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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Tidak ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 Kawkab Marrakech Ittihad Tanger ✖ tak betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0, 2-1 0-2 ✖ tak betul
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.34
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Ittihad Tanger win · Kawkab Marrakech 0–2 Ittihad Tanger
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"api_prediction": {
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"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "30%",
"percent_draw": "35%",
"percent_home": "35%",
"winner_name": "Kawkab Marrakech"
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"bet_label": "Kawkab Marrakech",
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"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.0196,
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"market": "1X2",
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"probabilities": {
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"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
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"market_comparison": [
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"home_played": 24,
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"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 54.2,
"source": "xG_dc",
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{
"key": "12",
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"prob": 66.3
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Ittihad Tanger",
"prob": 62.9
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],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Kawkab Marrakech or Draw",
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"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 29.2,
"draw_pct": 33.7,
"home_pct": 37.1,
"lean_key": "home",
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"pick": "Over 2.5",
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"odds": 3.52
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"closing_capture": "PRE1",
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"early_capture": "PRE30",
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"home_team": "Kawkab Marrakech",
"largest_move_kind": null,
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{
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"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 33.64
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{
"closing_implied_pct": 25.88,
"gap_pp": 3.33,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 29.22
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{
"closing_implied_pct": 32.24,
"gap_pp": 5.26,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 37.5
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 67.76,
"gap_pp": -5.26,
"kind": "ou_u",
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"movement": [
{
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"implied_early_pct": 35.18,
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{
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{
"closing": 3.52,
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{
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{
"closing": 1.37,
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"kind": "ou_u"
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},
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{
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"raw_pct": 8.0,
"text": "+8.0%"
},
"ev_under": -0.0813,
"ev_under_display": {
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"raw_pct": -8.1,
"text": "-8.1%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.08,
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"sort_key": 10222.0,
"tier": "best",
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"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1057,
"ev_no_display": {
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"text": "-10.6%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.0076,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 0.8,
"text": "+0.8%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0076,
"no_prob": 54.2,
"sort_key": 5206.08,
"tier": "lean",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 45.8
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0666,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -6.7,
"text": "-6.7%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3518,
"max_ev": -0.0555,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -5.5,
"text": "-5.5%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3714,
"side_label": "Kawkab Marrakech",
"sort_key": 1786.125,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 820.2,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
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],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "10/13",
"alert_breadth_note": "10/13 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2193 -6.4%",
"alert_team": "Draw",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 5.3,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -5.29,
"hero_label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 35.2,
"market_team": "Draw",
"model_prob_pct": 37.1,
"model_team": "Kawkab Marrakech",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable prediction",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": 48,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 1.97,
"fair_prob": 37.15,
"label": "Kawkab Marrakech",
"market_prob": 35.18,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -5.29,
"fair_prob": 33.65,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 38.94,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.32,
"fair_prob": 29.2,
"label": "Ittihad Tanger",
"market_prob": 25.88,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.11,
"fair_prob": 37.5,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 34.39,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.11,
"fair_prob": 62.5,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 65.61,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 2.55,
"fair_prob": 45.8,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 43.25,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -2.55,
"fair_prob": 54.2,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 56.75,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -5.29,
"fair_prob_pct": 33.65,
"hero_side": "draw",
"hero_team_name": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 38.94,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Draw"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 5.29,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Kawkab Marrakech",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_prob_pct": 35.2,
"model_prob_pct": 37.1,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable prediction",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "The model and market both lean Kawkab Marrakech, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Draw remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -5.29,
"hero_label": "Draw",
"hero_side": "draw",
"market_activity": "Draw odds shortened \u2193 -6.4%.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The market and model broadly agree on Draw. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Draw.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model broadly agree on Draw. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Draw."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market still prices Draw above the current fair estimate.",
"Recent line movement on Draw (\u2193 -6.4%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (10/13) supports the current market view on Draw."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 5.29,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Top two 1X2 outcomes within 3.5 percentage points."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 3.5,
"max_prob_pct": 37.1,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 1.97,
"fair_prob_pct": 37.15,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Kawkab Marrakech",
"market_prob_pct": 35.18,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -5.29,
"fair_prob_pct": 33.65,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 38.94,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.32,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.2,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Ittihad Tanger",
"market_prob_pct": 25.88,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Draw.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Draw (35.2%).",
"Draw has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2193 -6.4%, 10/13).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Kawkab Marrakech, Market \u2192 Draw, Recent sharp money \u2192 Draw.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 42.74,
"closing_odds": 2.34,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 42.74,
"entry_odds": 2.34,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 10,
"books_total": 13,
"breadth_display": "10/13",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 2.62,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2193 -6.4%",
"move_pct_abs": 6.4,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 15h 58m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Pinnacle led repricing on Draw (6.4%) \u2014 sharp book moved before wider follow-through.",
"A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "2.95 \u2192 2.34 \u2192 2.62",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 15h 58m",
"pick_team": "Draw",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.95"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.34"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.62"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,0.0 28.0,18.0 56.0,7.0",
"sparkline_trend": "volatile",
"sparkline_trend_label": "V-shape swing"
},
"open_odds": 2.8,
"page_alert_line": "Strong steam move across 10/13 sportsbooks on Draw",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Draw",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Pinnacle",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\u26a1",
"signal_key": "sharp_led",
"signal_label": "Sharp-led move",
"steam_score": 48,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "10/13",
"current_odds": 2.62,
"move_display": "\u2193 -6.4%",
"open_odds": 2.8,
"pick_team": "Draw",
"steam_score": 48,
"steam_team_name": "Draw",
"steam_tier": "B"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 5.3,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 974,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/974.webp",
"away_team_name": "Ittihad Tanger",
"country_code": "MA",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ma.svg",
"country_name": "Morocco",
"fixture_id": 1553763,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Morocco",
"home_team_id": 971,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/971.webp",
"home_team_name": "Kawkab Marrakech",
"league_country": "Morocco",
"league_id": 200,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/200.webp",
"league_name": "Botola Pro",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-06-17 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Marrakech",
"venue_name": "Stade de Marrakech"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.285,
"best_odd": 3.52,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0095,
"ev": -0.0555,
"implied_prob": 0.2588,
"model_prob": 0.2922,
"p_final": 0.2683
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4143,
"best_odd": 2.34,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0219,
"ev": -0.1402,
"implied_prob": 0.3894,
"model_prob": 0.3364,
"p_final": 0.3674
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4367,
"best_odd": 2.59,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0086,
"ev": -0.0666,
"implied_prob": 0.3518,
"model_prob": 0.3714,
"p_final": 0.3604
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.65,
"best_yes_odd": 2.2,
"edge_no": -0.0255,
"edge_yes": 0.0255,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1057,
"ev_yes": 0.0076,
"implied_no": 0.5675,
"implied_yes": 0.4325,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.88,
"best_under_odd": 1.47,
"edge_over": 0.0311,
"edge_under": -0.0311,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.08,
"ev_under": -0.0813,
"implied_over": 0.3439,
"implied_under": 0.6561,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.19,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.08,
"confidence": 4.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 4.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.458,
"draw_prob": 0.3364,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3714,
"over_prob": 0.375,
"total_xg": 2.19,
"under_prob": 0.625,
"xg_diff": 0.15
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0086,
"ev": -0.0666,
"implied_prob": 0.3518,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3714,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Kawkab Marrakech"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0255,
"ev": 0.0076,
"implied_prob": 0.4325,
"model_prob": 0.458,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0311,
"ev": 0.08,
"implied_prob": 0.3439,
"model_prob": 0.375,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1553763,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.08,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2922,
"draw": 0.3364,
"home": 0.3714
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Ittihad Tanger",
"home": "Kawkab Marrakech"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.03,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.08,
"implied_prob": 0.3439,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.375,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "weak",
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": true
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1553763,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T15:00:34.009919+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
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Langgan Sekarang
Botola Pro — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maghreb Fès | 30 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 59 |
| 2 | Renaissance Berkane | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 57 |
| 3 | Raja Casablanca | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 56 |
| 4 | FAR Rabat | 30 | 13 | 16 | 1 | 55 |
| 5 | Wydad AC | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Difaa EL Jadida | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 40 |
| 7 | Ittihad Tanger | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 39 |
| 8 | FUS Rabat | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37 |
| 9 | Kawkab Marrakech | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 36 |
| 10 | CODM Meknès | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 |
| 11 | CR Khemis Zemamra | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 |
| 12 | Hassania Agadir | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 |
| 13 | UTS Rabat | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 31 |
| 14 | Yacoub El Mansour | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 30 |
| 15 | Olympique Dcheïra | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 30 |
| 16 | Olympique Safi | 30 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 22 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FAR Rabat | 30 | 45 | 22 | +23 | 55 |
| 2 | Renaissance Berkane | 30 | 44 | 27 | +17 | 57 |
| 3 | Maghreb Fès | 30 | 40 | 17 | +23 | 59 |
| 4 | Raja Casablanca | 30 | 39 | 19 | +20 | 56 |
| 5 | Wydad AC | 30 | 39 | 33 | +6 | 43 |
| 6 | Yacoub El Mansour | 30 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 30 |
| 7 | UTS Rabat | 30 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 31 |
| 8 | FUS Rabat | 30 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Difaa EL Jadida | 30 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | Olympique Dcheïra | 30 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 30 |
| 11 | CR Khemis Zemamra | 30 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 33 |
| 12 | Kawkab Marrakech | 30 | 27 | 26 | +1 | 36 |
| 13 | Ittihad Tanger | 30 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | Hassania Agadir | 30 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 33 |
| 15 | CODM Meknès | 30 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 16 | Olympique Safi | 30 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 22 |
