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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 HJS Akatemia Lukis ✖ tak betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-2 ✖ tak betul
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.12
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · GrIFK 2–2 HJS Akatemia
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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{
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"status_icon": "\u2713",
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"status_label": "Reliable forecast",
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"steam_tier": "",
"title": "Betting Signal"
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{
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{
"edge_pp": -5.18,
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{
"edge_pp": -13.75,
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"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 61.95,
"market_type": "ou25",
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{
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{
"edge_pp": -8.97,
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"label": "BTTS Yes",
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"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
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{
"edge_pp": 8.97,
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"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 36.53,
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],
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"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -5.18,
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"hero_side": "away",
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"market_prob_pct": 42.72,
"status": "market_ahead",
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"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 5.18,
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"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "HJS Akatemia",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_prob_pct": 42.7,
"model_prob_pct": 37.5,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "Both lean HJS Akatemia, but the market prices them higher (42.7% vs model 37.5%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -5.18,
"hero_label": "HJS Akatemia",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The market and model broadly agree on HJS Akatemia. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"note": "The market shows a modest preference for HJS Akatemia relative to the current fair estimate.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model broadly agree on HJS Akatemia. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement."
],
"quiet_market": true,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market still prices HJS Akatemia above the current fair estimate.",
"Pricing has been stable with broad sportsbook participation, suggesting settled consensus."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
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"status": "pass"
},
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],
"lead_gap_pp": 4.7,
"max_prob_pct": 37.5,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
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},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"rows": [
{
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"is_hero": false,
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"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.14,
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"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 24.47,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -5.18,
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"is_hero": true,
"label": "HJS Akatemia",
"market_prob_pct": 42.72,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "The market shows a modest preference for HJS Akatemia relative to the current fair estimate.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers HJS Akatemia (42.7%).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 HJS Akatemia, Market \u2192 HJS Akatemia, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 47.17,
"closing_odds": 2.12,
"clv_pending": true,
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"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
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"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 47.17,
"entry_odds": 2.12,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
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{
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"id": "forecast_generated",
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{
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{
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"id": "model_validated",
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"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "9/12",
"current_odds": 2.75,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 2.75,
"pick_team": "GrIFK",
"steam_score": 22,
"steam_team_name": "GrIFK",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 5.2,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 9209,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/9209.webp",
"away_team_name": "HJS Akatemia",
"country_code": "FI",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/fi.svg",
"country_name": "Finland",
"fixture_id": 1541506,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Finland",
"home_team_id": 2079,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2079.webp",
"home_team_name": "GrIFK",
"league_country": "Finland",
"league_id": 248,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/248.webp",
"league_name": "Kakkonen - Lohko B",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 15:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Kauniainen",
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4152,
"best_odd": 2.12,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0214,
"ev": -0.1398,
"implied_prob": 0.4272,
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"p_final": 0.4058
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2771,
"best_odd": 3.7,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0141,
"ev": -0.0423,
"implied_prob": 0.2447,
"model_prob": 0.2956,
"p_final": 0.2588
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4496,
"best_odd": 2.76,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0003,
"ev": -0.0937,
"implied_prob": 0.3281,
"model_prob": 0.3287,
"p_final": 0.3284
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.59,
"best_yes_odd": 1.5,
"edge_no": 0.0897,
"edge_yes": -0.0897,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1784,
"ev_yes": -0.1825,
"implied_no": 0.3653,
"implied_yes": 0.6347,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.53,
"best_under_odd": 2.55,
"edge_over": -0.1375,
"edge_under": 0.1375,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2625,
"ev_under": 0.3209,
"implied_over": 0.6195,
"implied_under": 0.3805,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.3209,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2956,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3757,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.1
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0214,
"ev": -0.1398,
"implied_prob": 0.4272,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "HJS Akatemia"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0897,
"ev": 0.1784,
"implied_prob": 0.3653,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1375,
"ev": 0.3209,
"implied_prob": 0.3805,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1541506,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.3209,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3757,
"draw": 0.2956,
"home": 0.3287
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1784,
"implied_prob": 0.3653,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.455,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1784,
"implied_prob": 0.3653,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.455,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "HJS Akatemia",
"home": "GrIFK"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.116358,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3209,
"implied_prob": 0.3805,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1541506,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T15:29:24.642925+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Langgan Sekarang
Kakkonen - Lohko B — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Honka | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 43 |
| 2 | ÅIFK | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 39 |
| 3 | EPS | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | HJS Akatemia | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 31 |
| 5 | Ilves II | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30 |
| 6 | P-Iirot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
| 7 | GrIFK | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 |
| 8 | EBK | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | Musa | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 |
| 10 | NJS | 18 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Honka | 18 | 56 | 17 | +39 | 43 |
| 2 | Ilves II | 18 | 51 | 30 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 | EPS | 18 | 39 | 26 | +13 | 32 |
| 4 | ÅIFK | 18 | 38 | 18 | +20 | 39 |
| 5 | HJS Akatemia | 18 | 30 | 24 | +6 | 31 |
| 6 | P-Iirot | 18 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 27 |
| 7 | EBK | 18 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 15 |
| 8 | GrIFK | 18 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 24 |
| 9 | Musa | 18 | 19 | 55 | -36 | 12 |
| 10 | NJS | 18 | 10 | 54 | -44 | 1 |
