711,
          "implied_under": 0.4289,
          "n_bookmakers": 12,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.39,
      "variance_flag": true
    },
    "unified_decision": {
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      "algorithm": {
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          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
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          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
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      },
      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
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      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
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          "draw_prob": 0.3022,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4526,
          "over_prob": 0.428,
          "total_xg": 2.39,
          "under_prob": 0.572,
          "xg_diff": 0.43
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
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          "implied_prob": 0.474,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.4526,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Inter"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "implied_prob": 0.4022,
          "model_prob": 0.511,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "implied_prob": 0.4289,
          "model_prob": 0.572,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
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      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.3728,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.4526,
        "draw": 0.3022,
        "home": 0.2452
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "variance_medium"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3728,
        "implied_prob": 0.4289,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.572,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
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          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Inter",
        "home": "Bologna"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.141803,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2775,
        "implied_prob": 0.4022,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.511,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1378234,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-24T18:19:51.918553+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}