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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 Flamengo FBC W Flamengo FBC W ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-2 ✖ tak betul
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.69
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Flamengo FBC W win · Flamengo FBC W 3–2 Killas W
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"facts": {
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"dc_rho": -0.13,
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"fair_odds_away": 3.29,
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"over_25_prob": 0.482,
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"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Flamengo FBC W or draw and +1.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Flamengo FBC W"
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"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
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"home_played": 9,
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"pick": "Yes",
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{
"key": "12",
"label": "Flamengo FBC W or Killas W",
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{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Killas W",
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"pick_key": "12",
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"draw_pct": 28.8,
"home_pct": 40.8,
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"lean_label": "Flamengo FBC W"
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"edge": 21.6,
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"closing_capture": "PRE1",
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"early_capture": "PRE30",
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{
"closing_implied_pct": 25.4,
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"model_pct": 28.81
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{
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"model_pct": 30.39
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{
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"gap_pp": -6.64,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
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"movement": [
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{
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"kind": "1x2_d"
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{
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{
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{
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},
"home_xg": 1.32,
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{
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"text": "-16.6%"
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"ev_under": 0.0774,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 7.7,
"text": "+7.7%"
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"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
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"tier": "best",
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{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.2111,
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"id": "1x2",
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"max_ev": -0.056,
"max_ev_display": {
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"raw_pct": -5.6,
"text": "-5.6%"
},
"model_prob": 0.408,
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"sort_key": 1786.0,
"tier": "bad_ev"
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{
"decision": "lean",
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"ev_no_display": {
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"raw_pct": -8.6,
"text": "-8.6%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.0953,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
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"text": "-9.5%"
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"tier": "bad_ev",
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{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
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"tier": "risk",
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],
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"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "5/9",
"alert_breadth_note": "5/9 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2193 -13.4%",
"alert_team": "Killas W",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 11.7,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -11.67,
"hero_label": "Flamengo FBC W",
"market_prob_pct": 52.5,
"market_team": "Flamengo FBC W",
"model_prob_pct": 40.8,
"model_team": "Flamengo FBC W",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": 62,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "A",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -11.67,
"fair_prob": 40.78,
"label": "Flamengo FBC W",
"market_prob": 52.45,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.39,
"fair_prob": 28.79,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 25.4,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 8.27,
"fair_prob": 30.43,
"label": "Killas W",
"market_prob": 22.16,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -6.37,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 54.57,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 6.37,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 45.43,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -0.61,
"fair_prob": 54.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 55.11,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 0.61,
"fair_prob": 45.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 44.89,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -11.67,
"fair_prob_pct": 40.78,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Flamengo FBC W",
"market_prob_pct": 52.45,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Killas W"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 11.67,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Flamengo FBC W",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 52.5,
"model_prob_pct": 40.8,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "Both lean Flamengo FBC W, but the market prices them higher (52.5% vs model 40.8%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -11.67,
"hero_label": "Flamengo FBC W",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Killas W odds shortened \u2193 -13.4%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
"Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
],
"follow_up": "However, recent buying interest has been on Killas W, with odds shortening by 13.4%.",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about Flamengo FBC W than the current fair estimate.",
"note": "Buying interest on Killas W \u2014 odds shortened by 13.4%.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market is materially more optimistic about Flamengo FBC W than the current fair estimate.",
"However, recent buying interest has been on Killas W, with odds shortening by 13.4%.",
"Buying interest on Killas W \u2014 odds shortened by 13.4%."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market favors Flamengo FBC W more strongly than the current fair estimate.",
"At the same time, Killas W has attracted buying interest, with odds shortening by 13.4%."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 11.67,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 10.4 pp (at 40.8%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 10.4,
"max_prob_pct": 40.8,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -11.67,
"fair_prob_pct": 40.78,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Flamengo FBC W",
"market_prob_pct": 52.45,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.39,
"fair_prob_pct": 28.79,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 25.4,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 8.27,
"fair_prob_pct": 30.43,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Killas W",
"market_prob_pct": 22.16,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "Buying interest on Killas W \u2014 odds shortened by 13.4%.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Flamengo FBC W (52.5%).",
"However, Killas W has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2193 -13.4%, 5/9).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Flamengo FBC W, Market \u2192 Flamengo FBC W, Recent sharp money \u2192 Killas W.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 59.17,
"closing_odds": 1.69,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 59.17,
"entry_odds": 1.69,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 5,
"books_total": 9,
"breadth_display": "5/9",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 4.33,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2193 -13.4%",
"move_pct_abs": 13.4,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 16h",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Multi-book steam on Killas W (13.4%, 5/9) \u2014 aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.",
"Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "5.00 \u2192 3.61 \u2192 4.33",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 16h",
"pick_team": "Killas W",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "5.00"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "3.61"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "4.33"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,0.0 28.0,18.0 56.0,12.1",
"sparkline_trend": "down",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way drop"
},
"open_odds": 5.0,
"page_alert_line": "Sharp money alert: Killas W \u2193 -13.4% market move detected",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Killas W",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "Sharp money alert: Killas W \u2193 -13.4% market move detected",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\ud83d\udcc8",
"signal_key": "market_steam",
"signal_label": "Steam",
"steam_score": 62,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "A",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "5/9",
"current_odds": 4.33,
"move_display": "\u2193 -13.4%",
"open_odds": 5.0,
"pick_team": "Killas W",
"steam_score": 62,
"steam_team_name": "Killas W",
"steam_tier": "A"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 11.7,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 27777,
"away_team_logo": null,
"away_team_name": "Killas W",
"country_code": "PE",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pe.svg",
"country_name": "Peru",
"fixture_id": 1548204,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": null,
"home_team_id": 27776,
"home_team_logo": null,
"home_team_name": "Flamengo FBC W",
"league_country": "Peru",
"league_id": 1229,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/1229.webp",
"league_name": "Liga Wanita Peru",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-13 18:15:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_few_books_btts"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Few bookmakers for BTTS odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1753,
"best_odd": 4.0,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0144,
"ev": -0.056,
"implied_prob": 0.2216,
"model_prob": 0.3039,
"p_final": 0.236
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2846,
"best_odd": 3.49,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0097,
"ev": -0.0798,
"implied_prob": 0.254,
"model_prob": 0.2881,
"p_final": 0.2637
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4952,
"best_odd": 1.69,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0577,
"ev": -0.2111,
"implied_prob": 0.5245,
"model_prob": 0.408,
"p_final": 0.4668
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.01,
"best_yes_odd": 1.66,
"edge_no": 0.0061,
"edge_yes": -0.0061,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0855,
"ev_yes": -0.0953,
"implied_no": 0.4489,
"implied_yes": 0.5511,
"n_bookmakers": 2,
"reliability": "low"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.73,
"best_under_odd": 2.08,
"edge_over": -0.0637,
"edge_under": 0.0637,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1661,
"ev_under": 0.0774,
"implied_over": 0.5457,
"implied_under": 0.4543,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0774,
"confidence": 5.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 5.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2881,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.408,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.04
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0577,
"ev": -0.2111,
"implied_prob": 0.5245,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.408,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Flamengo FBC W"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0061,
"ev": -0.0855,
"implied_prob": 0.4489,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0637,
"ev": 0.0774,
"implied_prob": 0.4543,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1548204,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0774,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3039,
"draw": 0.2881,
"home": 0.408
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Killas W",
"home": "Flamengo FBC W"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.028065,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0774,
"implied_prob": 0.4543,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1548204,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-13T20:46:48.975932+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Langgan Sekarang
Liga Wanita Peru — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Deportes W | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28 |
| 2 | Atlético Andahuaylas W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 |
| 4 | Alianza Lima W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 5 | Yanapuma W | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar W | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Flamengo FBC W | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Defensores W | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | UNSAAC W | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | Killas W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 |
| 11 | Carlos Mannucci W | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Deportes W | 10 | 55 | 4 | +51 | 28 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal W | 10 | 30 | 9 | +21 | 21 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima W | 10 | 26 | 7 | +19 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo FBC W | 10 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 11 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar W | 10 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Yanapuma W | 10 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 16 |
| 7 | Atlético Andahuaylas W | 10 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 25 |
| 8 | Killas W | 10 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 5 |
| 9 | Defensores W | 10 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 7 |
| 10 | UNSAAC W | 10 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 6 |
| 11 | Carlos Mannucci W | 10 | 4 | 43 | -39 | 4 |
