Thống kê / Bóng đá / Ý. Serie A / Inter Milan vs Verona

Inter Milan vs Verona Statistics & Analysis

May 17, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.81
1 0.69
xG Accuracy: 74%
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Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian

Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.

  • Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
  • Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 (2 mục tiêu) ✔ Chính xác
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Không đúng
  • 1X2 Inter Milan Vẽ tranh ✖ Không đúng
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-0, 2-0, 1-1, 2-1, 0-0 1-1 ✔ Chính xác

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 07, 2026 · 16:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3193023

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Inter Milan 1–1 Verona
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

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View technical JSON
{
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  "content_hash": "a638911363bd96274829d48f4ab2352f024e6f9b639fa4dd764898182082d5b1",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 0.69,
      "away_win_prob": 0.1231,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2481,
      "fair_odds_away": 8.12,
      "fair_odds_draw": 4.03,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.59,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.81,
      "home_win_prob": 0.6288,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Winner : Inter Milan",
      "main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Inter Milan"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.69,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Inter Milan",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
        "edge": -0.1194,
        "edge_gap": 0.3807,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.7482,
        "model_prob": 0.6288,
        "pick_type": "no_value",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 12.3,
          "draw": 24.8,
          "home": 62.9
        },
        "reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.29
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.29,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Inter Milan Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.34,
        "market_odds": 1.29,
        "model_odds": 1.59,
        "overround": 3.6,
        "prob_edge": -14.6,
        "value_pct": -18.9,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 6,
        "away_failed_to_score": 19,
        "away_played": 36,
        "away_score_rate": 49.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 18,
        "home_failed_to_score": 2,
        "home_played": 36,
        "home_score_rate": 83.6,
        "no_prob": 57.0,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 57.0,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 43.0
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 0.69,
        "home_expected": 1.81,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 14.9
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 13.4
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 10.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 8.2
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Inter Milan or Draw",
            "prob": 87.7
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Inter Milan or Verona",
            "prob": 75.2
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Verona",
            "prob": 37.1
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Inter Milan or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 87.7
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 12.3,
        "draw_pct": 24.8,
        "home_pct": 62.9,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Inter Milan"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.5,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.7,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 2.4,
        "over_prob": 45.6,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 54.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.5,
        "under_prob": 54.4
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 51.5,
        "implied_prob": 16.4,
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 24.8,
        "odds": 6.11
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Verona",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Inter Milan",
      "largest_move_kind": "1x2_h",
      "max_abs_move_pp": 1.84,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 74.82,
          "gap_pp": -11.94,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 62.88
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 15.8,
          "gap_pp": 9.01,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 24.81
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 9.38,
          "gap_pp": 2.93,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 12.31
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 59.9,
          "gap_pp": -14.3,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 45.6
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 40.1,
          "gap_pp": 14.3,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 54.4
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.29,
          "early": 1.26,
          "implied_closing_pct": 74.82,
          "implied_delta_pp": -1.84,
          "implied_early_pct": 76.67,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 6.11,
          "early": 6.52,
          "implied_closing_pct": 15.8,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.98,
          "implied_early_pct": 14.82,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
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          "closing": 10.29,
          "early": 11.34,
          "implied_closing_pct": 9.38,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.86,
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          "kind": "1x2_a"
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        {
          "closing": 1.6,
          "early": 1.55,
          "implied_closing_pct": 59.9,
          "implied_delta_pp": -1.73,
          "implied_early_pct": 61.63,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.39,
          "early": 2.49,
          "implied_closing_pct": 40.1,
          "implied_delta_pp": 1.73,
          "implied_early_pct": 38.37,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": false,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 14.3,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-0",
        "prob": 14.9
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.81,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.2841,
        "ev_under": 0.36,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.36,
        "over_prob": 45.6,
        "sort_key": 10474.0,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 54.4,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1107,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.7482,
        "max_ev": 0.0604,
        "model_prob": 0.6288,
        "side_label": "Inter Milan",
        "sort_key": 5248.32,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.026,
        "ev_yes": -0.1185,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.026,
        "no_prob": 57.0,
        "sort_key": 5220.8,
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 43.0
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 824.7,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-0",
        "top_prob": 14.9
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 504,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/504.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Verona",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/it.svg",
      "country_name": "Italy",
      "fixture_id": 1378228,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 505,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/505.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Inter Milan",
      "league_country": "Italy",
      "league_id": 135,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/135.webp",
      "league_name": "Serie A",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 13:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_xg_borderline"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)"
        ],
        "score": 7.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.1912,
            "best_odd": 10.29,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0056,
            "ev": 0.0229,
            "implied_prob": 0.0938,
            "model_prob": 0.1231,
            "p_final": 0.0994
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.173,
            "best_odd": 6.11,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0156,
            "ev": 0.0604,
            "implied_prob": 0.158,
            "model_prob": 0.2481,
            "p_final": 0.1736
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4925,
            "best_odd": 1.29,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0588,
            "ev": -0.1107,
            "implied_prob": 0.7482,
            "model_prob": 0.6288,
            "p_final": 0.6894
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.8,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.05,
          "edge_no": 0.0351,
          "edge_yes": -0.0351,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.026,
          "ev_yes": -0.1185,
          "implied_no": 0.5349,
          "implied_yes": 0.4651,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.57,
          "best_under_odd": 2.5,
          "edge_over": -0.1613,
          "edge_under": 0.1613,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.2841,
          "ev_under": 0.36,
          "implied_over": 0.6173,
          "implied_under": 0.3827,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.5,
      "variance_flag": true
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.36,
      "confidence": 7.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 7.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "strong_signal",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.43,
          "draw_prob": 0.2481,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.6288,
          "over_prob": 0.456,
          "total_xg": 2.5,
          "under_prob": 0.544,
          "xg_diff": 1.12
        },
        "type": "strong_signal",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.0604,
          "implied_prob": 0.158,
          "market": "1x2",
          "model_prob": 0.2481,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "longshot",
          "risk_tier": "longshot",
          "side": "draw",
          "side_label": "draw",
          "slot": "longshot"
        },
        {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "ev": 0.0229,
          "implied_prob": 0.0938,
          "market": "1x2",
          "model_prob": 0.1231,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "longshot",
          "risk_tier": "longshot",
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Verona",
          "slot": "longshot"
        }
      ],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0588,
          "ev": -0.1107,
          "implied_prob": 0.7482,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.6288,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Inter Milan"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0351,
          "ev": 0.026,
          "implied_prob": 0.5349,
          "model_prob": 0.57,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1613,
          "ev": 0.36,
          "implied_prob": 0.3827,
          "model_prob": 0.544,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1378228,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.36,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1231,
        "draw": 0.2481,
        "home": 0.6288
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "variance_medium",
        "longshot_high_variance"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Verona",
        "home": "Inter Milan"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.172339,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.36,
        "implied_prob": 0.3827,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.544,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 4
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1378228,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T12:59:18.206541+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Inter Milan & Verona!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
Serie A Serie A — Bảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Inter Milan 38 27 6 5 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 18
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Inter Milan 38 89 35 +54 87
2 Como 38 65 29 +36 71
3 Juventus 38 61 34 +27 69
4 AS Roma 38 59 31 +28 73
5 Napoli 38 58 36 +22 76
6 AC Milan 38 53 35 +18 70
7 Atalanta 38 51 36 +15 59
8 Bologna 38 49 46 +3 56
9 Sassuolo 38 46 50 -4 49
10 Udinese 38 45 48 -3 50
11 Torino 38 44 63 -19 45
12 Lazio 38 41 40 +1 54
13 Fiorentina 38 41 50 -9 42
14 Genoa 38 41 51 -10 41
15 Cagliari 38 40 53 -13 43
16 Cremonese 38 32 57 -25 34
17 Parma 38 28 46 -18 45
18 Lecce 38 28 50 -22 38
19 Pisa 38 26 71 -45 18
20 Verona 38 25 61 -36 21
# Đội Tr xG xGC +/- Đ
1 Inter Milan 38 71.5 34.8 +36.7 87
2 Juventus 38 65.6 32.0 +33.6 69
3 Como 38 62.2 33.8 +28.4 71
4 AC Milan 38 59.6 43.3 +16.3 70
5 AS Roma 38 55.4 39.1 +16.3 73
6 Atalanta 38 57.3 42.2 +15.1 59
7 Napoli 38 49.7 36.7 +13.0 76
8 Fiorentina 38 49.8 47.5 +2.3 42
9 Bologna 38 44.0 45.8 -1.8 56
10 Lazio 38 41.0 43.5 -2.5 54
11 Genoa 38 45.1 48.8 -3.7 41
12 Torino 38 44.8 52.8 -8.0 45
13 Udinese 38 42.0 52.2 -10.2 50
14 Sassuolo 38 42.6 55.3 -12.7 49
15 Verona 38 35.7 50.4 -14.7 21
16 Cagliari 38 38.6 53.8 -15.2 43
17 Pisa 38 39.6 58.9 -19.3 18
18 Cremonese 38 35.0 57.8 -22.8 34
19 Parma 38 32.2 56.6 -24.4 45
20 Lecce 38 30.9 57.4 -26.5 38