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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 matlamat) ✔ Betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
- 1X2 Albion FC Lukis ✖ tak betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Betul
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.07
AI Fair Odds
2.81
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Albion FC
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 35.6%
- Historical Bucket: 35–40% — Building sample
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"decision_algo_version": "2.3.1",
"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": 0.3564,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.455,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.546,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2965,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 2.81,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.37,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 2.88,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.29,
"home_win_prob": 0.347,
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"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Deportivo Maldonado or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Deportivo Maldonado"
},
"away_xg": 1.31,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Albion FC",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1023,
"edge_gap": 0.0087,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2537,
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 35.6,
"draw": 29.7,
"home": 34.7
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 3.76
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 3.76,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Albion FC Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 3.94,
"market_odds": 3.76,
"model_odds": 2.81,
"overround": 4.8,
"prob_edge": 9.0,
"value_pct": 33.8,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 4,
"away_played": 19,
"away_score_rate": 73.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 7,
"home_failed_to_score": 1,
"home_played": 19,
"home_score_rate": 72.5,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.31,
"home_expected": 1.29,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.7
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.6
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.1
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Deportivo Maldonado or Draw",
"prob": 64.3
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Deportivo Maldonado or Albion FC",
"prob": 70.3
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Albion FC",
"prob": 65.2
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Deportivo Maldonado or Albion FC",
"pick_prob": 70.3
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 35.6,
"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 34.7,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "Albion FC"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 1.5,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.8,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 33.9,
"implied_prob": 26.6,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Albion FC Win",
"model_prob": 35.6,
"odds": 3.76
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Albion FC",
"closing_1x2_probs_pct": {
"away": 25.37,
"draw": 28.56,
"home": 46.08
},
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_fetched_at": "2026-07-10 21:59:15",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"early_fetched_at": "2026-07-10 21:29:15",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Deportivo Maldonado",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 46.08,
"gap_pp": -11.35,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 34.73
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 28.56,
"gap_pp": 1.12,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 29.68
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 25.37,
"gap_pp": 10.23,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 35.59
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 46.61,
"gap_pp": 1.59,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 53.39,
"gap_pp": -1.59,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.07,
"early": 2.07,
"implied_closing_pct": 46.08,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 46.08,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.34,
"early": 3.34,
"implied_closing_pct": 28.56,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 28.56,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 3.76,
"early": 3.76,
"implied_closing_pct": 25.37,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 25.37,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.05,
"early": 2.05,
"implied_closing_pct": 46.61,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 46.61,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.79,
"early": 1.79,
"implied_closing_pct": 53.39,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 53.39,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 10.2,
"kind": "1x2_a"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.6
}
},
"home_xg": 1.29,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0514,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 5.1,
"text": "+5.1%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2537,
"max_ev": 0.0514,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 5.1,
"text": "+5.1%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"side_label": "Albion FC",
"sort_key": 10196.26,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": false,
"ev_no": null,
"ev_no_display": null,
"ev_yes": null,
"ev_yes_display": null,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": null,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"sort_key": 4050.0,
"tier": "lean",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev_available": false,
"ev_over": null,
"ev_over_display": null,
"ev_under": null,
"ev_under_display": null,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": null,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 2050.0,
"tier": "pass",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.6
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "",
"alert_breadth_note": "",
"alert_move": "",
"alert_team": "",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 11.4,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": -11.38,
"hero_label": "Deportivo Maldonado",
"market_prob_pct": 25.4,
"market_team": "Deportivo Maldonado",
"model_prob_pct": 35.6,
"model_team": "Albion FC",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": null,
"steam_subtitle": "",
"steam_tier": "",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"decision_chain": {
"academy_links": [
{
"key": "market_disagree",
"read_min": 5,
"title": "When Should You Trust AI Over the Market?",
"url": "/academy/ai-betting/when-should-you-trust-ai-over-the-market/en"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"read_min": 4,
"title": "What Is a Steam Move?",
"url": "/academy/betting-market/what-is-a-steam-move/en"
},
{
"key": "clv_pending",
"read_min": 3,
"title": "Why CLV Matters More Than Win Rate",
"url": "/academy/clv/why-clv-matters-more-than-win-rate/en"
}
],
"alignment": {
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"summary": "The market has moved toward Deportivo Maldonado, but the model still strongly favours Albion FC."
},
"bet_status": "consider",
"evidence": {
"score": 55,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Market has already priced much of the edge",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Sharp steam detected",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation warning",
"status": "caution"
}
],
"stars": 2,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Warning",
"tone": "caution"
},
{
"key": "gap",
"label": "Large market gap (11 pp)",
"tone": "caution"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 19.3,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 7.9,
"steam_coherence": 5.0,
"validation": 14.0
},
"score": 63,
"stars": 3,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Execution Confidence",
"score": 50,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Model Value",
"score": 4,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "consider",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "The market has moved toward Deportivo Maldonado, but the model still strongly favours Albion FC.",
"alignment": {
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"summary": "The market has moved toward Deportivo Maldonado, but the model still strongly favours Albion FC."
},
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 verify price",
"subline": "At least one tracked line clears Primary +EV rules \u2014 size carefully.",
"tier": "actionable"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.29 xG vs Albion FC 1.31 \u2192 Albion FC 35.6%",
"Market: Deportivo Maldonado ~25.4% implied",
"Steam: Deportivo Maldonado +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Model and market both lean Albion FC with no major conflict.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -11.38,
"fair_prob": 34.7,
"label": "Deportivo Maldonado",
"market_prob": 46.08,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 1.09,
"fair_prob": 29.65,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 28.56,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 10.27,
"fair_prob": 35.64,
"label": "Albion FC",
"market_prob": 25.37,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 54.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 45.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -11.38,
"fair_prob_pct": 34.7,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Deportivo Maldonado",
"market_prob_pct": 46.08,
"status": "strong_market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Deportivo Maldonado"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The closing market estimates Deportivo Maldonado\u0027s win probability at 46.1%, compared with the model\u0027s estimate of 34.7%, a difference of 11.4 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "strong_market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 11.38,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Albion FC",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 25.4,
"model_prob_pct": 35.6,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "The model and market both lean Albion FC, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Deportivo Maldonado remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Execution Confidence",
"score": 50,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Model Value",
"score": 4,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "consider",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.29 xG vs Albion FC 1.31 \u2192 Albion FC 35.6%",
"Market: Deportivo Maldonado ~25.4% implied",
"Steam: Deportivo Maldonado +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Model and market both lean Albion FC with no major conflict.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -11.38,
"hero_label": "Deportivo Maldonado",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
"Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
],
"follow_up": "Current market behavior suggests broad agreement that Deportivo Maldonado is the dominant side.",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about Deportivo Maldonado than the current fair estimate.",
"note": "The market is materially more optimistic about Deportivo Maldonado than the current fair estimate.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market is materially more optimistic about Deportivo Maldonado than the current fair estimate.",
"Current market behavior suggests broad agreement that Deportivo Maldonado is the dominant side."
],
"quiet_market": true,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market favors Deportivo Maldonado more strongly than the current fair estimate.",
"Pricing has been stable with broad sportsbook participation, suggesting settled consensus.",
"The market materially disagrees with the model on Deportivo Maldonado (pricing gap 11.4 pp). The market may be pricing squad quality, tournament context, or lineup strength beyond the Elo framework."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 11.38,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Top two 1X2 outcomes within 0.9 percentage points."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 0.9,
"max_prob_pct": 35.6,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "strong",
"largest_gap_label": "Deportivo Maldonado",
"largest_gap_pp": -11.4,
"lead": "The closing market prices Deportivo Maldonado higher than the statistical model.",
"level": "strong",
"max_gap_pp": 11.4,
"title": "Strong Disagreement"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": -11.38,
"edge_pp": -11.38,
"fair_prob_pct": 34.7,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Deportivo Maldonado",
"market_prob_pct": 46.08,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "market_higher",
"signal_label": "Market Higher"
},
{
"difference_pp": 1.09,
"edge_pp": 1.09,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.65,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 28.56,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": 10.27,
"edge_pp": 10.27,
"fair_prob_pct": 35.64,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Albion FC",
"market_prob_pct": 25.37,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "model_edge",
"signal_label": "Model Edge"
}
],
"status": "strong_market_ahead",
"status_label": "Strong Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "The market is materially more optimistic about Deportivo Maldonado than the current fair estimate.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Deportivo Maldonado (25.4%).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Albion FC, Market \u2192 Deportivo Maldonado, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
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{
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"id": "market_detected",
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{
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"id": "model_validated",
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{
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"id": "closing_recorded",
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{
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"label": "CLV Evaluated",
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},
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"market_overview": {
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"current_odds": 2.05,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 2.05,
"pick_team": "Deportivo Maldonado",
"steam_score": 24,
"steam_team_name": "Deportivo Maldonado",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
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"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
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"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_id": 2378,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2378.webp",
"away_team_name": "Albion FC",
"country_code": "UY",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/uy.svg",
"country_name": "Uruguay",
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"goals_away": null,
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"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "Uruguay",
"home_team_id": 2370,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2370.webp",
"home_team_name": "Deportivo Maldonado",
"league_country": "Uruguay",
"league_id": 268,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/268.webp",
"league_name": "Primera Divisi\u00f3n - Apertura",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-07-10 22:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Maldonado",
"venue_name": null
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"confidence": {
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"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
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"breakdown_resolved": [
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"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
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"score": 6.0
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"markets": {
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"away": {
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"best_odd": 3.76,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.026,
"ev": 0.0514,
"implied_prob": 0.2537,
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"draw": {
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"best_odd": 3.34,
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},
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"n_bookmakers": 0,
"reliability": "low"
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"ou25": {
"ev_available": false,
"n_bookmakers": 0,
"reliability": "low"
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},
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"total_xg": 2.6,
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},
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"confidence": 5.0,
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"grade": "B",
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"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
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"game_type": {
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"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.02
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"type": "balanced",
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"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
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"edge": 0.026,
"ev": 0.0514,
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"model_prob": 0.3559,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Albion FC"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": null,
"ev": null,
"implied_prob": null,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": null,
"ev": null,
"implied_prob": null,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
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"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0514,
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"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
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"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 0.2968,
"home": 0.3473
},
"reason_codes": [
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"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Albion FC",
"home": "Deportivo Maldonado"
},
"top_pick": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0514,
"implied_prob": 0.2537,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.3559,
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"primary_strength": "weak",
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "away",
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"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": true
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
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},
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"generated_at_utc": "2026-07-10T21:59:18.046019+00:00",
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}
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Langgan Sekarang
Primera División - Apertura — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peñarol | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 55 |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 54 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 53 |
| 5 | Liverpool Montevideo | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Club Nacional | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 49 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 47 |
| 8 | Central Español | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 38 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 37 |
| 10 | Juventud | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 35 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 |
| 13 | Cerro | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33 |
| 14 | Boston River | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30 |
| 15 | Progreso | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 28 |
| 16 | Danubio | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 30 | 52 | 35 | +17 | 54 |
| 2 | Peñarol | 30 | 49 | 25 | +24 | 59 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 30 | 46 | 27 | +19 | 55 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 30 | 45 | 38 | +7 | 49 |
| 5 | Liverpool Montevideo | 31 | 42 | 30 | +12 | 49 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 31 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 37 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 30 | 38 | 36 | +2 | 47 |
| 8 | Racing Montevideo | 30 | 36 | 24 | +12 | 53 |
| 9 | Juventud | 30 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 | Central Español | 30 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 38 |
| 11 | Boston River | 30 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 30 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 30 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 33 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 31 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 35 |
| 14 | Progreso | 31 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Danubio | 30 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
| 16 | Cerro | 30 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 33 |
