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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Kurang 2.5 Lebih 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Santa Fé FC America SP ✖ Incorrect
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
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"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or America SP",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
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{
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{
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{
"key": "12",
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{
"key": "X2",
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"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Santa F\u00e9 FC or America SP",
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"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 36.1,
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"lean_label": "Santa F\u00e9 FC"
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"confidence": "low",
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{
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{
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{
"closing_implied_pct": 46.49,
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"closing": 4.2,
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"closing": 1.36,
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},
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},
"home_xg": 1.32,
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"market_cards": [
{
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{
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"id": "1x2",
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},
"model_prob": 0.3609,
"side_label": "Santa F\u00e9 FC",
"sort_key": 10068.58,
"tier": "best"
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{
"decision": "small_edge",
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"ev_over_display": {
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"ev_under": 0.0256,
"ev_under_display": {
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"text": "+2.6%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0256,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 5220.48,
"tier": "lean",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "under"
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{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "4/6",
"alert_breadth_note": "4/6 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +8.3%",
"alert_team": "Santa F\u00e9 FC",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 30.9,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": -30.88,
"hero_label": "America SP",
"market_prob_pct": 13.8,
"market_team": "America SP",
"model_prob_pct": 36.1,
"model_team": "Santa F\u00e9 FC",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2717",
"status_key": "disagrees",
"status_label": "Model breakdown risk",
"status_line": "Market disagrees with model",
"steam_score": 52,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 22.32,
"fair_prob": 36.11,
"label": "Santa F\u00e9 FC",
"market_prob": 13.79,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 8.56,
"fair_prob": 29.65,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 21.09,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -30.88,
"fair_prob": 34.24,
"label": "America SP",
"market_prob": 65.12,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -4.58,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 52.78,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 4.58,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 47.22,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 7.39,
"fair_prob": 54.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 47.11,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -7.39,
"fair_prob": 45.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 52.89,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "extreme_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -30.88,
"fair_prob_pct": 34.24,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "America SP",
"market_prob_pct": 65.12,
"status": "model_breakdown_risk",
"steam_team_name": "Santa F\u00e9 FC"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
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"divergence_level": "breakdown",
"edge_status": "model_breakdown_risk",
"max_gap_pp": 30.88,
"suppress_hero": true,
"suppress_value_language": true
},
"divergence_label": "Model Breakdown Risk",
"divergence_level": "breakdown",
"divergence_level_label": "Model breakdown risk",
"divergence_note": "The model and market differ by 30.9 percentage points. The model output may be unreliable for this matchup \u2014 validate inputs before interpreting probabilities.",
"divergence_tier": "breakdown",
"edge_label": "Extreme disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "extreme_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Santa F\u00e9 FC",
"headline": "Model breakdown risk",
"market_agreement_label": "Very weak",
"market_prob_pct": 13.8,
"model_prob_pct": 36.1,
"paragraphs": [
"Model and market diverge materially. Treat model probabilities as unreliable until inputs are validated."
],
"reliability_headline": "Model breakdown risk",
"reliability_icon": "\u2717",
"reliability_tier": "breakdown",
"summary": "Do not interpret model vs market comparison until validation passes.",
"tier": "breakdown",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Fail"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -30.88,
"hero_label": "America SP",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "Santa F\u00e9 FC odds lengthened \u2191 +8.3%.",
"market_agreement": "very_weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Very weak",
"market_interpretation": {},
"market_narrative": {},
"max_gap_pp": 30.88,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_fail",
"status": "fail"
},
"model_validation_label": "Fail",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
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"Top two 1X2 outcomes within 1.9 percentage points."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 1.9,
"max_prob_pct": 36.1,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 22.32,
"fair_prob_pct": 36.11,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Santa F\u00e9 FC",
"market_prob_pct": 13.79,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 8.56,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.65,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 21.09,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -30.88,
"fair_prob_pct": 34.24,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "America SP",
"market_prob_pct": 65.12,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "model_breakdown_risk",
"status_label": "Model Breakdown Risk",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers America SP (13.8%).",
"However, Santa F\u00e9 FC has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2191 +8.3%, 4/6).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Santa F\u00e9 FC, Market \u2192 America SP, Recent sharp money \u2192 Santa F\u00e9 FC.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 73.53,
"closing_odds": 1.36,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 73.53,
"entry_odds": 1.36,
"model_validation_label": "Fail",
"model_validation_status": "fail",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "lost"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 4,
"books_total": 6,
"breadth_display": "4/6",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 6.5,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +8.3%",
"move_pct_abs": 8.3,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 16h",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Multi-book steam on Santa F\u00e9 FC (8.3%, 4/6) \u2014 aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.",
"A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "8.00 \u2192 6.00 \u2192 6.50",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 16h",
"pick_team": "Santa F\u00e9 FC",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "8.00"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "6.00"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "6.50"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,2.9 56.0,0.0",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise"
},
"open_odds": 6.0,
"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Santa F\u00e9 FC",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\ud83d\udcc8",
"signal_key": "market_steam",
"signal_label": "Steam",
"steam_score": 52,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "4/6",
"current_odds": 6.5,
"move_display": "\u2191 +8.3%",
"open_odds": 6.0,
"pick_team": "Santa F\u00e9 FC",
"steam_score": 52,
"steam_team_name": "Santa F\u00e9 FC",
"steam_tier": "B"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 30.9,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 22945,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/22945.webp",
"away_team_name": "America SP",
"country_code": "BR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/br.svg",
"country_name": "Brazil",
"fixture_id": 1541273,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": null,
"home_team_id": 27692,
"home_team_logo": null,
"home_team_name": "Santa F\u00e9 FC",
"league_country": "Brazil",
"league_id": 1098,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/1098.webp",
"league_name": "Paulista S\u00e9rie B",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 22:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3221,
"best_odd": 1.36,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0995,
"ev": -0.2496,
"implied_prob": 0.6512,
"model_prob": 0.3424,
"p_final": 0.5517
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1743,
"best_odd": 4.2,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.015,
"ev": -0.0516,
"implied_prob": 0.2109,
"model_prob": 0.2967,
"p_final": 0.2258
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.1331,
"best_odd": 6.42,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0297,
"ev": 0.0762,
"implied_prob": 0.1379,
"model_prob": 0.3609,
"p_final": 0.1676
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.8,
"best_yes_odd": 1.97,
"edge_no": -0.0739,
"edge_yes": 0.0739,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.181,
"ev_yes": 0.0736,
"implied_no": 0.5289,
"implied_yes": 0.4711,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.85,
"best_under_odd": 1.98,
"edge_over": -0.0458,
"edge_under": 0.0458,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1083,
"ev_under": 0.0256,
"implied_over": 0.5278,
"implied_under": 0.4722,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0762,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2967,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3609,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.04
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0297,
"ev": 0.0762,
"implied_prob": 0.1379,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3609,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Santa F\u00e9 FC"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0739,
"ev": 0.0736,
"implied_prob": 0.4711,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0458,
"ev": 0.0256,
"implied_prob": 0.4722,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1541273,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0762,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3424,
"draw": 0.2967,
"home": 0.3609
},
"reason_codes": [
"model_summary"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "America SP",
"home": "Santa F\u00e9 FC"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.040112,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0736,
"implied_prob": 0.4711,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1541273,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T21:59:08.007082+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Santa Fé FC & America SP!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Brazil. Paulista Série B Ramalan
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